Tipps Norway Slovenia UEFA Nations League 10/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Norway wins the match

1. Over their last 5 home matches, Norway has an excellent record with a 60% win rate and a 20% draw rate, indicating a stable and competitive form heading into the upcoming match against Slovenia.

2. In comparison, Slovenia’s away statistics are significantly lower with only a 20% win rate and 60% draw rate over their last 5 matches, showing that they struggle to secure wins on the road.

3. The established probabilities also give a strong advantage to Norway with a 63.78% chance of Norway winning the match, much higher than Slovenia’s 13.27% chance. This demonstrates bookmakers’ confidence in a Norway victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Norway has shown a significant offensive potential, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per game at home in their last 5 matches. Furthermore, Norway has scored at least 2 goals in two of their last five home matches. These numbers highlight Norway’s potential to score multiple goals in a match.

2. While Slovenia does not have a strong average of goals scored away from home (1 goal per match in their last 5 matches), they have a weak defensive potential of 14%, indicating a tendency to concede goals. In fact, they have conceded at least 2 goals in two of their last five away matches.

3. General statistics regarding the number of goals in the match favor the prediction of “Over 2.5 goals in the match.” With a success probability of 55.1% for this prediction, it is more likely that there will be over 2.5 goals in the match compared to under 2.5 goals (no statistics provided for this specific prediction).

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: No

1. Norway has a strong defense when playing at home, conceding only 1 goal per match on average in their last 5 games. This is a strong argument in favor of Slovenia struggling to score.

2. Slovenia has a low success rate away, winning only 20% of matches and averaging just one goal per game. This shows they struggle to score on the road, further supporting the argument that both teams will not score.

3. Slovenia’s offensive potential away is only 36%, with a defensive potential of 14% in their last 5 games. Coupled with Norway winning 60% of their home games, it suggests Slovenia will struggle to score, strengthening the argument that both teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Slovenia wins the match – 2.30

Bet on the exact result

Norway 1-1 Slovenia

1. By analyzing the performance of both teams in their recent matches, it can be observed that Slovenia achieves a high percentage of draws away from home (60%), while Norway has a 20% draw rate at home. Furthermore, recent matches have shown a tendency towards low scores (1-2 goals per match on average), further supporting the possibility of a draw.

2. Looking at offensive and defensive statistics, Norway scores 1.4 goals per match at home and concedes an average of 1 goal, while Slovenia scores 1 goal on average in away matches and concedes 0.4 goals. The small difference in goals between the two teams could indicate a potential draw.

3. Finally, the statistical probability of a draw is 22.96%, a relatively low figure. However, considering other factors such as Slovenia’s high draw rate away from home (60%) and Norway’s 20% draw rate at home, it seems reasonable to suggest that the scoreline could end up being 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Norway, strong at home, has won 60% of their last 5 matches, and drawn 20% of the time. With 9 goals scored and conceded, they offer a balanced spectacle.

Slovenia, on the other hand, has a more mixed record away from home, with only a 20% win rate and 60% draws. Their attack struggles with 4 goals scored vs 6 conceded in their last 5 outings.

In terms of offensive/defensive ratio, Norway is slightly superior with 50% offensive and 36% defensive. Slovenia has an offensive potential of 36% and defensive of 14%.

Bookmakers’ prediction favors Norway with an estimated win probability of 63.78%. A draw does not seem very likely at 22.96%. A Slovenia victory is much less considered (13.27% chance).

Regarding the number of goals, the risk of seeing more than 1.5 goals is quite high with a probability of 74.49%. More than 2.5 goals is possible with a 55.1% chance, as proven by Norway’s recent home matches.

Finally, it appears that in 53.06% of cases, only one team will score, the other failing to find the net.

In conclusion, a rather close match with a slight tendency for a Norway win and a total number of goals around 2.

The potential number of goals

Norway tends to be stronger at home with a 60% win rate. They have recently scored 9 goals in 5 matches, conceding the same number. On the other hand, Slovenia struggles away from home with only a 20% win rate and a total of 4 goals scored and 6 conceded.

Norwegian offensive capability at home stands at 50%. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per match. Their defensive potential is at 36%. In contrast, Slovenia, when away, has an offensive rate of 36% and a defensive rate of 14%. Their average goals scored per match are lower than Norway’s.

The odds prediction favors Norway to win with a probability of 63.78%. A draw is at a 22.96% probability.

The bet “over 1.5 goals in the match” is highly likely at 74.49%. However, the “both teams to score” bet is less certain with a 46.94% chance.

Based on the data, the Norway-Slovenia match could end in favor of Norway and likely with more than 1.5 goals scored.

Recent home matches for Norway have been quite positive, including victories against Austria and Kosovo. On the other hand, Slovenia managed draws with Portugal and England away, showing a certain level of resistance.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of past performances, playing systems, and statistics of both teams suggests that the Norway vs. Slovenia match leans in favor of Norway. Given their impressive home performance, the Norwegians are more likely to secure the victory, although Slovenia has shown some resistance in their away matches.

In terms of the total number of goals, a cautious bet would be to go for over 1.5 goals, considering the offensive data of both teams. However, Slovenia’s offensive potential away suggests that the chances of both teams scoring should not be completely ignored.

Finally, despite the statistics favoring them, a victory for Norway is not guaranteed; the possibility of a draw, or even a Slovenia win, cannot be entirely ruled out. All this indicates that this match is likely to be competitive and lively, making it very interesting for bettors.