Tipps Olimpija Ljubljana Aluminij Prva Liga - Slovenie 20/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

My prediction for this match is “Olimpija Ljubljana to win the match”.

1. Olimpija Ljubljana’s past home performances are relatively good with a 40% win rate. Their total score of 9 goals, along with their offensive potential of 86%, suggest a strong attack, favorable to their victory.

2. On the other hand, Aluminij has rather average away performances, with only a 20% win rate and 40% draws. Their average goals scored is 0.8 per match, which is lower than Olimpija’s, indicating a weaker offensive potential.

3. In terms of probabilities, Olimpija’s chances of winning the match are significantly higher (80.83%) than Aluminij’s (4.66%), providing a strong argument to support the initial prediction.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The offensive potential of Olimpija Ljubljana at home is very high, with an average of 2.4 goals scored per match in their last 5 home games, increasing the chances of a match with over 2.5 goals.

2. Aluminij concedes an average of 1.8 goals per match in their away games, which, combined with the home team’s offensive potential, suggests a match with at least 3 goals.

3. The history of both teams shows a tendency for high-scoring matches, with a 59.59% probability of a match with over 2.5 goals according to the odds.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Olimpija Ljubljana has shown a 57% defensive potential at home: in their last 5 home matches, the team has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game, demonstrating some resistance against opposing attacks.

2. Aluminij has struggled to score in their away matches: in their last 5 away matches, Aluminij has only scored a total of 5 goals, indicating an offensive weakness on the road.

3. The predictive probability suggests a slight edge for the “Both teams to score – No” option with a 52.85% chance of success: this percentage above 50% indicates that our statistical model considers it more likely that at least one of the teams will fail to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 5.00

Bet on the exact result

Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 Aluminij

1. Statistics show an advantage for Olimpija Ljubljana, who win at home in 40% of cases, while Aluminij only win away in 20% of cases.
2. The offensive potential of Olimpija Ljubljana is quite high (86%) compared to Aluminij (29%), indicating a greater ability to score more effectively. Additionally, the defensive potential of Aluminij is weaker (64%) than that of Olimpija Ljubljana (57%), suggesting a higher likelihood of conceding goals.
3. Predictions indicate a high probability (80.83%) of Olimpija Ljubljana winning the match, and a strong likelihood (82.9%) of more than 1.5 goals being scored in the match, supporting the exact forecasted score of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Olimpija Ljubljana has shown a solid performance at home with a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding 9 as well. Their attacking potential is strong at 86%, although they are somewhat hesitant in defense at 57%.

On the other hand, Aluminij, in their last 5 away matches, only wins 20% of the time, with a lower tally of 5 goals scored and 6 conceded. Their weak offensive potential of 29% and a defense rating of 64% are not very reassuring.

The assessment is clear. Olimpija Ljubljana has an 80.83% probability of winning this match. The odds of a draw are at 14.51%, while Aluminij’s victory is unlikely at 4.66%.

Regarding goals, there is an 82.9% probability of the match seeing over 1.5 goals. The chances of seeing over 2.5 goals are at 59.59%, while fewer than 3.5 goals have a probability of 64.77%.

Taking into account the recent match performances will also guide our decision. Olimpija Ljubljana’s home games have often been a mix of ups and downs, while Aluminij struggles away.

Considering all these indicators, Olimpija Ljubljana seems to have the edge in this match. However, as always in football, anything can happen.

The potential number of goals

Olimpija Ljubljana has a strong home performance, winning 40% of the time. They have an offensive potential of 86% with an average of 2.4 goals per match. Their defense is weaker, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match.

Aluminij, on the other hand, has a weaker performance away from home, with only 20% wins. They have a much lower offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 64%.

The probability of Olimpija Ljubljana winning this match is very high, at 80.83%, with odds of 1.30. The chances of a draw are only 14.51%, and the probability of Aluminij winning is very low at 4.66%.

The match is likely to be high-scoring, with a probability of over 1.5 goals at 82.9% and over 2.5 goals at 59.59%.

For the ‘both teams to score’ bet, the probability is fairly balanced but slightly leans towards “no”, with a probability of 52.85%.

Based on the analysis of these figures, for a prediction, I would suggest betting on a victory for Olimpija Ljubljana with over 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Olimpija Ljubljana and Aluminij promises an interesting encounter, where Olimpija Ljubljana seems to have a clear advantage. The statistics, offensive and defensive potential of the teams, and past performances indicate a higher probability of Olimpija Ljubljana emerging victorious. However, it is always crucial to remember that football is unpredictable and anything can happen. The suggested bets include a win for Olimpija Ljubljana with over 1.5 goals in the match, and a slight possibility of both teams not scoring. On the other hand, for those seeking a “value bet,” a wager on a draw could offer a nice reward. Ultimately, betting should remain a fun activity, with measured risks.