Tipps New England Revolution Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer 16/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Vancouver Whitecaps wins the match

1. Vancouver Whitecaps has a higher success probability (42.73%) than New England (32.73%), indicating a statistical advantage for the Whitecaps.
2. In terms of recent performances, Vancouver Whitecaps has a better offensive performance away from home, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match compared to New England, who score an average of 1 goal per match at home.
3. Vancouver has won 2 of their last 5 away matches (Sporting KC 1 – 2 Vancouver Whitecaps and Cavalry FC 1 – 2 Vancouver Whitecaps), demonstrating their ability to achieve positive results on the road.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The relatively low offensive capabilities of both teams: New England has scored only 3 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Vancouver Whitecaps has scored only 5 goals in their last 5 away matches. This limited offensive potential increases the likelihood of a match with less than 2.5 goals.

2. New England’s high defensive potential at home: with a 64% defense rate, the New England team shows its ability to keep the score low in their home matches.

3. Previous match statistics: in the last five home matches of New England, four of them have ended with less than 2.5 goals. Similarly, in the last five away matches of Vancouver, four matches have also had less than 2.5 goals. These past trends suggest a higher probability for a match with less than 2.5 goals this time.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goal-scoring history: Analysis of their recent matches shows a capability for both teams to score goals, whether at home for New England or away for the Vancouver Whitecaps. For example, New England has scored in 3 out of the last 5 home matches, and Vancouver has scored in 3 out of the last 5 away matches.

2. Teams’ offensive potential: New England has a 36% offensive potential at home, and Vancouver Whitecaps has a 43% offensive potential away, indicating their propensity to score goals when playing at home and away, respectively.

3. Indicated probabilities: The displayed probability for “Both teams to score” is 61.82%, significantly higher than the probability for “Both teams not to score” which is 38.18%. The odds associated with the “Both teams to score” option are 1.55, indicating it is a scenario considered quite likely by bookmakers.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Vancouver Whitecaps wins the match

Bet on the exact result

New England 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

1. The statistics show that New England tends to have draws at home, with 60% of their last 5 matches ending this way. They have also scored and conceded 3 goals, averaging 1 goal for and against per match, suggesting a possible scoreline of 1-1.

2. Vancouver Whitecaps also have a clear trend of scoring and conceding goals when playing away, with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded in their last 5 matches. They average 1.2 goals scored and conceded per match, in line with a predicted 1-1 score.

3. Finally, based on the probabilities, both teams scoring in a match is expected at 61.82%, supporting a potential 1-1 scoreline. Additionally, the probability of the match ending with fewer than 2.5 goals is 60%, further aligning with the 1-1 prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

New England struggles at home, only winning 40% of their matches. They have also scored few goals, with 3 in 5 matches.

Vancouver Whitecaps is not shining away from home either, winning 40% of their matches. But they have scored more with 5 goals in 5 matches.

New England’s home offense is weak at 36%. Their defense is slightly better at 64%.

Vancouver has shown average offense and defense, each at 43% away in the last 5 matches.

The highest probability is that Vancouver wins or it’s a draw at 67.27%. The odds are 2.80 for Vancouver and 1.57 for a draw or Vancouver’s victory.

The number of goals is likely to be low. There’s an 84.55% chance for less than 1.5 goals, and 83.64% for less than 4.5.

There’s a 61.82% chance both teams will score.

In conclusion, Vancouver has a slight advantage, but a low-scoring match is likely. A probable Vancouver win or draw and both teams scoring could be interesting bets.

The potential number of goals

New England has a rather mixed home performance, with a 40% win rate and 60% draw rate. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 3 as well, showing a balance in offense and defense. Vancouver Whitecaps has a 40% away win rate, and concedes an average of 1.2 goals per match, against 1.2 goals scored.

New England’s offensive potential at home is 36%, while their defensive potential is 64%, whereas Vancouver Whitecaps has an offensive and defensive potential of 43% away.

Based on the odds, Vancouver has a 42.73% probability of winning the match, compared to 32.73% for New England. A draw seems less likely with odds of 24.55%.

There is an 84.55% likelihood of having more than 1.5 goals in the match. The balance between offense and defense suggests it is probable to have less than 3.5 goals in the match, with a success probability of 67.27%.

Both teams have a 61.82% probability of scoring, so there is a chance of seeing goals from both sides.

Based on this information, Vancouver Whitecaps have a higher chance of winning the match. It is likely to see more than 1.5 goals in the match, but less than 3.5 goals. Both teams are likely to score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, it appears that these predictions slightly favor the Vancouver Whitecaps team for this match against New England. With a success probability of 42.73%, the recent away performance of the Whitecaps and a well-balanced offensive and defensive capability seem to be key factors in this encounter. However, despite Vancouver’s advantage, the statistics strongly suggest a relatively balanced match, with a potential weakness in the offense of both teams. This leads to a score prediction of New England 1 – 1 Vancouver Whitecaps. With a 61.82% probability of both teams scoring at least once and a forecast of fewer than 2.5 total goals, it seems that the safest bet would be a low-scoring match. Bettors may therefore consider turning to bets such as “Vancouver to win or draw” and/or “both teams to score,” which are considered quite likely by bookmakers. However, it is important to remember that despite recent statistics and odds offered, sports results can be unpredictable. It is advisable to bet responsibly.