Tipps Once Caldas Millonarios Primera A 08/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Once Caldas wins the match.

1. Previous Statistics: Over their last 5 matches, Once Caldas has an 80% home win rate, while Millonarios Bogota has only a 20% win rate away. This indicates that Once Caldas has a substantial advantage based on recent performances.

2. Success Probabilities: The prediction “Draw or Once Caldas wins the match” has a success probability of 65.95%, higher than each individual possible outcome. This suggests that it is more likely for the match to end in a draw or a Once Caldas victory.

3. Defensive and Offensive Performances: At home, Once Caldas has a 50% offensive potential and 36% defensive potential, slightly better than Millonarios Bogota’s 50% offensive and 43% defensive potential away. These figures suggest that Once Caldas is more likely to contain Millonarios Bogota’s attack while scoring themselves.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Both teams have an average of goals well below 2.5 goals per match in their last 5 games, with Once Caldas averaging 1.4 goals scored and Millonarios Bogota averaging 1.4 goals scored.

2. The recent match history for both teams shows a low goal output, with fewer than 2.5 goals scored in most matches.

3. Once Caldas and Millonarios Bogota have relatively strong defensive statistics, with defensive efficiency rates of 36% and 43% respectively, which increases the likelihood of a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have a high average of goals scored and conceded per match, with an average of 1.4 goals scored for each team and 1 goal and 1.2 goals conceded on average, respectively. These statistics indicate that both teams are capable of scoring and conceding goals, which increases the likelihood that each of them will score at least one goal.

2. Recent statistics show that Once Caldas has a strong tendency to score at home, with at least one goal scored in their last 5 home matches. Similarly, Millonarios Bogota has scored at least one goal in 4 of their last 5 away matches.

3. The probability of ‘Both teams to score’ is 51.89%, according to the odds offered by the bookmakers. This probability is higher than the probability of ‘Both teams not to score’ (48.11%). Bookmakers base their odds on a variety of factors including team recent form, shot statistics, injuries, etc. And the fact that the probability of both teams scoring is higher provides an additional argument for this prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Fewer than 3.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Once Caldas 1-1 Millonarios Bogota

1. The statistics from the last 5 matches show that Once Caldas has a good record in terms of home victories (80% of the time), with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match. Millonarios Bogota, on the other hand, has shown an ability to also score with an average of 1.4 goals per match, while only winning in 20% of cases. This trend indicates that both teams could very well score in this encounter.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of each team is quite close, with 50% for Once Caldas and Millonarios away from home. This similarity suggests the possibility of goals from both sides, supporting the prediction of a draw with two goals in total.

3. According to the calculated probabilities, a draw has a 29.19% chance of occurring, which is relatively high compared to the outcome of a victory for either team. Additionally, the probability of “both teams scoring” is 51.89%, strongly suggesting a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Once Caldas is in good form at home, winning 80% of their last 5 matches. On the other hand, Millonarios Bogota struggles away, winning only in 20% of cases.

Once Caldas has a 50% offensive potential at home, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match. Their defense is solid, conceding only 1 goal on average.

In comparison, Millonarios Bogota scores and concedes about the same (1.4 goals scored against 1.2 goals conceded), offering offensive and defensive potentials of 50% and 43% respectively.

The probability of Once Caldas winning at home is 36.76%. If you bet on a draw or a Once Caldas victory, the probability rises to 65.95%. It’s almost the same probability (63.24%) for a draw or a Millonarios Bogota win.

Regarding goals, the probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match is 67.03%, and more than 2.5 goals is at 40%. For fans of betting on a low number of goals, the bet on under 3.5 goals is safe at 88.65%, rising to 100% for under 4.5 goals.

The probability of both teams scoring is 51.89%, a figure very close to 48.11% showing the probability of neither team scoring.

In conclusion, the statistics point towards a win or draw for Once Caldas, with a high probability of under 3.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Once Caldas has shown a strong home performance with 80% of victories. They have scored 7 goals but have conceded 8 goals in their last 5 matches. Offensively, they average 1.4 goals per match and concede 1 goal, giving them an offensive potential of 50% and defensive potential of 36%.

Millonarios Bogota, on the other hand, has had a weak performance in their last 5 away matches with only 20% of victories and scored 6 goals while conceding 7. They have an offensive potential of 50% but defensively they are slightly below with a potential of 43%.

Considering the probability of success, Once Caldas has a 36.76% chance of winning the match against 34.05% for Millonarios Bogota. The chances of a draw are 29.19%.

Let’s analyze the goals: we predict “Over 1.5 goals in the match” with a probability of 67.03%. There is a 40% chance for “Over 2.5 goals” and a high probability of “Under 3.5 goals” at 88.65%. The probability of “Over 4.5 goals” is quite low.

The probability that both teams score is 51.89%, a very important data for prediction.

Considering this information, Once Caldas is slightly favored to win. A score of 1-1 could be a good prediction based on the goal averages and the probability that both teams score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this prediction suggests that the match between Once Caldas and Millonarios Bogota is likely to be tight, possibly resulting in a draw or a slight victory for Once Caldas. The relatively similar offensive and defensive potential of both teams reinforces this forecast.

So far, Once Caldas appears to have the advantage as the home team and could control the pace of the match to their advantage. However, it is important to remember that football is unpredictable and anything can happen during the game.

Regarding the number of goals, considering their recent results and defensive performances, a low-scoring match is highly likely, with less than 3.5 total goals expected.

Finally, taking into account both teams’ ability to score and concede goals, there is a strong chance that both teams will manage to score during the match.

Keep in mind that sports betting always involves risk, so it is crucial to bet responsibly. Also, these predictions are based on past statistics and do not guarantee future results. It is essential to consider other external factors that could influence the course of the match, such as weather conditions, potential injuries, team mentality, etc. Good luck to everyone!