Tipps Newtown AFC Penybont Premier League 11/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Penybont wins the match.

1. Penybont has a better win rate: Based on the last 5 matches, Penybont has an 80% win rate when playing away, while Newtown AFC only has a 40% win rate when playing at home.

2. Penybont has a stronger defense: Looking at goals conceded in the last 5 matches, Penybont has conceded no goals, indicating a solid defense, whereas Newtown AFC has conceded 13 goals.

3. Penybont has a better offensive potential: In the last 5 away matches, Penybont has scored an average of 2.4 goals per game, giving them an offensive potential of 86%, while Newtown AFC has scored an average of 1.8 goals per game at home, giving them an offensive potential of 64%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5 goals”

1. Both teams have a strong history of scoring goals. Newtown AFC has scored 10 goals in 5 home matches, while Penybont has scored 9 goals in 5 away matches. This gives an average of nearly 2 goals per match for each team.

2. The defensive statistics of each team also indicate that they usually concede goals. Newtown AFC has conceded 13 goals in 5 home matches and Penybont has conceded 10 goals in 5 away matches. This means that each team on average concedes more than 1 goal per match.

3. By examining the previous home matches of Newtown AFC and away matches of Penybont, a trend of seeing more than 2.5 goals in their games is noticeable. For example, in the match Newtown AFC 5 – 0 Caernarfon Town and Pontypridd Town 0 – 3 Penybont, the total number of goals was well above 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Newtown AFC has an excellent offensive performance at home with an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Penybont’s away performance is even better with an average of 2.4 goals per match. These statistics show that both teams have effective attacks, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring in their matchup.

2. Newtown AFC’s defensive statistics at home are not reassuring, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per match, and Penybont’s away defensive record is concerning, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per match. These stats indicate that both teams have weaknesses in defense, setting the stage for both teams to score in the game.

3. Looking at the recent matches of both teams, Newtown AFC has scored in 4 of their last 5 home games, and Penybont has scored in all of their last 5 away games. These trends confirm that both teams have regularly found the back of the net in their previous encounters, supporting the prediction that both teams will score in their match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Penybont wins the match.”

Bet on the exact result

“Newtown AFC 2-2 Penybont”

1. Score history: Given the historical matches of Newtown AFC at home and Penybont away, it is logical to predict a draw with a high score. Newtown AFC’s recent home matches have often resulted in high scores (over 2.5 goals) and Penybont has shown its ability to score away.
2. Offensive and defensive potential: Newtown AFC has a 64% offensive potential and a 21% defensive potential at home. On the other hand, Penybont has a very high offensive potential (86%) and a 0% defensive potential when playing away. These statistics indicate a high probability that both teams will score at least once in this match.
3. Draw tendency: Newtown AFC has a draw tendency (60% of cases) when playing at home. Similarly, Penybont has also drawn in 20% of its recent away matches. This observed tendency in both teams suggests a possibility of a draw between them, hence the prediction of 2-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Newtown AFC has won 40% of their last 5 home matches, but has also recorded 60% of draws. The defense seems shaky as they have conceded 13 goals, against 10 goals scored.

On the other hand, Penybont has a strong away performance, winning 80% of their last 5 matches and scoring 9 goals while conceding 10.

Offensively, Newtown AFC at home scores an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Penybont scores 2.4 goals away. Penybont’s defense is impressive, not conceding any goals on average in their away matches.

Newtown AFC’s recent home matches have seen a mix of scores, including a crushing 5-0 victory over Caernarfon Town, but also a 5-1 defeat to Bala Town. For Penybont, they seem to be performing well away, as shown by their victories against Pontypridd Town, Aberystwyth Town, and Colwyn Bay.

Taking these statistics into account, Penybont seems to have a slight advantage, especially due to their strong defense away from home.

The potential number of goals

Here is the analysis for the Newtown AFC vs. Penybont match:

Newtown AFC, at home, wins 40% of the time and draws 60% of the time. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 13 goals. Their offensive capability is 64% and their defense is 21%.

Penybont, on the other hand, has an impressive away record. They win 80% of the time and draw 20% of the time. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 10. Penybont has an offensive capability of 86% and an impervious defense of 0%.

It seems that there will be less than 3.5 goals in the match with a probability of 100%. Additionally, both teams will not score with a probability of 100%.

Looking at recent matches, Newtown AFC has had mixed results at home. On the other hand, Penybont has shown a strong performance away.

In conclusion, Newtown AFC has some advantage at home, but Penybont has a solid away record. One could predict a match with less than 3.5 goals and both teams not scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, statistical analysis shows that Penybont appears to be better positioned to win the match against Newtown AFC, particularly due to its high win rate in away games and solid defense that has not conceded any goals in the last 5 matches. Additionally, its superior offensive potential could be decisive.

However, football is never an exact science and the game can always bring surprises. It is therefore recommended to bet responsibly and not rely solely on statistics. Taking all these factors into account, the prediction of “Penybont to win the match” seems to offer an interesting value bet.

Regarding goals, we can expect a match with over 2.5 goals and there is a good chance that both teams will score. Finally, in terms of exact score, a bet on 2-2 may seem appealing given the offensive potential of both teams and their recent trend of conceding goals.

In short, this match promises to be interesting, with many betting opportunities. As always, it is essential to be cautious and carefully consider all factors before placing a bet.