Tipps Orlando City SC Chicago Fire Major League Soccer 23/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Orlando City wins the match

1. Orlando City has a strong tendency to not lose at home with 80% of draws in the last 5 matches, indicating a solid defense on their home turf.
2. Probability statistics suggest that Orlando City is more likely to win with a success probability of 52.82%. This prediction is based on detailed statistical analyses including factors such as recent performances, historical results, and player performance data.
3. Chicago Fire seems to struggle away from home, having won only 20% of their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match, raising questions about the strength of their defense when playing away.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. Recent statistics show that both teams are not very offensive. Orlando City has only scored 2 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Chicago Fire has scored 6 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. The defensive performance of both teams is relatively good. Orlando City has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per home match, while Chicago Fire has conceded the same average number of goals away.

3. Previous home matches for Orlando City and away matches for Chicago Fire have mostly totaled less than 2.5 goals. The recent scores of Orlando City’s home matches (1-3, 0-2, 0-0, 0-1, 1-2) and Chicago Fire’s away matches (1-4, 1-1, 3-1, 0-0, 3-0) suggest that it is likely this match will have less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show a good offensive performance from Chicago Fire in their away matches, averaging 1.8 goals per game, indicating they have a good chance of scoring in this match.

2. Despite Orlando City not having a strong offensive performance at home, they have managed to score 2 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating they have the ability to score.

3. The probability of both teams scoring is 56.41%, which is relatively high, in line with the offensive performances of both teams.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Orlando City 1-1 Chicago Fire

1. The first argument is based on match history: in the last 5 home matches of Orlando City, 80% ended in a draw, which suggests a potential draw for this match. Additionally, Chicago Fire has also had 40% of its matches end in draws in its last 5 away matches.

2. The second argument concerns goal averages: at home, Orlando City scores an average of 0.6 goals per match and concedes 1.4, while Chicago Fire scores an average of 1.8 goals per match away and concedes 1.4. These numbers give an indication of the potential number of goals that could be scored during the match.

3. Finally, the third argument refers to probabilities: the draw has a success probability of 29.74%, which is a reasonable probability. Moreover, both teams to score has a success probability of 56.41%, which supports the prediction of a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Orlando City seems to be struggling at home, with no wins in their last 5 matches, but with an 80% draw rate. They have a very low offensive potential of 21%, averaging 0.6 goals scored per match.

Chicago Fire has been performing better away from home, despite a low 20% win rate. They score more with an average of 1.8 goals per match, which represents a 64% offensive potential.

In terms of defense, both teams have the same potential, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. This could add uncertainty to the match result.

According to the probabilities, Orlando City are more likely to win the match (52.82%) than Chicago Fire (17.44%). A draw also seems to be a viable option with a probability of 29.74%.

For goal-related bets, the highest probability is for over 1.5 goals in the match (80.51%) but with low odds of 1.26.

The “Both Teams to Score” option also looks interesting with a success probability of 56.41% and odds of 1.75.

Considering the teams’ performances and probabilities, a bet on a draw or an Orlando City win with over 1.5 goals could be considered.

The potential number of goals

Orlando City struggles to win at home, with a 0% win rate in their last 5 matches. However, they have a high draw percentage at 80%. They have scored 2 goals and conceded 4.

On the other hand, Chicago Fire has won 20% of their away matches. They have scored more goals with 6, but have also conceded more with a total of 9 goals. Their offensive/defensive ratio is 1.8/1.4 goals per match.

Orlando’s offensive potential is low at 21% only at home. However, their defense is stronger with a 50% success rate.

Chicago Fire has a high offensive potential at 64% and a defense of 50%.

Despite these numbers, Orlando is the favorite with a 52.82% chance of winning, compared to 17.44% for Chicago.

It is likely to be a close match where defenses will dominate, with probably less than 1.5 goals scored. In any case, it’s always a matter of luck. Good luck with your bet!

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the teams’ performances, available statistics, and analyses conducted, it appears that the match between Orlando City and Chicago Fire is expected to be tight, with both teams showing varying performances.

Orlando City is favored at home, although they struggle to turn their matches into victories. Their defense is solid and does not give much space for the opponent to score, leading to many draws. On the other hand, Chicago Fire delivers a strong offensive performance away from home, consistently scoring goals, even though they also concede.

The recommendation would be to bet on a draw or a victory for Orlando City, with less than 2.5 goals in the match. It also seems likely that both teams will score during the game. However, each individual should assess their risk tolerance and make their own choices. Good luck, and may the best team win!