Tipps Newcastle Jets Wellington Phoenix League A 19/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Wellington Phoenix wins the match

1. Wellington Phoenix has a higher probability of success according to the provided statistics. The probability of them winning the match is 42.19%, which is higher than the probability of Newcastle Jets winning the match, which is 37.5%.

2. The defensive potential of both teams is the same at 29%, but Wellington Phoenix has a lower offensive potential at 36% compared to Newcastle Jets at 50%. However, in previous matches, Wellington Phoenix has conceded fewer goals (5) than Newcastle Jets (7), indicating a slightly more resilient defense.

3. Wellington Phoenix’s recent performances away from home show that they have been able to score in the majority of their matches, despite playing on opposing grounds. This trend could indicate a particular strength in playing away.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match

1. Past statistics show a relatively high average of goals scored in previous matches. Newcastle Jets have scored 6 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging 1.2 goals per match, while Wellington Phoenix have scored 4 goals in their last 5 away matches, averaging 0.8 goals per match. This could suggest that both teams have a tendency to score goals, increasing the likelihood of a total of over 2.5 goals in the match.

2. The offensive potential of both teams is relatively high. Newcastle Jets have a 50% offensive potential at home, while Wellington Phoenix have a 36% offensive potential away. This means there is a high probability that both teams will score one or more goals in the match, potentially resulting in a total of over 2.5 goals.

3. The odds indicate a 67.97% probability of the match ending with over 2.5 goals. In sports betting, odds are a good indicator of perceived probabilities, and such a high probability would suggest that it is very likely the match will end with over 2.5 total goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The data from Newcastle Jets’ last 5 home matches show that they have scored at least 1 goal in 60% of the matches. Additionally, they have an average of 1.4 goals per match.

2. For Wellington Phoenix, their last 5 away matches reveal that they have scored at least 1 goal in 60% of the matches with an average of 1 goal per match.

3. The probability of both teams scoring is quite high, at 60.16%. This, combined with the offensive performances of both teams, makes it likely that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Newcastle Jets 1-1 Wellington Phoenix.

1. The statistics of both teams show a high probability of a draw, with both teams achieving this result in 40% of their recent matches. Add to that the goal statistics, which show similar trends.

2. The offensive and defensive capabilities of both teams are relatively close, indicating that the balance of the match could be preserved. Both teams score an average of around 1 goal per match and concede less than 1 goal per match, which corresponds to the predicted score of 1-1.

3. Looking at the recent matches of both teams, there have been several clear cases where both teams ended with a 1-1 score. This indicates that this score is a common outcome for both teams and could be repeated in this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Newcastle Jets recently have had an average home record with one win, two draws, and two losses. Their attack has been fairly reliable with 6 goals scored, but they have conceded 7 goals.

Wellington Phoenix, playing away, have a similar record: one win, two draws, and two losses. They have scored fewer goals with 4, but have only conceded 5 goals.

Newcastle Jets have a higher home offensive potential than Wellington Phoenix away (50% compared to 36%). Both teams have solid defense with an identical 29% percentage.

The odds slightly favor Wellington Phoenix (winning at 2.30 with a 42.19% probability), but a draw or Jets’ victory is not ruled out (at 1.62 with a 57.81% chance).

In terms of goals, it is more likely that there will be over 1.5 goals (82.81% chance at 1.20) and less than 4.5 goals (83.59% probability at 1.18). There is a good chance (60.16%) that both teams will score.

Overall, the match could be closely contested, but with the advantage to Wellington Phoenix. A safe bet would be for a total score under 4.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Analysis of Newcastle Jets: They have won only once in their last 5 home matches. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7 goals. Their offensive potential is at 50% and their defense at 29%. The probabilities indicate a 37.5% chance of victory.

Analysis of Wellington Phoenix: Away from home, they have a similar performance to the Jets. They have scored fewer goals, just 4, but have also conceded fewer, with 5 goals against. Their offensive potential is less than 36%, but their defense is also at 29%. They are slightly favored with a 42.19% chance of victory.

Recent results: The Jets have managed to score in 4 out of 5 home matches. Phoenix, however, has scored away from home in only 3 out of 5 matches.

The probabilities suggest a match with over 1.5 goals (82.81%), less than 4.5 goals (83.59%), and both teams scoring (60.16%).

In conclusion, the match is balanced and the prediction is difficult, but Wellington Phoenix could have a slight advantage due to their better defense. The match could be tight with both teams scoring and less than 4.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on statistics, recent performances, and probabilities, the indications lead us to anticipate a slight supremacy for Wellington Phoenix despite the match being held on Newcastle Jets’ home turf. However, due to the unpredictable nature of football, it is important to note that nothing is guaranteed. The match is expected to be close, with likely goals on both sides, favoring bets on over 2.5 goals and BTTS (both teams to score).

That being said, it might be worth considering a bet on the exact score of 1-1, or even the value bet, which in this case is the draw. These two options may seem risky but offer advantageous odds for the bettor.

Regardless, the prudent and wise approach would always be to bet based on one’s own interpretation of all these information elements, and to do so responsibly.