Tipps Nice Real Sociedad UEFA Europa League 25/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Nice wins the match.

1. Nice has a notable offensive performance at home, scoring an average of 2.8 goals per match. This compares favorably to Real Sociedad’s defensive performance, as they concede an average of 1 goal per away match.

2. Real Sociedad’s recent statistics show a trend towards draws when playing away, with a 60% draw rate in their last 5 matches.

3. The calculated probability for the event “Draw or Nice wins the match” is 69.4%, which is higher than the other match result options. This statistic suggests that Nice has a strong chance of not losing this home game.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive potential of Real Sociedad away from home is very low, with an average of 0.2 goals scored per match in their last 5 outings. This reduces the likelihood of multiple goals in the match.

2. In their last 5 home matches, Nice has shown a defensive potential of 43%, meaning they tend not to concede many goals. This further limits the prospect of numerous goals.

3. Statistics also indicate that the match doesn’t seem to strongly favor a specific team, with fairly equal odds. This suggests the match could be tight with a low number of goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Defensive performance of Real Sociedad: Away in their last 5 matches, Real Sociedad has shown a very good defensive ability by conceding only 1 goal on average per game. Furthermore, in these same matches, they managed to keep a clean sheet in 60% of cases, demonstrating defensive solidity even away from home.

2. Low offensive potential of Real Sociedad: Still based on the last 5 away matches of Real Sociedad, the team has scored only 2 goals in total, averaging 0.2 goals per game. This suggests a low offensive potential when playing away.

3. Overall match statistics: Despite Nice having a high offensive potential at home, the overall match probabilities favor “Under 3.5 goals in the match” with a probability of 91.8%. This means that it is more likely that the total goals scored in the match will be under 3.5, supporting the hypothesis that both teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Nice 1-1 Real Sociedad

1. The statistics show that Real Sociedad has a strong tendency to draw in their away matches, with a rate of 60%. This, combined with the fact that Nice also draws in 20% of cases, increases the likelihood of a balanced outcome.

2. Both teams have fairly similar offensive and defensive potential both at home and away, respectively. Neither team has significant differences in terms of goals scored or conceded, which could lead to a tight match with few goals, indicating a potential score of 1-1.

3. The odds indicate that the most likely score is less than 2.5 goals with a probability of 66.12%. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 51.37%, suggesting a potential scoreline of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Nice has an average home record. 40% of their 5 matches have neither been won nor lost. They are scoring goals – 14 in 5 matches, averaging 2.8 goals per game. However, their defense is lacking – conceding 16 goals.

Real Sociedad doesn’t impress away from home. 60% of their last 5 matches have ended in draws. Their attacking line is struggling with only 2 goals in 5 matches. Their defense is more solid, having conceded just 3 goals.

Nice has a strong offensive potential (100%). Their defense, not so much (43%). Real Sociedad is not a threat with an offensive potential of 7%. Their strength lies in defense (36%).

Predictions? Nice has a 36.07% chance of winning, with odds at 2.55. A draw has a 33.33% chance, with odds at 3.10. Real Sociedad is not favored – 30.6% chance, with odds at 3.10.

Betting on under 1.5 goals could bring a big return: 2.70. Betting on over 1.5 goals seems safer: 66.12% chance, with odds at 1.48.

There is a 51.37% chance that both teams will score – odds at 2.00.

Nice’s recent home matches have been very productive in terms of goals. Real Sociedad has had a series of draws away, except for a win against Espanyol Barcelona.

Safe bet? Fewer than 3.5 goals in the match (91.8% chance, odds at 1.19). For calculated risks, bet on Nice or a draw – 69.4% chance, odds at 1.40.

The potential number of goals

Nice has a strong offensive profile at home, averaging 2.8 goals per match with 14 goals in 5 games. However, they have also conceded 16 goals, indicating a vulnerable defense. La Real Sociedad scores few goals away (0.2 goals per match), but defends well with only 3 goals conceded.

Nice rarely wins at home (20%), while La Real Sociedad has only won once away. However, La Real Sociedad has a high draw rate (60%).

The highest probability is a draw or a win for Nice (69.4%). The odds correspond to this trend at 1.40. Furthermore, fewer than 3.5 goals in the match have the highest likelihood of occurring (91.8%), with odds of 1.19.

There is a 51.37% probability that both teams will score, reflecting Nice’s strong offense and La Real Sociedad’s decent defense away.

Recent match analysis confirms these trends. Nice has scored heavily in some matches (such as against Saint Etienne with 8 goals) but has also lost to PSG. La Real Sociedad has rarely scored, with a maximum of one goal per match away, notably against Espanyol Barcelona.

In conclusion, it would be prudent to bet on “fewer than 3.5 goals in the match” and “draw or Nice wins the match.” However, football is always full of surprises.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this article has detailed the probabilities and odds for the match between Nice and Real Sociedad, highlighting different ways to bet and anticipate possible match outcomes. A cautious bettor might be tempted to wager on the “under 3.5 goals in the match” option, given its high probability. As for the “draw or Nice win the match” option, it also seems to offer a likely outcome, considering Nice’s offensive potential at home and Real Sociedad’s tendency to draw away.

However, statistics are not foolproof, and uncertainty remains one of the most exciting elements of football. While Nice may benefit from their offensive advantage, Real Sociedad could capitalize on their recent solid defensive performances. Therefore, it would be wise for bettors to take all these factors into account and bet responsibly.

Lastly, the value bet on “over 2.5 goals in the match” offers an interesting alternative, despite a lower probability. Viewing it from the perspective of Nice’s offensive potential and their potential defensive vulnerability, it could provide a good opportunity for bettors seeking higher risks with potentially higher returns.