Tipps Napoli Frosinone Serie A 14/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Naples wins the match

1. Naples has a much higher probability of winning the match according to the odds, with a success probability of 80.83%, making them significantly stronger favorites compared to only 4.66% for Frosinone.
2. Naples has a higher average of goals scored per match than Frosinone. In fact, Naples scores an average of 1.4 goals per match, compared to 0.8 for Frosinone, indicating a stronger offensive potential for Naples.
3. Looking at the recent performances of both teams, it can be seen that Frosinone has not won any of their last 5 away matches, while Naples has managed to secure a victory in their last 5 home matches.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics from the last five matches suggest that Naples has an offensive potential of 50% and defensive potential of 71%, while Frosinone has an offensive potential of 29% and defensive potential of 43%. These figures indicate enough offensive activity at both ends of the pitch to hope for at least 3 goals to be scored.

2. In the last five home matches for Naples and away matches for Frosinone, the Naples team has scored a total of 5 goals and conceded 6 goals, while Frosinone has also scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals. These statistics suggest that both teams are capable of scoring and conceding goals, supporting the likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. The statistical probability for the match to have more than 2.5 goals is 61.14% with odds of 1.53. This figure, comparatively higher than for other scenarios, also supports the prediction of more than 2.5 goals in the game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The history of the last matches: Looking at the 5 last home matches of Naples and away matches for Frosinone, we can see that both teams have managed to score in most of their matches. For example, Naples has scored in 4 out of their last 5 home matches, and Frosinone in 3 out of their last 5 away matches.

2. General statistics: Naples averages 1.4 goals per match at home, and Frosinone averages 0.8 goals away, indicating a general trend for both teams to score.

3. Offensive and defensive potentials: The offensive potential of Naples at home is 50%, and for Frosinone away is 29%. Additionally, the defensive potential of Naples at home is 71%, and for Frosinone away is 43%. These statistics suggest that both teams have the ability to attack and score goals, but also defensive weaknesses that could lead to conceding goals.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – Odd at 5.50

Bet on the exact result

Naples 2-1 Frosinone

1. Despite their poor home form, Napoli has shown better offensive form by averaging 1.4 goals per game. They have also won one of their last 5 home matches with a 2-1 score, which aligns with our prediction.
2. Frosinone struggles to secure wins away from home, having not won any of their last 5 away matches. However, they have managed to score in most of these matches with an average of 0.8 goals per game, suggesting a potential to score a goal against Napoli.
3. The probability statistics support the predicted score of 2-1. There is an 80.83% chance of Napoli winning the match and an 83.42% chance of there being over 1.5 goals in the match. Together, these statistics back a 2-1 result in favor of Napoli.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Naples shows a weak performance at home, with only a 20% win rate. Frosinone has not won any matches away.

Naples has scored more goals at home than Frosinone away, but both teams have conceded a similar number of goals.

The difference in offensive and defensive potential of the two teams is significant, with Naples leading 50% to Frosinone’s 29%.

There is a high probability (80.83%) of Naples winning the match. A draw is unlikely (14.51%).

The likelihood of the match ending with over 1.5 goals is high (83.42%).

Less than 3.5 goals in the match is a probable option (65.28%).

It is also possible that both teams score (51.3%).

Looking at the recent matches: Naples has struggled at home, with losses and draws. Frosinone hasn’t performed well away either.

In conclusion: a match dominated by Naples seems likely. A total of less than 3.5 goals and a bet on both teams scoring could be attractive options.

The potential number of goals

First, note that Naples has only won one of their last 5 home matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6. On the other hand, Frosinone has not won any of their last 5 away matches, scoring the same as Naples, with 5 goals, and conceding 6.

Next, Naples averages 1.4 goals per home match, but concedes more, at 2 goals per match. Frosinone is less successful with an average of 0.8 goals scored per away match and 1.2 goals conceded.

The chances of victory heavily favor Naples, with a success probability of 80.83% compared to only 4.66% for Frosinone. The draw has a probability of 14.51%.

There is an 83.42% chance that the match will have more than 1.5 goals, and a 61.14% chance of there being more than 2.5 goals.

Finally, both teams have a 51.3% probability of scoring, a useful data point for sports betting enthusiasts.

In conclusion, the balance seems to be in favor of Naples, despite a defense that can be vulnerable. Goals are expected, with good probabilities for over 1.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, Naples appears as the favorite in this Serie A match against Frosinone according to statistics and sports betting odds. However, this does not necessarily guarantee their victory as Frosinone has also shown they can score goals and cause problems for Naples’ defense. Betting on over 2.5 goals seems to be a solid option considering the offensive potential of both teams and their sometimes shaky defenses. The bet that both teams will score also seems like an interesting option as they both have a tendency to find the back of the net. Even though Naples is the clear favorite, betting on a draw offers an interesting odds and should be considered for punters looking for high-risk but highly rewarding bets. Lastly, predicting the exact score of Naples 2-1 Frosinone reinforces the idea of a potentially both offensive and contested match.