Tipps Netherlands Germany UEFA Nations League 10/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Netherlands wins the match.

1. Netherlands’ Home Performance: Over their last 5 home matches, the Netherlands have shown a strong performance with 40% win rate and 40% draw rate, making a draw or a Netherlands win likely.

2. Germany’s Away Performance: In their last 5 away matches, Germany has had a mixed performance with only a 20% win rate and a 40% draw rate. This trend also favors a prediction of a draw or a Netherlands win.

3. Success Probabilities: With a success probability of 63.38% for the “draw or Netherlands win” option, it seems to be a safer prediction compared to “Germany wins the match,” which has a lower success probability of 36.62%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Germany’s offensive potential away from home is relatively high at 79%, with an average of 2.2 goals per match, suggesting that they are likely to score in this match against the Netherlands.

2. The Netherlands have a balanced home record, scoring and conceding 9 goals in total in their last 5 matches. This, coupled with their average of 1.6 goals per match, indicates a likelihood of goals from them.

3. The statistic “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 59.86%, suggesting that the match between these two teams is likely to generate a total score of more than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Performance history: The statistics from the last five matches show a significant offensive performance for both teams, with the Netherlands scoring an average of 1.6 goals per home match and Germany scoring 2.2 goals per away match. Moreover, analyzing the scores from the Netherlands’ recent home matches and Germany’s away matches, it is clear that both teams manage to score in most of their games.

2. Defensive weaknesses of both teams: Both teams have shown leaky defenses, with the Netherlands conceding 9 goals in their last five home matches, and Germany conceding 8 goals in their last five away matches. This suggests that opposing teams have a chance to score.

3. Bookmakers’ probabilities: The probabilities provided by bookmakers indicate that both teams are likely to score, with a success rate of 60.56%. This figure supports the assessment based on the past performances of both teams and their relatively weak defenses.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Netherlands 2-2 Germany

1. Both teams have a strong tendency to draw matches, whether at home for the Netherlands (40%) or away for Germany (40%). This means that both teams are fairly evenly matched and could end the match with a score of 2-2.

2. Statistics on goals scored and conceded support this hypothesis. The Netherlands average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match, while Germany average 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded. These figures suggest that both teams are capable of scoring 2 goals each during the match.

3. Data on the probability of both teams scoring also favor this prediction. There is a 60.56% probability of both teams scoring during the match, which supports the idea of a draw with a score of 2-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The Netherlands and Germany face each other in the UEFA Nations League. The Dutch are strong at home with a 40% win and draw rate. They have also scored 9 goals. However, they have a defensive deficit with 9 goals conceded. Germany, on the other hand, is less successful away from home with a 20% win rate and 40% draw rate. They have scored 6 goals but conceded 8.

In their most recent 5 matches, the Netherlands score an average of 1.6 goals per match but concede 1.2 goals. Germany, on the other hand, is much better with an average of 2.2 goals scored per match and only 0.8 goals conceded. Surprisingly, Germany has an offensive potential of 79% compared to 57% for the Netherlands.

The probabilities favor a draw or a Dutch victory at 63.38% compared to 61.97% for Germany. Both teams have a 60.56% chance of scoring. The option of over 1.5 goals in the match has a 79.58% probability of success.

The Netherlands’ recent home matches have been mixed. They lost to England and Austria, but defeated Turkey and Iceland, and drew with France. Germany, on the other hand, has not won away recently, with two draws and two defeats.

Based on this information, the most likely outcome would be a match with over 1.5 goals with a Dutch victory or a draw.

The potential number of goals

The Netherlands, at home, seem to be on a fair streak, with a win or draw in 80% of cases. However, their defense is lacking as they have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches. Yet, they have a solid offensive performance, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match.

Germany, on the road, seems to struggle with only wins in 20% of cases. This team is facing an offensive issue with only 6 goals scored in their last 5 matches, but their defensive performances are better with only 8 goals conceded.

The probabilities slightly favor a Netherlands win at 38.03% against 36.62% for Germany. On the other hand, the “Netherlands or draw” prediction stands out with a success rate probability of 63.38%.

Moreover, the prediction of “Over 1.5 goals in the match” seems likely with odds of 1.24. Both teams have shown some offensive efficiency, so the prediction of “Both teams to score” is also conceivable with a success rate probability of 60.56%.

In summary, it seems reasonable to consider a Netherlands win or draw with over 1.5 goals in the match. Additionally, the idea of both teams scoring appears plausible.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account the current and historical performances of these two teams, we expect an intense encounter between the Netherlands and Germany in this UEFA Nations League match. The Netherlands display significant strength when playing at home, while Germany struggles to show the same dominance away.

Our analysis covers several betting parameters, clearly indicating a leaning towards a draw or a Netherlands victory. With a success probability of 63.38%, this option appears to be the safest bet.

Furthermore, we anticipate a high-scoring match, with the “over 2.5 goals” prediction carrying a success probability of 59.86%. The likelihood of both teams scoring is also supported by a high probability of 60.56%, due to their competitive attacking play and inconsistent defense.

Lastly, despite a relatively lower probability but promising odds, the prediction of a draw seems to be an interesting value bet for punters seeking higher returns.

Nevertheless, it’s crucial to remember that, like any sports prediction, these are subject to numerous uncertain factors. Player injuries, weather conditions, and even the match day itself can influence the outcome. Therefore, these predictions should be used as a guide rather than a guarantee. Good luck and bet responsibly.