Tipps NK Varazdin NK Osijek HNL 25/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Osijek wins the match.”

1. The away performance of Osijek is significantly better than that of NK Varazdin at home. In fact, Osijek has won 80% of their last 5 away matches compared to only 20% of home wins for NK Varazdin.

2. Away from home, Osijek also has superior offensive and defensive performances compared to NK Varazdin at home. Osijek averages 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match (offensive potential of 64% and defensive potential of 29%) while NK Varazdin averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded at home (offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 29%).

3. According to established probabilities, Osijek has a success probability of winning the match at 49.18%, which is significantly higher than NK Varazdin’s success probability of 20.77%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Osijek team has a strong offensive performance in their away games, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match. Based on this trend, the game could easily reach a total of over 2.5 goals.
2. While NK Varazdin may not have as strong of an offensive performance as Osijek, they have shown a tendency to concede goals at home, with an average of 0.8 goals per match. Coupled with Osijek’s attacking prowess, this increases the chances of a game with over 2.5 goals.
3. Looking at their recent matches, both teams have often been involved in games where over 2.5 goals were scored. For instance, in NK Varazdin’s recent home games, 3 out of 5 have exceeded this goal total. Similarly, 3 out of Osijek’s last 5 away games have also surpassed this mark. If this trend continues, it is likely that the game will see over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from previous matches highlight that both teams have significant offensive potential. NK Varazdin averages 1.2 goals per home match, while Osijek averages 1.8 goals per away match. These are strong indicators to predict that both teams will score in this match.

2. NK Varazdin has conceded goals in each of their last 5 home matches, indicating a defensive weakness that could allow Osijek to score.

3. With no draws in Osijek’s last 5 away matches, it means that Osijek has always scored. Although they have conceded goals in each of these matches, they have ended up winning in 80% of cases. This strongly suggests the possibility of Osijek scoring, but at the same time, they could also concede a goal.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match – odds 1.90

Bet on the exact result

NK Varazdin 1-2 Osijek

1. Recent statistics indicate a better performance of Osijek teams away from home. They have won 80% of their last 5 away matches, scored more goals on average, and have a higher offensive potential at 64%.

2. NK Varazdin tends to have a weak defensive performance, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per home match. Furthermore, they have lost or drawn in 80% of their last 5 home matches.

3. The odds history suggests a higher likelihood of Osijek winning the match with odds of 1.95 (49.18% chance of success). Additionally, the success rate for a match with over 2.5 goals is 50.27%, indicating a much higher probability of there being at least 3 goals in the match, particularly if both teams score – 59.56% probability. This aligns with the forecasted prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

NK Varazdin has a mixed record at home with 1 win and 3 draws in their last 5 matches. They score 1.2 goals per game and concede 0.8.

On the contrary, Osijek has been flawless with an 80% win rate in their last 5 away games. They score 1.8 goals per match and also concede 0.8.

According to the statistics, Osijek has a higher probability of winning (49.18%) compared to NK Varazdin (20.77%).

However, a draw has a significant probability of 30.05%. It is highly likely that more than 1.5 goals will be scored during the match (74.86%).

NK Varazdin has struggled to maintain a solid defense at home. Additionally, Osijek has shown to have an effective attack away from home.

There is a 59.56% chance that both teams will score. Considering these factors, Osijek seems to have a better chance of winning the match.

The potential number of goals

NK Varazdin has a mixed home record, with only one win in 5 matches, but 3 draws. Their attack has scored 7 goals in this period and conceded 9 goals in defense.

On the other hand, Osijek has been strong away from home, with 4 wins in 5 matches. They have also scored 9 goals and conceded the same amount.

NK Varazdin’s offense (1.2 goals per match) is less effective than Osijek’s (1.8 goals per match). However, their defenses are similar, with both teams conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match.

The probabilities favor Osijek: they have a 49.18% chance of winning, while NK Varazdin only has 20.77%. Therefore, bookmakers see Osijek as the favorites with odds of 1.95.

In terms of the number of goals, there is a 74.86% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals and a 50.27% chance of exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting a potentially high-scoring match.

The bet “both teams to score” is also likely, with a 59.56% chance of success.

These predictions, combined with the recent performances of both teams, therefore suggest a favorable forecast for an Osijek victory in a match where both teams could score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, according to statistics, analysis, and odds, Osijek appears to be the favorite to win the match against NK Varazdin. With a strong offensive performance away from home and a significantly higher probability of winning, bets placed on an Osijek victory could prove profitable. Furthermore, the tendency for both teams to score and concede goals suggests that we could expect a match with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, making the “Over 2.5 goals in the match” bet a lucrative option given its odds of 1.90. However, football is an unpredictable sport and while Osijek may be the favorite, every match has its share of surprises. Therefore, it is crucial to bet with caution and responsibility.