Tipps Orense SC Barcelona SC Liga Pro 18/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Barcelona SC wins the match”

1. Barcelona SC’s past performance away from home shows that they have a higher winning capacity compared to Orense SC at home, with Barcelona SC winning 40% of their matches against Orense’s 60%. Furthermore, their away matches often result in either a win or a loss, with no draws, indicating an aggressive attacking strategy.
2. In terms of offensive and defensive potential, Barcelona SC has a higher average in both attack (64%) and defense (64%) compared to Orense SC (57% offensive, 36% defensive). These statistics demonstrate that Barcelona SC has a better overall performance, both in attack and defense.
3. The probabilistic evaluation gives Barcelona SC a 43.3% chance of winning, which is the highest among the three possible outcomes (home team win, draw, away team win). Additionally, the odds for betting on Barcelona SC are lower (2.10), indicating that bookmakers also consider Barcelona SC as the favorites for this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. The average number of goals scored by Orense SC at home in their last 5 matches is 1.6, and for Barcelona SC away it is 1.8. Adding these two averages (3.4) exceeds 2.5, suggesting the match could have fewer than 2.5 goals.

2. The probability of having fewer than 2.5 goals in the match is higher (1.62) than having more than 2.5 goals (2.25), indicating the match is likely to have fewer than 2.5 goals.

3. Data from previous matches shows Orense SC has a solid defense at home (conceding an average of 1 goal per match), while Barcelona SC has an average away attack, with 1.8 goals scored per match on average. These statistics suggest the total number of goals could be below 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that both teams have a strong offensive potential: Orense SC scores an average of 1.6 goals per home match while Barcelona SC scores an average of 1.8 goals per away match.

2. Orense SC’s recent home matches show that they have scored in 4 out of the last 5 matches (80% of the matches), while Barcelona SC has scored in 3 out of the last 5 away matches (60% of the matches).

3. Both teams tend to concede goals. Orense SC has conceded 10 goals in the last 5 home matches and Barcelona SC has also conceded 6 goals in the last 5 away matches. This indicates a less solid defense, increasing the probability of both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Orense SC 1-2 Barcelona SC

1. The offensive potential of Barcelona SC away from home is slightly higher than that of Orense SC at home (64% versus 57%). This means that Barcelona SC has better chances of scoring more goals.

2. In their last 5 away matches, Barcelona SC has won 40% of the games and has not drawn any. Their win rate is lower than that of Orense SC at home (60%), but their lack of draws suggests they are more likely to win or lose rather than settle for a draw.

3. Stats show that Barcelona SC has a higher match-winning probability than Orense SC (43.3% versus 24.23%). Additionally, betting on Barcelona SC to win or draw has a success probability of 75.77%, indicating a greater chance for Barcelona SC not to lose this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Orense SC Analysis: 60% home win rate. Capable of scoring 1.6 goals per match on average, but also concedes the same amount. Defense appears fragile with 10 goals conceded.

Barcelona SC Analysis: Less solid away with only 40% win rate. Similar offensive performance to Orense SC with 1.8 goals per match. Fluctuating defense with 6 goals conceded.

Prediction: Higher probability of Barcelona SC winning at 43.3%. However, Orense SC has a 56.7% probability of not losing.

Betting suggests a match with less than 3.5 goals in 79.38% of cases. Also, in 51.55% of cases, only one team would score.

In conclusion, the numbers favor Barcelona SC. Additionally, it is likely that the match will have fewer than 3.5 goals and only one team will score.

The potential number of goals

In terms of home performance, Orense SC shows strength with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches, scoring a total of 8 goals and conceding 10 goals. However, their defense appears vulnerable with 10 goals conceded.

Barcelona SC, on the other hand, has a 40% win rate in away games. They have scored 6 goals and also conceded 6, indicating a balance between their offensive and defensive potential.

In terms of average performances, Orense SC scores around 1.6 goals per match and concedes 1 on average. Their offensive potential is rated at 57% and their defensive potential at 36%.

Meanwhile, Barcelona SC scores around 1.8 goals per away match and concedes an average of 1.8 as well. This indicates their ability to score but also their defense that regularly concedes.

Currently, Barcelona SC has a slight advantage with a 43.3% probability of winning against 24.23% for Orense SC. The draw also has a good chance of happening with odds of 3.20.

Orense SC’s previous home matches show two consecutive wins against Aucas and Cumbayá, which are positive indicators. However, the defeat against El Nacional indicates a potential weakness.

As for Barcelona SC, their away matches are more varied with variable outcomes, but the last match against Cumbayá ended in a win, which could boost their morale.

Regarding the “over 1.5 goals in the match” event, there is a 65.98% chance. There is also a strong probability (79.38%) for “under 3.5 goals in the match”.

Prediction: The match looks set to be close, but Barcelona SC seems slightly favored. However, expect Orense SC to make it difficult for them.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Overall, both teams, Orense SC and Barcelona SC, present interesting profiles and show a strong offensive capability. However, it is Barcelona SC that benefits from a slight superiority in terms of overall performance, both offensively and defensively. The possibility of seeing this match end with less than 2.5 goals is quite likely, as is the option of only one team scoring.

On the other hand, a bet on over 2.5 goals in the match could prove to be an interesting value bet. The suggested exact score prediction, Orense SC 1-2 Barcelona SC, aligns well with these analyses and appears to be a solid choice for this type of bet.

Nevertheless, the past performances of both teams highlight that nothing is guaranteed in advance. Football sometimes offers surprises, and sports betting echoes that sentiment. This match underscores the importance of analyzing the data in detail to formulate an accurate prediction. However, let’s not forget that, while statistics provide valuable insights, it is on the field that the game will be played.