Tipps OH Leuven Genk Jupiler Pro League 03/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Genk wins the match.

1. Genk has a success probability of winning the match of 48.61%, which is higher than OH Leuven’s (26.39%). Despite a lower performance history away, the predictions suggest they have an advantage in this specific match.
2. Despite a defensive record worse than Leuven, notably conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match, Genk has shown an ability to score an average of 1.4 goals per match compared to 4 for OH Leuven. This suggests that Genk’s attacks could make up for their weaker defense.
3. Looking at each team’s recent matches, Genk seems to have a better record despite losses. They managed to score against teams like Feyenoord and Hades, which could indicate a potentially dangerous attack against OH Leuven.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Offensive trends: Looking at their last 5 matches, OH Leuven has scored an average of 4 goals per game and Genk 1.4 goals, indicating a notable offensive potential from both teams.

2. Defensive trends: On average, in their last 5 matches, OH Leuven has conceded 0.6 goals per game and Genk 1.6 goals. This trend suggests that both teams are likely to concede goals due to their defensive weaknesses.

3. Score history: In total, over their last 5 matches, OH Leuven and Genk have conceded 13 and 11 goals respectively. This suggests that their matches tend to have a high scoring tendency, favoring an over 2.5 goals bet in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. Recent statistics demonstrate a strong offensive capability from both teams. OH Leuven has scored an average of 4 goals per home game, while Genk has scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game.

2. Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses in their recent matches. OH Leuven has conceded an average of 0.6 goals per home game, and Genk has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per away game, increasing the probability of both teams scoring.

3. The history of matches between these two teams shows a tendency for them to score when they meet. For example, in one of the recent matches between these teams, OH Leuven won 3-1 against Genk, highlighting both their offensive ability and defensive vulnerability.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or OH Leuven wins the match – 1.75

Bet on the exact result

OH Leuven 2-1 Genk

1. OH Leuven has a stronger home performance with a 60% win rate compared to Genk’s away win rate of only 20%. This suggests that OH Leuven is more likely to win at home.
2. OH Leuven has a higher average goals per match at home (4 goals) than Genk has away (1.4 goals), indicating a greater potential offensive threat from OH Leuven.
3. Despite Genk having a higher probability of winning the match (48.61%), the probability of the match ending in a draw or an OH Leuven victory (51.39%) is slightly higher, leaving room for a home win for OH Leuven.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

OH Leuven has shown a strong performance at home, with a 60% win rate and 40% draws. They have scored 13 goals in 5 matches, averaging 4 goals per game. Their defense has been solid, conceding only 0.6 goals per match.

Genk appears to struggle away from home, with only a 20% win rate and no draws in their last 5 away matches. They have an average of 1.4 goals scored per match and have conceded an average of 1.6 goals.

The probability of Genk winning is 48.61%, closely followed by OH Leuven’s win at 26.39%. A draw is also likely at 25%.

In terms of goals, there is a high probability of 65.28% that the match will have over 2.5 goals. Both teams also have a 63.89% chance of scoring.

Looking at the teams’ recent performances, OH Leuven has had convincing wins against Bertem-Leefdaal and Standard Liège. Genk has suffered defeats against Feyenoord, Union St. Gilloise, Anderlecht, and Cercle Bruges.

Based on these statistics, one could expect a competitive match with goals from both sides. A draw is also a plausible outcome.

The potential number of goals

OH Leuven plays strong at home, winning 60% of their matches and drawing 40%. With 13 goals scored and the same number conceded, their attack is as solid as their defense. On average, they score 4 goals per match and concede only 0.6.

Genk struggles on the road, winning only 20% of their matches and never drawing. They score an average of 1.4 goals per match and concede 1.6, lacking firepower both offensively and defensively.

OH Leuven has a 26.39% chance of winning the match, while Genk has a success rate probability of 48.61%. However, the possibility of a draw or an OH Leuven victory is 51.39%.

There is a high likelihood of over 1.5 goals in the match, with a success rate of 84.72%. Both teams are likely to score, with a 63.89% chance.

Examining recent matches for each team reinforces these trends. OH Leuven’s home strength is evident, especially when they dominated Bertem-Leefdaal 8-0. Genk struggles away, suffering several defeats, including a 4-1 loss to Cercle Bruges.

Given these statistics, one might expect an eventful match with a high probability of multiple goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, a rather open and lively match is expected in this face-off between OH Leuven and Genk in the Jupiler Pro League. Despite an initial prediction in favor of Genk, OH Leuven poses a serious threat due to their impressive home performance and strong attack. Both teams have leaky defenses, making the likelihood of a high-scoring match very plausible. Finally, the proposition of a draw or an OH Leuven victory is an interesting value considering OH Leuven’s exceptional performance at home and Genk’s struggles away. Nevertheless, bettors should expect a feast of football with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities and intense competition.