Tipps O'Higgins Union La Calera Primera Division 29/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

O’Higgins wins the match

1. O’Higgins has a better home win rate with a success probability of 49.74%, compared to 19.58% for Union La Calera away. This highlights that O’Higgins performs better when playing at home.
2. Even though O’Higgins has conceded more goals at home, they have also scored more goals (6 goals against 4) compared to Union La Calera away. Considering that football is a game of goals scored, this statistic favors O’Higgins.
3. Looking at their recent matches, O’Higgins has scored at least one goal in three out of their last five home matches, demonstrating their offensive pressure at home, while Union La Calera has failed to score in two out of their last five away matches, indicating their offensive struggle on the road.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The past performances of both teams show a relatively low level of goals scored per match. O’Higgins has scored 6 goals and conceded 11 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Union La Calera has scored 4 goals and conceded 4 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. O’Higgins’ offensive potential at home is only 36%, while Union La Calera’s offensive potential away is 57%. Additionally, O’Higgins’ defensive potential at home is 79%, which helps to keep scores low, reinforcing the idea that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Based on probability studies, there is a higher probability (76.72%) that the match will end with less than 3.5 goals and a very low probability (3.25) that the match will end with less than 1.5 goals. This supports the idea that there will be a number of goals between these two values, hence fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent match statistics show that O’Higgins generally has a weak defensive performance by conceding an average of 2.2 goals per home match. On the other hand, Union La Calera has also demonstrated mediocre offensive performances by scoring only an average of 1.6 goals per away match. These statistics indicate that both teams are likely to score.

2. The match histories of both teams also show a tendency for both teams to score. For example, in O’Higgins’ last five home matches, they scored in three matches while also conceding goals. Similarly, in four out of the last five away matches of Union La Calera, goals were scored by both teams.

3. The odds also indicate that both teams are likely to score with a success probability of 54.5%. This is an indication that bookmakers, who take into account a multitude of factors to determine these odds, believe that it is probable for both teams to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Union La Calera wins the match – 1.87

Bet on the exact result

O’Higgins 1-1 Union La Calera

1. The average offensive potential of O’Higgins at home and Union La Calera away is quite similar, around 1.3 goals per match. This favors a 1-1 score, as both teams have shown they have the potential to score at least one goal against their opponents.

2. Both teams have a clear tendency to draw matches. Indeed, in their last 5 matches, O’Higgins and Union La Calera have drawn in 40% of cases. This gives a certain probability that the match will end in a draw, specifically 1-1.

3. According to the provided statistics, both teams have a probability of scoring in this match (54.5% probability). Additionally, most matches of both teams end with less than 3.5 goals (76.72% probability). The score of 1-1 falls under these two categories.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

O’Higgins has had a mixed performance in their last 5 home matches, with only a 20% win rate, scoring a total of 6 goals and conceding 11. Similarly, Union La Calera has also only won 20% of their last 5 away matches, scoring 4 goals and conceding the same.

O’Higgins has a 36% offensive potential and 79% defensive potential at home, while Union La Calera has a 57% offensive potential and 57% defensive potential away.

The odds have O’Higgins as favorites to win with a probability of 49.74%, an Union La Calera win is less likely with odds of 19.58%. A draw is possible with a probability of 30.69%, but less likely than an O’Higgins victory.

Interesting trends also emerge in terms of the likely number of goals in this match. Over 1.5 goals is very likely with odds of 73.54%, while under 3.5 goals has a probability of 76.72%. Both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 54.5%.

Based on these statistics and analysis, it is reasonable to predict a close match, with a slight edge towards O’Higgins.

The potential number of goals

The O’Higgins team, in their last 5 home matches, scored 6 goals and conceded 11. Their offensive capability is only at 36% and their defense is weak at 79%.

On the other hand, Union La Calera, in their last 5 away matches, scored 4 goals and also conceded 4. Their offensive strength is more solid at 57% and defensively, they are also at 57%.

In terms of victories, O’Higgins wins 20% of their home matches, while Union La Calera wins 20% of their away matches. There are also 40% of draws for each team.

The prediction leans more towards O’Higgins, who has a 49.74% chance of winning, with odds at 1.95. However, a draw remains likely at 30.69% (odds at 3.60).

Regarding goals, betting on over 1.5 goals in the match seems wise with a 73.54% probability (odds at 1.33). On the other hand, betting on over 2.5 goals is riskier as there is only a 48.15% chance of success (odds at 2.00).

Ideally, betting on less than 4.5 goals in the match seems like a good option with a success probability of 94.71% (odds at 1.09).

In terms of each team’s score, there is a 54.5% chance that both teams will score (odds at 1.85).

In conclusion, the analysis suggests opportunities for gains by betting on an O’Higgins win, less than 4.5 goals, and the possibility of both teams scoring at least one goal in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between O’Higgins and Union La Calera is expected to be tight and closely contested. Based on the analysis of statistics and recent performances, O’Higgins appears to have a slight advantage playing at home with a 49.74% probability of winning. However, Union La Calera should not be underestimated with a higher offensive potential than O’Higgins, making the match unpredictable.

Regarding the number of goals, it is advisable to bet on a match with less than 2.5 goals given the offensive and defensive performances of both teams. Moreover, both teams have shown they are capable of scoring, making the “both teams to score” bet attractive.

Despite the statistical favor towards O’Higgins, the bet “draw or Union La Calera to win” offers an interesting value bet at odds of 1.87. Looking at the exact score, the most likely scoreline seems to be O’Higgins 1-1 Union La Calera.

In summary, it would be wise to consider these statistics and analyses before placing your bets on this match. While chance always plays a role in football, an informed decision can give you an edge. Good luck!