Tipps NK Slaven Belupo HNK Gorica HNL 04/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Slaven Belupo wins the match”

1. The win percentage of Slaven Belupo is higher than that of HNK Gorica, with a success probability of 43.82% compared to 27.53% for HNK Gorica. This indicates that Slaven Belupo has a greater chance of winning this match.

2. Slaven Belupo’s defensive performances at home are better than HNK Gorica’s away performances. Slaven Belupo concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match at home, while HNK Gorica concedes an average of 2.2 goals per match away.

3. HNK Gorica’s recent performances away from home are not impressive, having only won once in their last five matches. On the other hand, even though Slaven Belupo hasn’t won at home recently, they have managed to maintain a draw every time, revealing a certain defensive solidity that could be decisive.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. In their last 5 home matches, Slaven Belupo has a low offensive potential of 21%, as they have scored only 2 goals, averaging 0.6 goals per match. Their ability to score goals is therefore not very high.
2. Similarly, HNK Gorica has an offensive potential of 36% and has scored on average only 1 goal per away match in their last 5 outings, further reducing the likelihood of a high-scoring match.
3. Both teams show respectable defensive performances, with Slaven Belupo conceding an average of 1.4 goals at home and HNK Gorica 2.2 goals away. This defensive aspect may contribute to a lower total goals output.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. In their last 5 home matches, Slaven Belupo has a poor offensive record with only 2 goals scored, indicating a trend of struggling to score in their games.
2. HNK Gorica, in their last 5 away matches, has also not shown a strong offensive performance, with only 6 goals scored. Additionally, in two of these matches, they failed to score.
3. Probability statistics show a slightly higher prediction (50.56%) for both teams not scoring, which would be in line with their recent performances.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Slaven Belupo 1-1 HNK Gorica.

1. Over the last 5 Slaven Belupo home matches, each game has ended with a total score of fewer than 2.5 goals, indicating a trend towards low scoring matches and aligning well with a predicted scoreline of 1-1.
2. HNK Gorica, in their last 5 away matches, has only won 20% of the time, suggesting they may not be strong enough to secure a clear victory against Slaven Belupo, potentially increasing the likelihood of a draw.
3. The average offensive potential for Slaven Belupo at home is 21%, compared to HNK Gorica’s 36% away, indicating that both teams have weak offensive performances, further raising the chances of a match ending with a limited score like 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Slaven Belupo has not won a single home match in their last 5 games, scoring only 2 goals. They struggle offensively and their defense is leaky, conceding 5 goals. On the other hand, HNK Gorica wins 1 out of 5 away matches and draws in 40% of cases, scoring 6 goals against 8 conceded. Gorica’s offense seems slightly superior but their defense is shaky.

Looking at recent performances, Slaven Belupo has a home offensive potential of only 21% while their defensive potential is at 50%. For HNK Gorica, the away attack is at 36% and their defense at 79%.

The prediction that emerges from these statistics suggests that Slaven Belupo has a winning probability of 43.82%. The draw has a probability of 28.65% while the victory of HNK Gorica is estimated at 27.53%. The option of a draw or Slaven Belupo winning has a probability of 72.47%.

In terms of the number of goals, over 1.5 goals in the match seems likely with 69.66% probability, while over 2.5 goals have a probability of 45.51%. In theory, less than 3.5 goals in the match are almost certain with a probability of 89.89%.

According to the stats, it’s almost equally likely that both teams score (49.44%) or not (50.56%). Slaven Belupo’s recent home performances show a series of defeats with 1 goal conceded each time, while HNK Gorica has a mixed record away.

In conclusion, the match seems unclear with a slight inclination towards Slaven Belupo. The number of goals is expected to be between 1 and 3 for the match.

The potential number of goals

Slaven Belupo, playing at home, has drawn their last 5 matches. They have scored only 2 goals and conceded 5. When Gorica plays away, they win 20% of the time and shoot at 40%. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 8.

On average, Belupo scores about 0.6 goals and concedes 1.4 per match – an offensive capacity of 21% and defensive capacity of 50%. Gorica, away from home, scores one goal per match but concedes 2.2 with respective offensive and defensive potentials of 36% and 79%.

In this match, according to the data, there is a 43.82% chance that Belupo wins, compared to 27.53% for Gorica. A draw is predicted at 28.65%. There is a 72.47% chance of either a draw or a Belupo win, and a 56.18% chance of either a draw or a Gorica win.

The analysis suggests a low-scoring match, with a high probability of under 3.5 goals (89.89%). The probability of both teams scoring is 49.44%, slightly lower than the probability of one or both not scoring (50.56%).

Based on the statistics, a cautious bet could be a draw or Belupo win, with under 3.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Slaven Belupo and HNK Gorica appears to be particularly tight and unpredictable. Nevertheless, it seems that Slaven Belupo, despite their recent struggles, have a slight edge considering their home performances and the analysis of the probability of winning. A low number of goals in this match is expected, with a high likelihood of having less than 2.5 goals, confirming the offensive difficulties of both teams.

However, evaluating the past and current performance of the teams offers interesting betting possibilities to consider: “draw or Slaven Belupo win” and “under 2.5 goals in the match” are attractive options to increase chances of winning. Finally, it is also advisable to take into account that both teams have almost equal chances of scoring and not scoring.

In summary, sports betting is never an exact science and it is always recommended to carefully analyze statistics, past and present performances, and other relevant factors before placing a bet.