Tipps Newells Old Boys Racing Club Liga Profesional Argentina 17/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Racing Club wins the match

1. Racing Club has a better offensive potential than Newells Old Boys in their recent away/home matches respectively, 36% against 21%.

2. The success probabilities indicate that Racing Club has a higher chance of winning the match at 44.38%, compared to Newells Old Boys and the draw at 29.21% and 26.4% respectively.

3. Racing Club has shown its ability to score away in previous matches, notably against Tigre (4 goals) and Talleres de Cordoba (4 goals), resulting in an average of 1 goal per away match. This, combined with Newells Old Boys’ average defense at home, tilts the balance in favor of Racing Club.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. History of scores: The statistics from the latest matches of Newells Old Boys at home and Racing Club away show a trend towards low scores, with Newells Old Boys averaging 0.6 goals per home match and Racing Club averaging 1 goal per away match. Considering their defensive performances as well, it is likely that in the upcoming match, fewer than 2.5 goals will be scored.

2. Offensive and defensive performance: The teams have demonstrated relatively weak offensive performances compared to their defensive performances. For instance, the offensive potential of Newells Old Boys at home is 21% compared to their defensive potential of 43%, and the offensive potential of Racing Club away is 36% compared to their defensive potential of 21%. These statistics suggest that their ability to score goals is lower than their ability to defend, which could result in fewer than 2.5 goals in the upcoming match.

3. Betting probabilities: The betting probabilities also suggest that the match could have fewer than 2.5 goals. The probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in the match is 1.56, which is relatively high compared to other bets related to offensive performance, such as over 2.5 goals (46.07% probability) or over 1.5 goals (73.03% probability). Additionally, the bet on under 3.5 goals has a very high probability of success (93.82%), indicating that the match will likely have a rather low score.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Statistically, both teams have a tendency to score in their respective matches, with Newells Old Boys scoring 4 goals at home in 5 matches and Racing Club scoring 8 goals away in 5 matches.
2. Racing Club’s defensive statistic shows vulnerability, having conceded 12 goals in their last 5 away matches, which provides an opportunity for Newells Old Boys to score.
3. The odds suggest a competitive encounter with Racing Club slightly favored to win (44.38%) but also high probabilities for a draw (26.4%) or a Newells Old Boys victory (29.21%). This hints at a match where both teams will have goal-scoring opportunities.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match – 46.07% chance of success: 2.36.

Bet on the exact result

Newell’s Old Boys 1-1 Racing Club

1. The offensive and defensive potential of Newell’s Old Boys and Racing Club is quite similar, suggesting a balanced match. Both teams have a tendency to score and concede goals in their recent matches, making 1-1 a plausible score.

2. Historically, both teams have a relatively high rate of draws, with 40% for Newell’s Old Boys and 40% for Racing Club in their last 5 matches each. This means that the probability of a draw is quite high.

3. Probability statistics indicate a potentially low number of goals for the match: 73.03% probability for over 1.5 goals, but a 93.82% probability for under 3.5 goals. This implies that the match is more likely to have a low score, such as 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Newells Old Boys shows stability while playing at home, with a 40% win rate and 40% draws. However, the average goals scored are low, only 0.6 per match.

On the contrary, Racing Club has only won 20% of their away games, but with a better average score of 1 goal per match. Their defense seems weak, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match.

The probability of Racing Club winning is 44.38%, which is higher than Newells’ probability (29.21%).

The probability of a match with over 1.5 goals is 73.03%, which seems more likely given the average goals per match.

Looking at previous matches, Newells Old Boys tend to have low scores at home. For Racing Club, scores vary, going up to 4 goals in a single match.

Both teams have a 51.12% chance of scoring, which is almost equivalent to the chances of not scoring (48.88%).

In conclusion, the match seems to favor Racing Club, but the goal forecast is not too high.

The potential number of goals

The Newells Old Boys seem stable at home, with a win rate of 40% and a draw rate of 40%. However, their offensive performance is weak with only 4 goals scored against 4 conceded.

On the other hand, Racing Club struggles away from home, with a win rate of 20% and a draw rate of 40%. They have scored 8 goals but conceded 12, indicating a defensive challenge.

In terms of potential, Newells Old Boys are more defensive at home with 43%, while offense is limited to 21%. Racing Club is more offensive with 36% and has less defense with 21%.

The probabilities indicate an advantage for Racing Club with a 44.38% chance of winning. Nevertheless, a draw or a victory for Newells Old Boys also has a good probability at 55.62%.

With a 73.03% chance, one can expect more than 1.5 goals in the match. There is also a 93.82% chance that the match will have less than 3.5 goals.

Looking at the recent matches, Newells Old Boys have had ups and downs, while Racing Club has struggled in their away games, especially against Lanus and Sarmiento Junin.

In conclusion, Racing Club has a slight advantage, but solid defenses could limit the number of goals. A draw or a victory for Newells Old Boys could also be a likely outcome, considering their home statistics.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

After examining the statistics and all relevant data of the upcoming event between Newells Old Boys and Racing Club, several key factors lead us to conclude that Racing Club currently has a better advantage to win this match. However, the game seems to be tight, with a notable trend for low scores on both sides.

While Racing Club has excellent offensive potential and has proven its ability to score in previous matches, the home performance of Newells Old Boys should not be underestimated, averaging 0.6 goals per home match. Despite this, the slight superiority of Racing Club’s attack, coupled with an average home defense of Newells Old Boys, tips the balance in favor of Racing Club.

Regarding the “Over/Under 2.5” bet, statistics and probabilities indicate a match with less than 2.5 goals. However, an interesting value bet would be to take the risk on a match with over 2.5 goals, given the offensive potential of these teams.

As for the exact score, a draw with a 1-1 scoreline seems to be the most plausible. However, every sports bet carries risks and should only be taken after careful consideration and thorough analysis.

In conclusion, no result can be guaranteed in sports betting. Each bet is a risk, and it is advisable for bettors to exercise due diligence by conducting their own research before placing bets.