Tipps New England Revolution Mazatlán Leagues Cup 28/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“New England wins the match”

1. Home match statistics: In their last 5 home games, New England has shown a strong performance with 40% wins and 40% draws. They have also scored more goals (8) in these games than Mazatlán has scored away (3), indicating better offensive form.

2. Offensive and defensive potential comparison: New England has a higher offensive potential than Mazatlán (36% compared to 21%) and also a higher defensive potential (86% compared to 64%). These figures show that New England is more effective both in attack and defense, increasing their chances of winning.

3. Probability of success: The probability of New England winning the match is the highest among all options, at 55.79%, thus offering a significant statistical advantage to this team.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Statistically, New England has an average of 1 goal scored and concedes an average of 2.4 goals per match at home. This means that in their recent matches, the games have tended to see more than 2.5 goals.

2. Mazatlán, despite not having a strong scoring record away from home (averaging around 0.6 goals per match), concedes an average of 1.8 goals per match on their travels. This suggests a potential weakness in defense, making it easier for the opposing team to score.

3. The probability calculation indicates that the scenario of “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 60.53%.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show a high tendency for both teams to score. New England has scored in all their last 5 home matches while Mazatlán has managed to score in two of their last five away matches.

2. The average goals scored and conceded per match for both teams are above 1, indicating that they have both offensive and defensive potentials enough for both teams to score during the match.

3. With a success probability of 53.68% for both teams to score, the odds offer a potentially interesting return for this prediction, indicating that bookmakers also consider there is a reasonable chance for each team to score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Mazatlán wins the match

Bet on the exact result

New England 2-1 Mazatlán

1. Based on recent performances, New England has an average of 1 goal per home match, while Mazatlán has an average of 0.6 goals scored away. These statistics suggest that it is likely New England will score two goals, and with Mazatlán’s offensive potential, they could potentially score one goal.
2. Probabilities suggest that New England has a 55.79% chance of winning the match, the highest probability among all possible outcomes. Coupled with Mazatlán’s defensive potential of 64%, a scoreline of 2-1 in favor of New England seems plausible.
3. New England’s recent home matches have seen an average of over 2.5 goals per game, and although Mazatlán hasn’t been strong away, they have managed to score in two of their last five matches. This further reinforces the likelihood of a final score of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

New England, in 5 home matches, has a balanced record. 80% of these matches end in a win or draw and they score 8 times, averaging 1.6 goals per match. However, they concede an average of 2 goals per match, with 10 goals conceded.

On the road, Mazatlán rarely wins. Only one match out of 5 ends in a victory. The offensive performance needs improvement, with only 3 goals scored. Defensively, they hold steady with 3 goals conceded.

The probabilities paint New England as the favorite with a 55.79% chance compared to 21.58% for Mazatlán. The match seems to be heading towards a New England win or a draw (78.42% probability).

In terms of goals, it is likely to see a match with over 1.5 goals (83.68% probability).

Looking at past encounters, New England has shown some instability, fluctuating between wins and losses. As for Mazatlán, away games are often challenging with only one victory so far.

Overall, New England appears to be the favorite based on the data, however, football being unpredictable, a draw or a Mazatlán win are not out of the question.

The potential number of goals

New England has won 40% of their recent home matches. They have drawn 40% of the time. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 10.

Mazatlán has won 20% of their recent away matches. They have drawn 20% of the time. They have scored 3 goals and only conceded 3.

The statistics show that New England has an offensive potential of 36%. Their defense is rated at 86%. On the other hand, Mazatlán has an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 64%.

According to the probabilities, New England has a 55.79% chance of winning the match. There is a 22.63% chance of a draw, with only a 21.58% chance of Mazatlán winning the match.

The probability of a match with over 1.5 goals is estimated at 83.68%. Both teams have a 53.68% chance of scoring during the match.

Taking into account previous scores, New England generally has a good record against teams like Mazatlán at home. The probability of a match with less than 4.5 goals is high, at 90.53%. The final prediction could therefore lean towards a low-scoring match with New England winning or a draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, multiple statistical elements suggest that New England is the favorite to win the match against Mazatlán in this Leagues Cup game on July 28, 2024. According to the analyzed data, New England shows strong performance at home, indicating a potential advantage over the Mazatlán team. The probabilities indicate a higher chance for New England to win the match (55.79%). However, football being unpredictable, bettors could also consider a draw or a Mazatlán victory as an alternative, although the probabilities are lower.

Regarding the potential number of goals, the predictions revolve around a match with over 2.5 goals, due to the average number of goals per game recorded and the offensive performances of New England. A success probability of 60.53% supports this trend.

Lastly, the analysis of statistics also shows an interesting betting opportunity in terms of “Both teams to score: Yes”.

There are multiple betting opportunities, each individual can make a relevant choice according to their strategy and risk profile. As always in sports betting, many factors can influence the outcome of a match, and while probabilities are useful, they do not guarantee the final result. Therefore, it is important to use this data as a guide rather than an absolute guarantee of the outcome.