Tipps NK Slaven Belupo NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Prva HNL 17/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Slaven Belupo wins the match.

1. Slaven Belupo’s recent home performances are better with a 40% win rate and a 40% draw rate. They also have a stronger offensive form, having scored 9 goals in their last 5 home matches.

2. NK Lokomotiva’s away performances are weak. In their last 5 matches, they haven’t won any games and have drawn 40% of the time. Additionally, their defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per away match.

3. Based on the provided probabilities, a draw or a win for Slaven Belupo is more likely with a success probability of 64.63%, which is higher than the probability of a NK Lokomotiva win at 35.37%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Analyzing the last 5 matches of each team, we can see that both Slaven Belupo and NK Lokomotiva have an average of less than 2.5 goals per match, with Slaven Belupo averaging 1.6 goals and NK Lokomotiva averaging 1.6 goals.
2. The offensive potential of each team is quite low, at 29% for Slaven Belupo and 29% for NK Lokomotiva, indicating a weakness in their ability to score goals.
3. Looking at the statistics of Slaven Belupo’s home matches and NK Lokomotiva’s away matches, we can observe that the scores are generally low, supporting the idea of a match with less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent performances show that both Slaven Belupo at home and NK Lokomotiva away tend to score quite often. Slaven Belupo has scored in 80% of their home matches and NK Lokomotiva has scored in 60% of their away matches.

2. Slaven Belupo has also shown a weakness at home by conceding at least one goal in each of their last five matches. Likewise, NK Lokomotiva has a weak defense when playing away, having conceded at least one goal in each of their last five matches.

3. The probabilities also indicate an above-average chance for both teams to score, with a success probability of 56.1%.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Slaven Belupo wins the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Slaven Belupo 2-1 NK Lokomotiva

1. Slaven Belupo’s home statistics: Slaven Belupo has a good record at home with 40% win rate and 40% draw rate in their last 5 matches. Scoring an average of 0.8 goals per match and conceding an average of 1.4, Slaven Belupo is capable of winning or drawing.

2. NK Lokomotiva’s away performance: NK Lokomotiva has struggled to win away from home with 0% wins in their last 5 matches and also have defensive issues, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per match.

3. Goal predictions: The goal predictions for the match, “Over 1.5 goals in the match” at 73.17%, and “Under 3.5 goals in the match” at 72.56%, support the projection of a 2-1 scoreline as it falls within this range.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Slaven Belupo shows a strong performance at home, winning and drawing in 40% of cases. However, they score fewer goals (0.8 goals per match) than they concede (1.4 goals per match).

On the other hand, NK Lokomotiva struggles away from home, with no wins in their last 5 matches. Their defense has weaknesses, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per match.

Probability analysis indicates a slight advantage for Slaven Belupo (41.46%), closely followed by NK Lokomotiva (35.37%). The draw or a Slaven Belupo win is estimated at 64.63%, while the same forecast for NK Lokomotiva is at 58.54%.

In terms of goals, more than 1.5 goals in the match have a probability of 73.17%, while less than 3.5 goals is at 72.56%. Both teams have a 56.1% chance of scoring.

Based on these numbers and recent matches, a reasonable prediction would be a Slaven Belupo win or a draw, with more than 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Slaven Belupo is more successful at home, with 40% of wins and an equal number of draws in their last 5 matches. Their home attack averages 0.8 goals per game, while their defense concedes 1.4 goals per game. Their offensive potential is at 29% and defensive at 50%.

On the other hand, NK Lokomotiva is weaker away from home, not winning any of their last 5 matches and securing 40% draws. They score an average of 0.8 goals per game but concede 2.8 goals. Their offensive potential is also at 29%, but their defense is weaker with a rating of 100%.

The match is quite evenly poised with slightly higher winning probability for Slaven Belupo (41.46% against 35.37% for NK Lokomotiva). A draw is possible with a probability of 23.17%.

We can expect a match with goals. There is a 73.17% probability of more than 1.5 goals and a 50.61% chance of over 2.5 goals. Both teams score in 56.1% of cases.

Considering NK Lokomotiva’s defensive performances, it is possible that Slaven Belupo may score more goals. However, given NK Lokomotiva’s desire to avoid defeat, a tight match is conceivable.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the statistics and recent performances of both teams, it appears that Slaven Belupo has a definite advantage over its opponent. At home, this team shows a strong performance while NK Lokomotiva displays a marked weakness away.

The interesting betting value would be on a potential victory for Slaven Belupo, especially as the probability of such a result is significantly higher. The hypothesis of a match with less than 2.5 goals also seems plausible, given the low offensive potential of both teams.

Finally, the probabilities suggest that both teams have a chance of scoring in this match, with Slaven Belupo having a higher likelihood, valuable information for those looking to bet on the BTTS market.

However, it is essential to remember that sports betting carries risks and it is important to only bet what one can afford to lose. Good luck!