Tipps Newcastle Tottenham Premier League 01/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Tottenham Hotspur wins the match.

1. Recent Statistics: Recent performances of Tottenham Hotspur suggest they have a high probability of winning the match. They have an 80% win rate in their last 5 away games, compared to 60% for Newcastle United in their recent home games.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Statistics show that Tottenham Hotspur has a superior offensive potential with an average of 2.4 goals per game compared to Newcastle United’s average of 1.6. Additionally, Tottenham’s defensive potential is also much higher at 64% compared to 14% for Newcastle United.

3. Bookmakers’ Probability: Bookmakers’ odds indicate a 100% probability of Tottenham Hotspur winning the match, although one should always consider this information with caution, it does confirm the analysis from the first two points.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Newcastle United’s offensive potential at home is 57% and their defensive potential is 14%. This indicates that they score fewer goals and concede fewer goals, which could limit the total number of goals in the match.

2. In Newcastle’s recent home matches, they tend to not score many goals, with an average of 1.6 goals per match. This trend, if continued, could lead to a total of goals scored being less than 2.5 for the match.

3. Looking at Tottenham Hotspur’s previous away matches, although they have a high offensive potential of 86%, they also have a defensive potential of 64%. This suggests that they could score many goals but also concede goals, which could offset their offensive potential and limit the total number of goals to less than 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The recent home performances of Newcastle United show that they have scored in the majority (80%) of their matches but have also managed to maintain a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.4 goals on average per match. This strong home defense could prevent Tottenham Hotspur from scoring.

2. Tottenham Hotspur, despite a strong offensive performance away from home (scoring an average of 2.4 goals per match), also has a relatively weak defense, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. This could mean that they are likely to not score against Newcastle United’s solid defense.

3. The odds for both teams scoring are very low – with a stated success probability of 0% – indicating that it is less likely for both teams to score in this match. Furthermore, the success probability for both teams not scoring is 100%, further reinforcing this argument.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Tottenham Hotspur wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Newcastle United 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur

1. Tottenham Hotspur has a better performance in their last 5 away games, with an 80% win rate, compared to Newcastle United’s 60% win rate at home. This higher offensive potential of Tottenham increases the likelihood that they will score more goals than Newcastle.

2. Analysis of goals scored/conceded reveals that Tottenham averages 2.4 goals per game away, while Newcastle scores 1.6 at home. Similarly, Tottenham concedes an average of 1.8 goals, while Newcastle only concedes 0.4. These statistics lean towards a scoreline of 1-2, as Tottenham has scored more goals and Newcastle fewer.

3. Looking at the success probabilities of different possible outcomes, we see that a Tottenham victory is the only outcome with a 100% success probability. Furthermore, the match is more likely to have fewer than 3.5 goals (100% success probability), which is consistent with a 1-2 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Newcastle has won 60% of their home matches and Tottenham 80% away. The Spurs have a strong attack with an average of 2.4 goals per match. Newcastle’s team scores less but also concedes fewer goals. Tottenham has a 100% chance of winning this match according to the odds. There is a trend of high-scoring matches for Tottenham when playing away. Less than 3.5 goals have been predicted for this match.

The potential number of goals

Newcastle United has won 60% of their home matches with an offensive potential of 57% and has conceded more goals (9) than they have scored (8). Their defensive potential is limited to 14%.

Tottenham Hotspur is strong away from home. They have won 80% of their matches and have scored more goals (15) than they have conceded (16). Their offensive potential is high (86%) and their defensive potential is quite good (64%).

There is a high probability that Tottenham will win the match (100%). The outcome is priced at 2.55. It is very unlikely that there will be fewer than 1.5 goals (odds of 6.80) or more than 2.5 goals (odds of 1.39).

The score of less than 3.5 goals is the most likely (100%). The outcome is priced at 1.87. It is also likely that there will be fewer than 4.5 goals (100%, odds of 1.37).

The chances of both teams scoring are zero (0%). The same probability for a draw (0%).

In conclusion, Tottenham is favored to win. Less than 3.5 goals in the match seems to be the most probable scenario.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

An in-depth analysis of statistics, bookmakers’ odds, and the past performances of both teams gives a considerable advantage to Tottenham Hotspur in this Premier League match against Newcastle United. Recent win rates, offensive and defensive potential, and the virtually unanimous opinion of bookmakers all point towards a probable win for Tottenham. Given Newcastle’s relatively lower offensive potential and the high probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in the match, the likelihood of both teams scoring seems low. A Tottenham win with an exact score of 1-2 appears to be a plausible prediction. However, it is essential to keep in mind that while statistics and odds may paint a general picture, football is unpredictable, and the final outcome remains uncertain until the final whistle. Therefore, it is always recommended to bet responsibly.