Tipps Oliveirense CF Os Belenenses Segunda Liga 21/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Oliveirense wins the match

1. Oliveirense’s home performance: Oliveirense has a relatively strong home record. With a 20% win rate and 60% draw rate in their last 5 home matches, it indicates that they tend not to lose easily on their own turf.
2. CF Os Belenenses’ weakness away from home: CF Os Belenenses has not won any of their last 5 away matches. They have drawn in 60% of those games, which, combined with Oliveirense’s home record, increases the likelihood of a draw or an Oliveirense win.
3. Overall probabilities in favor of Oliveirense or a draw: The overall probabilities heavily favor a draw or an Oliveirense win, with a 77.84% chance of success compared to only 22.16% for a CF Os Belenenses win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The average goals per match for both teams are 1 and 1.2 goals, respectively. Combining them gives us an expected average of less than 2.5 goals per match.

2. In the recent home matches of Oliveirense and away matches of CF Os Belenenses, there is a noticeable trend of generally low total scores, rarely exceeding the 2.5 goals threshold.

3. The probabilities indicate that fewer than 2.5 goals in the match have odds of 1.60, implying an implied probability of 62.5%. In comparison, the probability of more than 2.5 goals in the match stands at only 34.02%, confirming the prediction of fewer than 2.5 goals during the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Statistically, both teams have shown good offensive performance recently, with Oliveirense averaging 1 goal per home match and CF Os Belenenses averaging 1.2 goals per away match. These numbers suggest a potential for both teams to score during the match.
2. CF Os Belenenses has a significant defensive weakness away from home, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. This, combined with Oliveirense’s average attacking performance at home, gives a higher probability that both teams will score during the match.
3. Analysis of the teams’ recent matches reveals several instances where both teams have scored in a single match, such as Oliveirense 3 – 1 Benfica B or União de Leiria 4 – 2 CF Os Belenenses. These past trends support the prediction that both teams will score in their encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Oliveirense 1-1 CF Os Belenenses

1. The performance statistics of both teams are very similar. In particular, they have both obtained a high number of draws (60%) in their last 5 matches, which suggests they are well matched and another draw is likely.
2. Both teams have fairly close goals averages (1 goal per match for Oliveirense and 1.2 goals for CF Os Belenenses). Furthermore, they have both conceded on average over 1 goal per match in their last 5 matches (1 for Oliveirense and 1.4 for CF Os Belenenses). This suggests that we can expect each team to score at least one goal, which is consistent with a final score of 1-1.
3. The probabilities also indicate a high potential for a draw (36.08%) and for both teams to score (54.64%). Additionally, there is a strong likelihood that the match will end with fewer than 2.5 goals (82.99% for under 3.5 goals), which also aligns with a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Oliveirense has a mediocre home form, with a 20% win rate and 60% draws. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6. Both their offensive and defensive levels stand at 36%.

CF Os Belenenses is struggling away from home, with no wins but 60% draws. They have also scored 5 goals and conceded 6. Their offensive and defensive levels are 43% and 50% respectively.

The statistics suggest a higher probability of a win for Oliveirense (41.75%) or a draw (36.08%). The betting option “Draw or Oliveirense win” has a high likelihood of success (77.84%).

With an average of 1 to 1.2 goals per match for both teams, expect a low-scoring game. In fact, the bet “Under 3.5 goals in the match” has a success rate of 82.99%.

Based on recent matches, both teams have struggled to keep clean sheets, with a 54.64% probability that both teams will score. Consider this when placing your bets.

The potential number of goals

Oliveirense has had a mixed performance at home with 1 win and 3 draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6.

Belenenses has shown difficulties in away matches, with no wins in their last 5 away games, including 3 draws. They have also scored 5 goals and conceded 6.

Both teams have similar offensive and defensive performances, with Oliveirense scoring and conceding around 1 goal per match at home. On the other hand, Belenenses scores 1.2 goals and concedes 1.4 goals in their away matches.

The betting odds slightly favor Oliveirense with a 41.75% probability of winning. A draw has a probability of 36.08%.

The most probable score is under 3.5 goals with a high probability of 83%. Additionally, the probability of both teams scoring is slightly above 50%.

In summary, a tight match is expected with a low number of goals. The safest bet seems to be “Under 3.5 goals in the match”. A riskier bet would be on Oliveirense for the win or a draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on statistical analysis and the recent performances of both teams, several predictions emerge. Firstly, it seems more likely that Oliveirense will win the match or there will be a draw, with a success rate probability of 77.84%. Additionally, the match is expected to have a low score, with a probability of less than 2.5 goals in the match at 62.5%. A risky bet, but one that could offer an interesting value bet, would be to bet on a draw. Indeed, given the similar performances of both teams, a final score of 1-1 seems likely, with odds of 3.25 for a draw. Finally, despite their respective defensive difficulties, it is probable that both teams will score in this match. Taking all these factors into account, informed bettors will be able to make informed choices to maximize their potential winnings.