Tipps Novi Pazar OFK Beograd Super Liga 03/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Novi Pazar wins the match.

1. Novi Pazar has a strong home win rate, winning 80% of their last 5 matches. This demonstrates their ability to leverage the advantage of playing at home to dominate their opponents.

2. Novi Pazar also has a stronger offensive potential at home, averaging 1.8 goals per match compared to OFK Beograd’s 1.2 goals away from home. This indicates that Novi Pazar is more capable of converting their chances into goals when playing at home.

3. OFK Beograd has a weak defensive potential away from home, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. This gives Novi Pazar a good opportunity to score, building on their strong offensive performance at home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5

1. Match history: Recent match data for Novi Pazar at home and OFK Beograd away shows a trend towards low-scoring results. Both teams tend to score and concede goals, increasing the likelihood of seeing over 2.5 goals in the match.

2. Home and away performances: Novi Pazar averages 1.8 goals per home match and concedes 1.2 goals. Similarly, OFK Beograd averages 1.2 goals per away match and concedes 1.8 goals. Therefore, a total of 4 goals could theoretically be reached in this match, justifying the over 2.5 goals option.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: Novi Pazar has a 64% offensive potential at home, while OFK Beograd has a 64% defensive potential away. This situation could favor a match with over 2.5 goals, as an offensive team will face a team that tends to concede goals away from home.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that both teams have a relatively high average of goals scored and conceded, indicating that they both have a strong offensive performance and are prone to conceding goals.
2. By observing the last five home matches of Novi Pazar and away matches of OFK Beograd, it can be seen that in most of the games, both teams have scored.
3. Considering the offensive and defensive percentages of both teams, the prediction supports the idea that both teams have a reasonable chance of scoring during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Novi Pazar wins the match

Bet on the exact result

“Novi Pazar 2-1 OFK Belgrade”

1. Novi Pazar has a strong home performance with an 80% win rate in its matches: This team shows a strong dominance at home and has a substantial offensive output with an average of 1.8 goals per match.
2. OFK Beograd has a defensive weakness away from home: With an average of 1.8 goals conceded per match in its away games, this team struggles to keep a clean sheet, which favors Novi Pazar.
3. Previous match statistics suggest a low score: Considering the past performances of both teams and the provided probabilities, it is expected that there will be fewer than 3.5 goals in the match, which aligns with the prediction of a 2-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Novi Pazar has won 80% of their home matches, showcasing a strong home performance. They have scored 8 goals and conceded the same number. Their offensive potential stands at 64% while their defensive performance is at 43%.

OFK Beograd, on the other hand, has won 40% of their away matches. They have an offensive potential of 43% against a defensive potential of 64%. They have scored 6 goals but conceded 7.

In their last 5 home matches, Novi Pazar has successively defeated FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, Petrovac, and Radnicki NIS, but lost to FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV and Javor.

In contrast, OFK Beograd managed to beat Mladost Lucani and Khimki in their away matches, drew against Grafičar, but lost to Dynamo and CSKA Moscow.

The statistics suggest equal probabilities for all possible outcomes of this match, which could be due to a perfect balance between the two teams. However, with all matches having fewer than 3.5 goals, a bet on under 3.5 goals in the match seems to have a 100% probability of success. Betting on “both teams to not score” also appears to be a safe bet at 100%.

Nevertheless, considering recent performances, a victory for Novi Pazar seems to be the most likely outcome for this match.

The potential number of goals

Novi Pazar has a strong home performance, winning 80% of their last matches. They manage to score 1.8 goals per home game with an offensive capability of 64%. However, they have also conceded 8 goals, indicating a need for improvement in their defensive capabilities.

On the other hand, OFK Beograd has an average away performance with a 40% win rate. They score fewer goals than their opponent with 1.2 goals per match and have a weaker offensive potential of 43%. However, they have conceded more goals, a total of 7, averaging 1.8 goals per match.

Recent matches show that Novi Pazar is rather strong at home with convincing victories against FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV and Petrovac. OFK Beograd is struggling to maintain form in their away games with tough losses against Dynamo and CSKA Moscow.

However, our analysis indicates a high probability of fewer than 3.5 and 4.5 goals in the match and that neither team will score. Therefore, even though Novi Pazar appears stronger at home, the outcome remains uncertain. Remember, in football, anything is possible.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, in light of recent statistics and the performances of both teams, it seems reasonable to bet on a Novi Pazar victory. Their home records are strong and their offensive potential is higher than that of OFK Beograd, especially away. However, statistics also show that matches between these two teams tend to end with less than 3.5 goals, and even though Novi Pazar seems stronger at home, both teams have the chance to score, making the match prediction somewhat uncertain. As always in the realm of sports betting, while statistics and analysis provide important insights, nothing is ever guaranteed. It is therefore important to bet responsibly.