Tipps O'Higgins Cobresal Primera Division 26/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or O’Higgins wins the match.

1. Recent home history of O’Higgins shows a tendency to draw matches at a rate of 60%, indicating significant resilience even in the absence of victories.
2. Cobresal’s away performance is not impressive with only one win in the last 5 away matches, representing just 20% of those matches. This suggests they may struggle to prevail away from home.
3. The calculated probabilities show a higher chance for the scenario “Draw or O’Higgins win the match” with a success probability of 78.57%. This indicates that the most likely outcome is in favor of O’Higgins or a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. In all their recent matches, O’Higgins and Cobresal have only scored 2 and 4 goals respectively, indicating a trend towards low-scoring games.
2. O’Higgins’ strong defensive performances at home with a defensive potential of 100% and Cobresal’s away performances with a defensive potential of 86% suggest that both teams are more likely to prevent opposition attacks than to score themselves.
3. O’Higgins’ recent home matches and Cobresal’s away matches have mostly been low-scoring games, with a majority of matches featuring less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Home and Away Team Performance: O’Higgins has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match at home, while Cobresal has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match away. This shows that both teams have the ability to score goals.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: O’Higgins’ offensive potential at home is 43%, while Cobresal’s away is 57%. Additionally, O’Higgins’ defensive potential at home is 100%, compared to Cobresal’s 86% away. These percentages indicate that both teams tend to concede goals, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

3. Recent Match History: In recent matches, both teams have managed to score goals even with their lower performances. For instance, O’Higgins scored 2 goals against Union Espanola at home, and Cobresal scored 3 goals against Everton de Vina away.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Cobresal wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

O’Higgins 1-1 Cobresal.

1. O’Higgins has a recent history of drawing at home, with 60% of their last 5 matches ending in a draw. Cobresal, on the other hand, also has a history of drawing away, with 20% of their last 5 matches ending in a draw. This suggests that both teams are likely to share points in this match.
2. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams suggest that it is likely for each team to score a goal. O’Higgins averages 1.2 goals per match at home while Cobresal averages 1.6 goals away, and both teams tend to concede at least one goal per match.
3. Recent home matches for O’Higgins and away matches for Cobresal have generally seen fewer than 2.5 goals, supporting the prediction of a final 1-1 scoreline. Furthermore, the highest probability suggests that there will be fewer than 4.5 goals in the match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

O’Higgins has failed to win any of their last 5 home matches, but managed to secure draws 60% of the time. Their attack seems to be struggling with only 2 goals scored.

On the other hand, Cobresal has also faced difficulties away from home, winning only 1 out of 5 matches. They have scored more goals than O’Higgins, with 4 goals, despite conceding 6 goals.

Considering the offensive and defensive capabilities, O’Higgins concedes more goals on average at home than they score, while Cobresal scores and concedes roughly the same number of goals.

Based on probabilities, O’Higgins has a 48.47% chance of winning the match. However, the probability of the match ending in a draw or a Cobresal win is 51.53%.

There appears to be a high likelihood of seeing over 1.5 goals in the match, at 80.61%. And an almost equal chance of 50% to see over 2.5 goals during the match.

Analysis of past encounters shows that both teams have had mixed performances. In the last home matches, O’Higgins failed to score in 3 out of 5 games, while Cobresal also struggled to score in their recent away matches.

Overall, the match seems uncertain, with a slight edge for O’Higgins. However, given their recent offensive difficulties, there may be fewer goals than average.

The potential number of goals

O’Higgins plays at home where they have not performed well in the last 5 matches (0% win rate, 60% draw rate). They have scored only 2 goals while conceding 3. Their offensive and defensive performances are poor, at 43% and 100% respectively.

On the other hand, Cobresal only wins 20% of their away matches, draws in 20% of cases, and has scored more goals than O’Higgins, with 4 goals but conceding 6. They have an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 86%, both higher than O’Higgins.

The probability of O’Higgins winning the match is 48.47% with odds of 1.78, while Cobresal has a 21.43% probability with odds of 4.33. A draw has a 30.1% chance.

In terms of goals, there is an 80.61% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match. Less than 3.5 goals have a 70.41% chance of occurring.

Both teams have a 54.59% probability of scoring.

In summary, O’Higgins struggles at home while Cobresal has a better offensive and defensive potential. A match with less than 3.5 goals seems more likely.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Conclusion

Considering the analysis and statistics presented in this article, there is a substantial possibility that the match between O’Higgins and Cobresal will result in a draw or a victory for O’Higgins, considering their history and O’Higgins’ home match trend. Both teams have shown relatively weak offensive capabilities; therefore, predicting fewer than 2.5 goals in the match seems to be a safe bet.

On the other hand, despite their overall poor performance, each team has demonstrated the ability to score goals. This makes “Both Teams to Score: Yes” a potentially profitable bet.

Another bet to consider, although risky, is for Cobresal to win the match, which could offer an interesting value bet, bearing in mind that this is more based on O’Higgins’ weakness at home rather than Cobresal’s strength away.

Finally, an exact score of 1-1 for O’Higgins against Cobresal seems to be a viable bet given that both teams have shown the ability to score a goal and defend against conceding more than one.

In conclusion, despite both teams having mixed performances, the specificities of their play present good opportunities for well-thought-out bets.