Tipps Newcastle Arsenal Premier League 02/11/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Arsenal wins the match”

1. Arsenal has a higher away win rate than Newcastle at home. In fact, Arsenal wins 40% of its matches away while Newcastle only wins 60% of its home matches.

2. Arsenal has a higher offensive (57%) and defensive potential (36%) compared to Newcastle (offensive potential: 21%, defensive potential: 29%), meaning they are likely to score more goals and concede fewer.

3. According to the odds, Arsenal has a 50.38% chance of winning the match, which is significantly higher than Newcastle’s 21.05%. Additionally, the odds for an Arsenal victory are 2.05, which is noteworthy in the betting industry.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The offensive potential of Newcastle United at home is quite low with a score of 21%, resulting in a low average of goals per match (0.6 goal).
2. Arsenal’s defensive potential away from home is rather good with an average of 1 goal conceded per match. Furthermore, the majority of Arsenal’s recent away matches have seen a total score of less than 2.5 goals.
3. The statistics from Newcastle’s recent home matches also show games with generally less than 2.5 goals scored.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Arsenal’s offensive potential away from home is relatively high at 57%, increasing their chances of scoring a goal during the match. Additionally, they have scored in 80% of their last 5 away matches.

2. While Newcastle United’s offensive potential at home is not very high (21%), they have managed to score goals in 80% of their last 5 home matches. Furthermore, Arsenal has conceded goals in 80% of their last 5 away matches, providing Newcastle with the opportunity to score.

3. Finally, the overall statistics for the “Both Teams to Score” bet is 66.17%, indicating that based on both teams’ previous and current performances, it is more likely that both teams will score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 2.02

Bet on the exact result

Newcastle United 1-2 Arsenal

1. Arsenal’s away performance: Statistics show that Arsenal has a consistent performance away from home. In their recent matches, Arsenal has won 40% of games and drawn 40% as well. Additionally, with an attacking potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 36%, they are more likely to score against Newcastle United.

2. Newcastle United’s home performance: Newcastle United has displayed a strong performance at home, winning 60% of their matches. However, they have a low average goals per game (0.6) and a higher average goals conceded (0.8). These numbers highlight a weaker defensive capability compared to Arsenal, further supporting the prediction of a 1-2 outcome in favor of Arsenal.

3. Betting probabilities: The betting odds also favor Arsenal as the match winner with a success probability of 50.38%, compared to 21.05% for Newcastle United. Furthermore, the probability of over 2.5 goals in the match stands at 55.64%, aligning with the prediction of a 1-2 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Newcastle United, in good form at home, has won 60% of their last 5 matches. However, they have only scored 5 goals, with an average of 0.6 goals per match. Their defensive potential is at 29%, having also conceded 5 goals.

On the other hand, Arsenal has shown decent form away from home with a 40% win rate in their last 5 encounters. Their offensive potential is stronger with 5 goals scored, averaging 1.6 goals per match. They have only conceded 5 goals, with a defense rated at 36%.

The prediction favors Arsenal to win at 50.38% (odds: 2.05). A draw is estimated at 28.57% (odds: 3.75). Less than 3.5 goals in the match have a probability of 71.43% (odds: 1.39).

Both teams seem evenly matched offensively and defensively. The probability of both teams scoring is at 66.17% (odds: 1.70).

Conclusion: a potentially tight match where Arsenal is the favorite, but Newcastle could spring a surprise.

The potential number of goals

Newcastle has shown strength at home, winning 60% of matches, with the same number of goals scored as conceded (5). Arsenal, away from home, has a similar performance, with 40% wins and 40% draws. Their defensive records are level at 5 goals each.

Newcastle scores 0.6 goals per home match and concedes 0.8. Their offensive potential of 21% is low, as is their defense at 29%. Arsenal scores more away from home, with 1.6 goals per match and concedes 1 goal. Their offensive potential of 57% is relatively higher.

The odds predict an Arsenal win at 50.38% compared to 21.05% for Newcastle. A draw seems possible at 28.57%. The chances of a match with over 1.5 goals are high at 80.45%. Both teams are expected to score, according to the probabilities.

Looking at their recent games, Newcastle seems more comfortable against teams like Arsenal. Despite some variability in performance, Arsenal has shown good away form, especially in their last two matches.

In conclusion, a close match is expected. An Arsenal win seems more likely, but a draw with over 1.5 goals and both teams scoring would be a solid prediction.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, and based on the provided statistics, it appears that Arsenal has the advantage in the upcoming match against Newcastle United. The current standings at this stage of the season, offensive heroics, and Arsenal’s away performances are all factors tipping the scales in their favor.

However, despite Newcastle United having a weaker offensive performance and a lower home win rate, they still pose a challenge, especially when playing in front of their home supporters.

The safest bet seems to be “Under 2.5 goals,” which offers an interesting value bet given Newcastle’s offensive potential and Arsenal’s strong away defense. For those looking to bet on the exact score, a 1-2 win in favor of Arsenal seems like a solid prediction based on their previous performances.

As for the “Both teams to score” bet, recent statistics and performances suggest it is likely to happen.

Nevertheless, it is important to note that despite the statistics favoring Arsenal, football is unpredictable and anything can happen during the 90 minutes of the match. Overall, it is recommended for bettors to consider these factors before placing their bets.