Tipps NK Osijek NK Varazdin Prva HNL 29/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Osijek wins the match

1. Osijek seems to have a better performance at home with an 81.77% probability of winning or drawing, indicating a strong tendency not to lose when playing at home.
2. Consequently, Osijek’s recent home matches show a capability to score regularly, even if the numerical advantage is not always in their favor, suggesting some resilience.
3. NK Varazdin, while having a good performance away, seems to have weaker defense with a defensive potential of only 7% compared to Osijek’s 29%, which could make it difficult for them to overcome Osijek at home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Over their last 5 matches, Osijek has shown a weak offensive potential, averaging only 1 goal per game, while NK Varazdin has displayed a solid defense by conceding only 0.2 goals per game away from home, which suggests a low-scoring match.

2. The recent matches of both teams support this hypothesis: out of the 10 mentioned recent matches, 60% of them have seen less than 2.5 goals scored.

3. Sports betting statistics also indicate a higher probability of a match with less than 2.5 goals, with a success probability of 45.83% for over 2.5 goals and lower odds for under 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent statistics show that both teams have a scoring ability in every match. On average per match, Osijek scores 1 goal at home while NK Varazdin scores 1.2 goals away.

2. The calculated probability shows that “Both teams score” has a higher success rate (52.08%) than “Both teams do not score” (47.92%).

3. Past data shows that in the majority of the last 5 matches, both Osijek at home and NK Varazdin away have scored goals (Osijek 1 – 2 Sibenik, Hajduk Split 2 – 1 NK Varazdin, etc.). This reinforces the argument that both teams have the potential to score in their encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 33.33% chance of success: 3.60

Bet on the exact result

Osijek 1-1 NK Varazdin

1. The statistics show a high draw rate for Osijek at home (60%) and for NK Varazdin away (40%). This suggests a high probability of a draw between these two teams.

2. Osijek averages 1 goal per home match, while NK Varazdin averages 1.2 goals per away match. This demonstrates a similar ability for both teams to score goals, potentially leading to a 1-1 scoreline.

3. Both teams show defensive potential, with Osijek at 29% and NK Varazdin at 7%, indicating they are capable of limiting goals scored by the opposing team. Therefore, a 1-1 score would align with this defensive statistic.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Osijek, at home, struggles to win with only a 20% win rate and 60% draws in their last 5 matches. Their defense appears weak, conceding 6 goals.
On the other hand, NK Varazdin has shown better away performance with a 40% win rate and 40% draws. Their defense is stronger, conceding only 4 goals.
Paradoxically, Osijek has an offensive potential of 36% compared to Varazdin’s 43%. Osijek’s defensive potential is at 29% versus Varazdin’s 7%.
According to the probabilities, Osijek has a 48.44% chance of winning, a draw stands at 33.33%, while NK Varazdin only has an 18.23% chance of victory.
In a safer bet scenario, a draw or Osijek’s win is at a probability of 81.77%.
The trend seems to point towards a low-scoring match. The odds suggest a 77.6% probability of under 3.5 goals in the match.
In conclusion, this match seems to be heading towards a draw or an Osijek victory with few goals.

The potential number of goals

Osijek, playing at home, seems to be going through a difficult period with only a 20% win rate and 60% draws. Their attack is showing a weak signal with only 4 goals scored in their last 5 matches.

NK Varazdin, playing away, has moderate performances with a 40% win rate and the same amount of draws. They have both scored and conceded 4 goals, showing a balanced team.

In numerical terms, Osijek averages 1 goal per home match, leading to a 36% offensive potential. Defensively, they have conceded 0.8 goals on average, resulting in a 29% defensive performance.

On the other hand, NK Varazdin has shown a 43% offensive potential, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per away match. Their solid defense has limited conceding to 0.2 goals on average, giving them a 7% defensive potential.

In terms of predictions, the match seems to favor Osijek with a 48.44% win probability. The possibility of a draw also remains strong at 33.33%. NK Varazdin appears to be the underdog with only an 18.23% win probability.

Regarding goals, the match seems to be quite tight with a high probability (72.92%) of over 1.5 goals. The prediction for under 3.5 goals is also high at a 77.6% likelihood of success.

Both teams are likely to score, with a 52.08% probability. However, the chance of both teams not scoring remains reasonably high at 47.92%.

In conclusion, the match seems to lean towards a win or draw for Osijek, with a narrow goal margin.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

After a thorough analysis of the recent performances and statistics of these two teams, it appears that we can expect a fairly close match, where each team will be able to score. Individually, both teams have shown a tendency towards balance and control, with Osijek demonstrating a strong performance at home and NK Varazdin away. This suggests that we could see a draw or an Osijek win in a head-to-head situation.

In terms of goals, our predictions suggest a low-scoring match, with a total number of goals likely to be below 2.5. Both teams have shown an ability to score, but their defensive performances have also been impressive, with an average of 1 goal scored per match for Osijek and 1.2 goals for NK Varazdin.

For more specific bets, a draw seems to be a promising value bet, as both teams have a recent history of draws in their matches. For an even more precise bet, a 1-1 scoreline could be a viable option, supported by the fact that both teams have shown an ability to score and keep their goal secure.

In summary, this match promises to be exciting and difficult to predict. The balance seems to tip in favor of Osijek for the win or a draw, with a total of goals under 2.5. However, uncertainty is a constant component of football, so it is important to bet wisely and follow the match to see how these predictions unfold.