Tipps Novi Pazar Javor Super Liga 01/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the available statistics, my prediction for the match between Novi Pazar and Javor is as follows: Draw or Novi Pazar wins the match.

1. Novi Pazar’s home statistics show an ability to resist with a strong tendency towards draws (40%). They have also shown an ability to score goals, with a total of 7 goals scored in their last 5 matches.

2. Javor’s away statistics are not impressive, with only a 20% win rate in their matches and zero draws. Furthermore, their offensive capability is relatively weak, averaging only 0.4 goals per match.

3. Novi Pazar also has better defensive potential than Javor, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per home match compared to 1.2 for Javor away. This means they are less likely to lose the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. The low offensive potential of both teams: Novi Pazar has scored an average of 1.4 goals per home match and Javor has scored an average of 0.4 goals per away match. These numbers are too low to expect more than 2.5 goals in this match.

2. The past performances of both teams show a limited number of goals scored in their recent matches. Novi Pazar’s last 5 home matches have produced 14 goals (an average of 2.8 per match) and Javor’s last 5 away matches have produced 7 goals (an average of 1.4 goals per match), all suggesting a potential Under 2.5 outcome.

3. Javor’s away record has not been positive in their last 5 matches, winning only 20% of these matches and scoring only 2 goals. This unconvincing form and lack of offensive prowess could lead to a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. With an offensive potential of only 14% in their last 5 away games, Javor has great difficulty scoring on the road. This increases the probability that only one team will score.

2. Novi Pazar, playing at home, has a defensive potential of 64%, meaning they tend to concede fewer goals. Combined with Javor’s weak offense, this lowers the probability of both teams scoring.

3. In their recent matches, the majority did not end with both teams scoring. For example, in Novi Pazar’s last 5 home games, only two saw both teams score. Similarly, in Javor’s last 5 away games, only one saw both teams score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Novi Pazar 1-0 Javor

1. The average goal rate scored by Novi Pazar at home is 1.4 per match. Combined with the fact that the team has scored 7 goals in their last 5 home matches, this indicates that they generally have the ability to score at least once at home.

2. Javor has a weaker defensive performance away, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match and having conceded 4 goals in their last 5 away matches. This suggests that they may be content to let in a goal in this match.

3. Statistics indicate a 100% probability that both teams will not score. Reconciling this with the goal scoring and conceding rates, a 1-0 scoreline in favor of Novi Pazar seems logical.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Novi Pazar has not won a single home match in their last 5 games. However, they have managed to draw in 40% of cases. The team is showing that a draw is still achievable.

In terms of goals, Novi Pazar has scored 7 times and conceded 7 times as well. This shows a fairly balanced team in both attack and defense. On average, Novi Pazar scores 1.4 goals per match and concedes 1.8 goals.

On the other hand, Javor has only won once in their last 5 away matches. They have not had any draws. They have only scored 2 goals but conceded double that number. On average, Javor scores 0.4 goals per match and concedes 1.2 goals.

A prediction could potentially consider a draw given Novi Pazar’s home statistics. However, the number of goals may be low as Javor seems to struggle to score away from home.

In terms of probabilities, both teams scoring seems unlikely. However, the “both teams do not score” option has a 100% success rate.

For the number of goals, the match should have less than 3.5 goals with a 100% success rate, and also less than 4.5 goals with a 100% success rate. The prediction may be complex with null probabilities for most outcomes.

The potential number of goals

Novi Pazar, at home, is level with 7 goals scored and 7 conceded recently. A fluctuating defensive and offensive performance with 50% and 64% respectively.
Javor, despite a win away, doesn’t shine in attack and defense. With only 2 goals scored and 4 conceded, their abilities are at 14% in attack and 43% in defense.
Novi Pazar has failed to win once in their last 5 home matches. Shows a struggling team. Javor, on the other hand, is not a great traveler, with only one win in 5 away games.
Given these statistics, a tight match is expected. Both teams have difficulties in finding the back of the net efficiently. The probability of both teams scoring is low. Therefore, betting on a low-scoring game is advisable.
Probabilities indicate a match with less than 3.5 goals and less than 4.5 goals. It seems wise to bet on a result with fewer goals. The teams are struggling offensively.
In conclusion, a low-scoring match seems likely. Both teams show difficulties in attack, but also a certain vulnerability in defense.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the available statistics, the match between Novi Pazar and Javor could be characterized by a relatively low score. The favorable prediction would be a draw or a Novi Pazar win, with a 1-0 score in favor of Novi Pazar as the most probable scenario. Furthermore, it is unlikely that both teams will score during the match, given their weak offensive performance.

Therefore, it would be wise to bet on the number of goals being less than 2.5. The bet providing an interesting value bet would be for a draw considering Novi Pazar’s tendency to draw matches when playing at home. In the end, this match will potentially be complex to predict with a scenario that is not easy to anticipate, requiring careful monitoring of the performances of these two teams.