Tipps Olympiakos Piraeus Aston Villa UEFA Europa Conference League 09/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Aston Villa wins the match.”

1. Aston Villa’s offensive potential is more effective away from home than Olympiakos Piraeus’s at home. Even though the difference is small (57% compared to 79%), this can have an influence, especially since success rates are calculated over a series of five matches.

2. The success probability gives Aston Villa a clear advantage at 48%, which is higher than the probability of Olympiakos Piraeus winning or a draw. This statistical element is an important indicator to consider when making a prediction.

3. It is important to note that in the last five away matches, Aston Villa managed to score in every game except one. On the other hand, Olympiakos Piraeus has conceded more goals at home (16 goals) than Aston Villa away (6 goals) in the same series of matches, indicating a certain vulnerability in the home team’s defense.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The recent performances of both teams show a relatively high total number of goals scored. Olympiakos Piraeus has scored 13 goals in their last 5 home matches and Aston Villa has scored 5 goals in their last 5 away matches.
2. Olympiakos Piraeus also concedes a high number of goals at home (16 in the last 5 matches) and Aston Villa also concedes a lot of goals away from home (6 in the last 5 matches). This indicates that both teams’ defenses may be prone to conceding goals.
3. The calculated probability for over 2.5 goals in the match is quite high (62.67%). This indication provided by the betting system suggests that there is a strong likelihood the match could see over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive and defensive statistics of Olympiakos Piraeus and Aston Villa demonstrate a high probability of both teams scoring a goal. Olympiakos has scored 13 goals in their last 5 home matches while Aston Villa has scored 5 goals in their last 5 away matches. Additionally, Olympiakos concedes an average of 1.2 goals per home match, and Aston Villa concedes an average of 2 goals per away match.

2. Predictive performance analyses suggest that the match will likely have over 1.5 goals with a probability of 81.33%. Furthermore, the probability of “Both teams to score” is quite high at 66.67%.

3. Finally, by examining the recent performances of both teams, it is evident that both teams have managed to score in the majority of their matches. For instance, in Olympiakos Piraeus’ last five home matches, they have scored in every single one. Similarly, Aston Villa has scored goals in four out of their last five away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Olympiakos Piraeus 2-1 Aston Villa

1. Recent statistics indicate that Olympiakos Piraeus is strong at home, averaging 2.2 goals per match and winning 80% of their games. Their offensive potential of 79% is significantly higher than Aston Villa’s away form (57%), putting them in a good position to score at least two goals.

2. Aston Villa struggles away from home, winning only 20% of their matches. However, they have managed to score an average of 1.6 goals per game, suggesting they could find the net against Olympiakos. Furthermore, Olympiakos has a defensive potential of 43%, making them likely to concede at least one goal.

3. The odds for both teams to score are at 66.67%, which is quite high. This also suggests that both teams have a strong likelihood of scoring in the match, aligning with the predicted score of 2-1 in favor of Olympiakos Piraeus.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The Olympiakos Piraeus team is in good form at home: they have won 80% of their matches and scored an average of 2.2 goals per game. However, they have conceded 16 goals in 5 matches, indicating a need to improve their defense.

Aston Villa, on the other hand, struggles away from home. They only win 20% of their matches and have scored just 5 goals in 5 matches, despite a 57% offensive potential. Their defense is stronger, having conceded only 6 goals.

The probability of Olympiakos winning is only 29.33%, compared to 48% for Aston Villa. However, the potential for a draw or an Olympiakos victory is 52%, which is interesting.

Regarding goals, there is a high likelihood of seeing more than 1.5 goals (81.33%). Moreover, there is a 66.67% chance that both teams will score.

Analyzing recent matches, Olympiakos has often scored more than 2 goals, except against Panathinaikos. Aston Villa has had mixed results, with heavy losses against Manchester City but an encouraging victory against Arsenal.

Therefore, the match seems likely to be lively with an advantage for Olympiakos at home, but an Aston Villa victory is also possible. Betting on “more than 1.5 goals” seems like a safe option.

The potential number of goals

Olympiakos Piraeus has shown its strength at home, winning 80% of its recent matches. Their offensive prowess is not to be underestimated, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game. However, with a defensive potential of 43%, they have conceded more goals than they have scored.
On the other hand, Aston Villa has struggled away from home, winning only 20% of their matches. Their average of one goal per game is offset by conceding two goals per game. Their defensive potential of 71% could pose a problem against Olympiakos’ attack.
The statistics suggest an offensive game from both sides, with a 66.67% probability of both teams scoring. There is also a 62.67% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.
However, with a 48% probability of winning, Aston Villa is slightly favored to win the match. A safer bet could be a draw or an Aston Villa win, with a 70.67% chance.
In summary, expect a match where both teams score, with a goal line set above 2.5. Aston Villa may have the edge, but Olympiakos will not be easy to overcome at home.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match appears to be an intense showdown between Olympiakos Piraeus and Aston Villa. Despite Aston Villa’s higher success rate, Olympiakos’ home advantage and recent performance point towards a potential draw or possible win. Therefore, a bet on an Aston Villa win or a draw would be a cautious approach.

From a goal perspective, it is likely that we will see over 2.5 goals scored during the match and both teams are likely to score. However, considering defensive weaknesses, a bet on under 3.5 goals scored could offer interesting value.

Regarding the exact score, a 2-1 victory for Olympiakos could be considered. However, as with all sports betting, it’s important to remember that nothing is guaranteed and it’s crucial to bet responsibly.