Tipps Novi Pazar FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Super Liga 13/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Novi Pazar wins the match.

1. In their last 5 home and away matches respectively, Novi Pazar and FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV both have a significant tendency to draw, with a frequency of 40% in each case. This common trend reinforces the possibility of a draw or a Novi Pazar win in the upcoming match.

2. Novi Pazar has a slightly better offensive performance than FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, with an average of 1.6 goals per match compared to 1.2 for FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV. This offensive advantage could help Novi Pazar to come out on top or secure at least a draw.

3. Novi Pazar’s recent home matches show an ability to score at least one goal against different teams. Combined with the fact that FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV has only scored 5 goals in their last 5 away matches, this suggests that Novi Pazar has a good chance of avoiding a defeat in this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. The total number of goals scored by both teams in their respective last 5 matches is low: Novi Pazar with an average of 1.6 goals per match and FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV with an average of 1.2 goals per match, indicating a low offensive potential from both teams.
2. Both teams have shown solid defensive performances in their previous matches, with Novi Pazar conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match and FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV conceding an average of 0.4 goals per match.
3. The recent matches of both teams have often had less than 2.5 goals: among the 10 last matches mentioned (5 at home for Novi Pazar and 5 away for FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV), 6 had less than 2.5 goals, providing a strong statistical argument for this prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Novi Pazar has shown a defensive weakness at home by conceding 10 goals in 5 matches despite their 29% defensive potential. This indicates that they are likely not to score in this match.
2. On the other hand, FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV also exhibits poor attacking efficiency away from home with only 5 goals scored in 5 matches, despite a 43% offensive potential. This also means that they are unlikely to score in this match.
3. Lastly, by examining the recent home match histories of Novi Pazar and the away match histories of FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, we can observe that both teams have tended to be involved in low-scoring games, making it probable that both teams will not score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Novi Pazar 1-1 FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

1. The statistics of both teams show a marked tendency towards draws. In their last 5 outings, Novi Pazar has drawn 40% of the time at home while FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV has done the same 40% of the time away.

2. Taking into account Novi Pazar’s previous home scores and FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV’s away scores, it can be noted that both teams score and concede a significant number of goals. Novi Pazar has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match and FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV has conceded 0.4 goals on average per match. This points towards a 1-1 result.

3. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams is quite similar. Novi Pazar has an offensive rate of 57% and a defensive rate of 29% at home, while FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV scores an average of 1.2 goals per match away (43% offensive potential) and only concedes 0.4 goals per match (14% defensive potential). This closeness in terms of offensive and defensive performances reinforces the probability of a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Novi Pazar has had mixed results at home, with one win, two draws, and two losses. They have scored 8 goals, indicating a moderate offense. However, conceding 10 goals suggests defensive issues.

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV has also had inconsistent performances away from home. They have won one, drawn twice, and lost twice. With 5 goals scored and 5 goals conceded, there seems to be a balance between their attack and defense.

Based on our analysis, recent encounters between these teams have typically seen less than 3.5 goals scored. It is highly likely that this trend will continue in this match, with a low-scoring outcome and a slim chance of both teams finding the net.

In conclusion, this match appears to be heading towards a low-scoring affair, with defensive solidity potentially outweighing attacking prowess.

The potential number of goals

Novi Pazar has struggled at home recently, with only 20% of wins. Nevertheless, they still have an average of 1.6 goals per match and an offensive potential of 57%. An important statistic is that they have scored 8 goals in 5 matches.

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV is not in better shape away from home with also 20% of wins. However, they have shown more defensive solidity, conceding only 5 goals. They have a defensive potential of 14%, which is low, but they also score less, with an average of 1.2 goals per match.

Taking these data into account, one thing stands out: there is an increased likelihood that less than 3.5 goals will be scored in this match. In fact, a success probability of 100% is attached to this statistic.

Finally, another key statistic of this match is that the chances of both teams not scoring are strong, with also a success probability of 100%.

Based on these data, my prediction is a match with less than 3.5 goals and that one of the two teams will not score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Novi Pazar and FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV is likely to be strategic rather than dynamic, with a tendency towards a low score probably below 3.5 goals. This is supported by the recent performance history of both teams showing a low number of goals scored and solid defensive displays. The suggestion of an exact score of 1-1 aligns with the teams’ offensive and defensive performances and their history of draws, although the odds seem to slightly favor Novi Pazar. Furthermore, the potential for both teams failing to score in this match is high, reinforcing the idea of a low-scoring game. Based on these points, betting on “under 3.5 goals in the match” could be an interesting value bet for bettors.