Tipps NK Osijek HNK Gorica Prva HNL 02/11/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Osijek wins the match

1. Statistically speaking, Osijek has a better performance at home, with a 75.26% probability of winning the match.
2. On the other hand, HNK Gorica has a rather weak away record, having not won any of its last 5 matches.
3. Based on offensive and defensive statistics, Osijek has an offensive potential of 86% compared to 36% for HNK Gorica, and a defensive potential of 50% compared to 64%, which suggests that Osijek is likely more capable of winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The statistics show that both teams tend to concede goals, whether at home or away. Indeed, Osijek has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match at home, while HNK Gorica has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match away. This indicates a high probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match.

2. Osijek’s offensive potential at home is 86% with an average of 2.4 goals per match. This shows that this team has the ability to score multiple goals in a match, thus increasing the chances of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this match.

3. The provided probabilities also support the prediction. Indeed, the probability of more than 2.5 goals in the match is 53.16%. This is a strong indication that the chances are quite good for there to be more than 2.5 goals, especially when comparing this probability to others available.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The low offensive potential of HNK Gorica when playing away: they only score an average of 1 goal per match, indicating that they struggle to convert their chances into goals when not playing at home.
2. Osijek’s defensive potential at home is relatively good with a 50% score. This means that in half of their home matches, they do not allow their opponents to score.
3. The results of the last 5 home matches for Osijek and Gorica reveal that most of the time, one of the teams fails to score: 3 out of 5 for Osijek, and 4 out of 5 for Gorica. These results suggest a strong potential for a “no” outcome in the “Both teams to score” bet.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 4.33

Bet on the exact result

Osijek 2-1 HNK Gorica

1. Based on Osijek’s home performance and HNK Gorica’s away statistics, Osijek’s last five matches have shown that they have the ability to score goals, with a total of 5 goals scored. Furthermore, HNK Gorica has lost all their away matches, indicating a weak defensive level away from home.

2. According to statistics, Osijek has an offensive potential of 86% and a defensive potential of 50%, compared to an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 64% for HNK Gorica. Therefore, it is more likely that Osijek will score more goals than HNK Gorica.

3. The success probabilities also indicate that Osijek has a high chance of winning the match (75.26%) while HNK Gorica has a low chance of victory (6.32%). Moreover, the probability of more than 2.5 goals in the match is 53.16%, which strengthens the prediction of a 2-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

For Osijek at home, victory or draw prevails in 5 recent matches. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 goals. Their offensive strength is at 86% and their defense concedes 50% of the goals.

HNK Gorica does not win away. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 6. Their offensive performances are weak at 36% and their defense is at 64%.

The probabilities indicate a 75.26% chance (1.47) for Osijek to win. A draw is unlikely at 18.42% (4.33) and a Gorica victory is very improbable at 6.32% (6.50).

With over 1.5 goals projected, the probability is 82.63% (1.25). Both teams are likely to score with a probability of 50% (1.90).

Osijek’s recent home performance shows mixed results (2 wins, 2 losses, 1 draw).

Gorica has not won away recently, with 4 losses and 1 draw.

Based on these data, it is more likely that Osijek will win, with a possibility of over 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Osijek shows solid form at home with 40% wins and 40% draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6 overall.

On the other hand, HNK Gorica struggles away from home with 0% wins and 20% draws. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 6 goals in their last 5 away games.

Osijek is more offensive at home, averaging 2.4 goals per game, while Gorica only scores 1 goal per game away.

In terms of defense, Osijek concedes an average of 1.4 goals per home match, while Gorica concedes an average of 1.8 goals away.

The probabilities indicate a clear advantage for Osijek with a 75.26% chance of winning the match compared to only 6.32% for Gorica.

Regarding the total number of goals in the match, the most likely scenario is Over 1.5 goals in the match, with a success probability of 82.63%, followed by Under 3.5 goals in the match with a success probability of 72.11%.

There is a 50% chance both teams will score.

In conclusion, Osijek seems to have the edge, especially at home, with significantly higher chances of winning than HNK Gorica. A match with over 1.5 goals seems probable given the offensive statistics of both teams.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, this prediction is reinforced by statistics, which strongly favor Osijek as the favorite team for this match in the HNL against HNK Gorica. Osijek’s defensive and offensive performances at home significantly increase their chances of winning the match, with a success probability of 75.26%, while HNK Gorica’s moderate performance away reduces their chances with a success probability of 6.32%.

The prediction of over 2.5 goals in the match with a probability rate of 53.16% seems appealing given the number of goals typically scored by Osijek at home and conceded by HNK Gorica away. However, the bet on “both teams to score” seems to lean towards “no”, considering half of Osijek’s matches do not allow goals at home and HNK Gorica’s lack of success away.

An interesting bet with good value would be on a draw at 4.33, given Osijek’s relatively high number of home draws and HNK Gorica’s poor form away, which could prevent a victory for either team. The predicted score is 2-1 in favor of Osijek.

Analyzing the recent performances of both teams and their offensive and defensive capabilities, the logical conclusion would be a victory for Osijek with over 1.5 goals in the match. However, as always in sports betting, nothing is certain and every bettor must consider numerous factors before making a decision.