Tipps O'Higgins Union Espanola Primera Division 27/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or O’Higgins wins the match.

1. Performance History: O’Higgins has a more consistent performance at home, winning or drawing in 80% of its last 5 matches. Compared to Union Espanola, which has only won in 20% of its away matches, this gives O’Higgins an advantage.

2. Defensive Potential: O’Higgins has a home defensive potential rated at 57%, higher than Union Espanola’s away rating of 50%. This indicates O’Higgins’ higher ability to resist attacks from the opposing team.

3. Probabilities: The calculated probability for “Draw or O’Higgins wins the match” is 71.12%. This is significantly higher than the probability of Union Espanola winning the match (28.88%) and strongly suggests O’Higgins’ victory or draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. O’Higgins has a relatively low offensive efficiency at home, with only 0.6 goals scored on average per match in their last 5 home games.

2. Union Espanola, despite having a higher average goals scored per match than O’Higgins, also has a 50% defensive efficiency rate in their away games. This means their defense can withstand opponent attacks and potentially limit the number of goals scored.

3. The statistical prediction “Under 2.5 goals in the match” is priced at 1.83, which is lower than the odds for “Over 2.5 goals”. This suggests that historical data and recent team performances support the likelihood of there being fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive capabilities of Union Espanola away from home are impressive, with an average of 2.4 goals per game in their last 5 away matches. The likelihood of them scoring is strengthened by the fact that O’Higgins has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per home game.

2. Despite a low offensive potential at home for O’Higgins (0.6 goals per game), it is worth noting that Union Espanola has conceded an average of 1.4 goals in their away matches, which increases the likelihood of O’Higgins scoring in this game.

3. The overall match statistics support the prediction in favor of both teams scoring, with a success probability of 54.55%. Taking these data and the recent performances of both teams into account, it is likely that both teams will score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Union Espanola wins the match.”

Bet on the exact result

O’Higgins 1-2 Union Espanola

1. Union Espanola’s offensive performance – Union Espanola has scored an average of 2.4 goals in its last 5 away matches, indicating a strong offensive performance. Therefore, they are likely to score at least one, possibly two goals against O’Higgins.

2. O’Higgins’ limited defensive capability – The numbers indicate that O’Higgins concedes an average of 1.6 goals per home match. The team has also conceded a total of 3 goals in its last 5 home matches, suggesting that their defense can be breached, offering Union Espanola the opportunity to score.

3. O’Higgins’ recent trend – O’Higgins has managed to score against Everton de Vina and Colo Colo in their recent home matches, but their offensive performances remain limited with an average of 0.6 goals per match. This indicates that they may score only one goal against Union Espanola.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

O’Higgins has won and drawn at home in 40% of cases. They have scored 3 goals but also conceded 3. Union Espanola only wins in 20% of their away matches, but they draw in 40%. They have scored 9 times, but also conceded 9 goals.

O’Higgins has a 21% offensive potential at home and a defensive potential of 57%. Union Espanola scores more frequently with an 86% offensive potential away, but their defensive potential is less than 50%.

In terms of predictions, O’Higgins is more likely to win (42.25%) with odds of 2.05. A draw has a probability of 28.88% and odds of 3.50. Union Espanola has the same chances of winning as the probability of a draw.

The chances of a result being either “draw or O’Higgins win” is 71.12% with odds of 1.30. For “draw or Union Espanola win,” the probability is 57.75% with odds of 1.78.

Regarding goals, there is a higher chance of having more than 1.5 goals (67.91%) with odds of 1.30 and fewer than 3.5 goals (81.82%) with the same odds. Both teams to score has a probability of 54.55% and odds of 1.75.

Looking at previous matches, O’Higgins has had varied results at home while Union Espanola has scored in almost all their away matches. Based on this data, O’Higgins seems to have a slight advantage.

The potential number of goals

O’Higgins is at home. Their home performance is average with a 40% win rate. Goals are scarce, with a total of 3 scored and only 3 conceded.

Union Espanola is the visiting team, and things are not as bright for them. They have only won 20% of their matches. Their attack is explosive, scoring 9 goals, but their defense struggles with 9 goals conceded.

In detail, O’Higgins scores 0.6 goals per match and concedes 1.6, showing a solid defense but a less flashy offense.

On the other hand, Union Espanola attacks relentlessly, scoring 2.4 goals per match, while conceding 1.4 goals, indicating a less secure defense.

In terms of probabilities, O’Higgins has a 42.25% chance of winning, a draw stands at 28.88%, and Union Espanola has a 28.88% chance of winning.

Betting on “under 1.5 goals” is risky, while “over 1.5 goals” offers more chances of success. For bolder bets, consider “over 2.5 goals” in the match.

Recent matches show O’Higgins has been solid at home, while Union Espanola struggles away.

In conclusion, O’Higgins is likely to dominate the match due to their home advantage and stronger defense, although caution is advised regarding Union Espanola’s attack.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match promises to be interesting with teams displaying various strengths and weaknesses. O’Higgins, benefiting from home support and a solid defense, appears to be the favorite to win or secure a draw, however, Union Espanola’s powerful offense could bring surprises in this encounter. In terms of betting, the least risky bet seems to be “draw or O’Higgins wins the match,” with a calculated probability of 71.12%. In terms of goals, the bet “under 2.5 goals in the match” also seems secure given the offensive statistics of both teams. However, for bettors looking for a value bet, betting on Union Espanola’s victory could prove wise, despite their weaker defensive potential. The exact score of 1-2 in favor of Union Espanola could also yield big returns. Finally, “BTTS – yes,” betting on both teams to score, seems to be an interesting choice based on the respective offensive dynamics of both teams.
In summary, navigating the world of sports betting requires a thorough analysis of team performances, a good understanding of probabilities, and a hint of risk-taking to maximize profits. The match between O’Higgins and Union Espanola is no exception.