Tipps Necaxa Club Tijuana Liga MX 19/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Necaxa wins the match

1. The strong home performance of Necaxa: With a victory in 60% of their last 5 matches and a draw in 20% of cases, their home performance is solid. Furthermore, they have scored 10 goals during these matches, demonstrating a good offensive performance.

2. The disappointing away performances of Tijuana: Tijuana has not won any of their last 5 away matches and has only drawn in 20% of cases. Additionally, their offensive potential has been significantly lower than that of Necaxa, with only 2 goals scored in these matches.

3. The high probability of a draw or Necaxa win: According to statistics, there is a 70.26% probability that Necaxa will win the match or it will end in a draw. This high percentage indicates that the odds are strongly in favor of Necaxa or a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Low goal history: In their last 5 matches, Necaxa has scored an average of 0.6 goals while Tijuana has scored an average of 1 goal away from home. This low goal average suggests that a total score of less than 2.5 goals is likely.

2. Defensive performance: Necaxa has a 29% defensive potential at home and Tijuana 50% away from home. These figures suggest that both teams are capable of limiting the number of goals.

3. Tijuana’s recent away results: Recent away results for Tijuana not only show a lack of wins but also a low number of goals scored. This, combined with Necaxa’s defensive performance at home, increases the likelihood of a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The home match statistics for Necaxa and the away match statistics for Tijuana both show that they have a good offensive potential, with Necaxa scoring an average of 0.6 goals per match and Tijuana scoring 1 goal per match. This, combined with their defensive shortcomings (Necaxa conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match and Tijuana 1.4 goals per match), increases the likelihood of both teams scoring.

2. The historical trend of matches involving these two teams demonstrates that they both have a scoring ability. When looking at Necaxa’s recent home matches and Tijuana’s recent away matches, Necaxa has managed to score in 4 of their last 5 home matches, while Tijuana has scored in 2 of their last 5 away matches.

3. The odds offered by bookmakers also show a high level of confidence that both teams will score, with a success probability indicated at 61.03%.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Necaxa wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Necaxa 2-0 Tijuana

1. Necaxa has a strong home performance: With a 60% winning rate in their last 5 home games, Necaxa has shown strong resilience at home, particularly by scoring 10 goals in those matches. This could provide Necaxa with a significant advantage.

2. Tijuana’s poor away performance: Tijuana has not won any of their last 5 away matches, with an average of 1 goal scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game, demonstrating a defensive vulnerability when playing away from home. This further gives Necaxa opportunities to win the match.

3. Probability statistics predict a Necaxa victory: We see that the probability of Necaxa winning the match is 43.59% compared to a 29.74% probability for Tijuana. This suggests that Necaxa is more likely to win this match, especially since they are playing at home.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Necaxa, playing at home, has a good momentum with 60% of wins in their last 5 matches. However, their attack is average with only 10 goals scored.
Tijuana, when traveling, is in less confident form. In their last 5 matches, they haven’t won once and have only scored 2 goals.
On average, Necaxa scores 0.6 goals per home match and Tijuana scores 1 goal per away match. The offensive potential of Necaxa is 21% compared to 36% for Tijuana.
Probabilities suggest an advantage for Necaxa with a 43.59% chance of winning compared to 29.74% for Tijuana.
The safest bet appears to be on under 4.5 goals in the match, with an 83.08% success rate. This is consistent with the low offensive potential of both teams.
However, with a 61.03% probability, it is likely that both teams will score at least one goal.
Considering Necaxa’s recent home performances and Tijuana’s lack of away wins, a probable outcome could be a Necaxa win with fewer than 4.5 total goals.

The potential number of goals

Necaxa has a good home performance, with victories in 60% of matches and only 20% draws. Their recent matches show a total of 10 goals scored.

Tijuana, on the other hand, struggles away from home, with no wins in their last 5 matches. They have only scored 2 goals while conceding 3.

Necaxa has a 21% offensive potential and 29% defensive potential at home. Tijuana, when playing away, has a 36% offensive potential and 50% defensive potential.

Based on the probabilities, Necaxa has a 43.59% chance of winning this match (odds of 2.00), while Tijuana has a 29.74% chance (odds of 3.50).

A low-scoring match is expected. There is a 78.97% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match (odds of 1.22) but only a 52.82% chance of there being more than 2.5 goals (odds of 1.70).

Both teams have a 61.03% probability of scoring in the match (odds of 1.60). Therefore, it seems more likely that Necaxa will win, but there may be few goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, based on our analysis and prognosis, the match between Necaxa and Tijuana on October 19, 2024 seems to lean in favor of Necaxa, particularly due to their strong home performances and Tijuana’s struggles away from home. A Necaxa win or a draw seems to be the safest bet, with an interesting value bet suggestion on this prediction.

As for the number of goals during the match, there is a high likelihood that the total will be under 2.5 goals, although both teams also have good chances of scoring at least one goal each, despite their relatively low offensive potential.

Lastly, the suggested exact score is 2-0 in favor of Necaxa, aligning with their strong offensive performances at home and Tijuana’s sometimes vulnerable defense away. However, it is important to remember that these predictions are based on recent statistics and performance trends, and no result is guaranteed in sports. Always exercise caution when placing sports bets.