Tipps Orlando City SC FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer 05/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Orlando City wins the match.

1. In its last 5 home matches, Orlando City managed not to lose in 60% of the cases (20% wins and 40% draws). Therefore, considering its home form, it is more likely that the outcome will be at least a draw in favor of Orlando City.

2. Orlando City’s offensive potential at home is higher than that of Cincinnati away (64% vs 50%). Combined with equivalent defensive potential (50% for both teams), this increases the chances that Orlando City will not lose the match.

3. Probability statistics indicate a higher success rate (69.9%) for the scenario where the match ends in a win for Orlando City or a draw, which further strengthens the argument that this prediction is more likely.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams show a clear tendency to produce matches with a relatively high total number of goals. Orlando City scores an average of 1.8 goals and concedes 1.4 goals per game at home, while Cincinnati both scores and concedes an average of 1.4 goals per game away. These figures suggest a potential average total of 3.2 goals per match.

2. The recent match history of both teams also shows a high frequency of matches with over 2.5 goals. For example, four of Orlando City’s last five home matches had over 2.5 goals, and four of Cincinnati’s last five away matches also had over 2.5 goals.

3. The odds provided by the bookmaker also support the prediction of over 2.5 goals in the match, with a success probability of 55.61% for this special bet, which is significantly higher than the probability of under 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. In their recent matches, Orlando City has shown an ability to score at home (with goals scored in 80% of their last matches), while Cincinnati has proven its ability to score away from home (with goals scored in 100% of their last away matches).
2. Both teams have an average or weak defense. On average, Orlando City concedes 1.4 goals per match at home, and Cincinnati also concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match away.
3. The offensive potential of both teams for this match is quite high, with an average of 1.8 goals per match for Orlando City and 1.4 goals per match for Cincinnati.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 32.14% chance of success: 3.75

Bet on the exact result

Orlando City 1-1 Cincinnati

1. The probability of a draw is quite high (32.14%) when looking at the performances of both teams in their respective last 5 matches. Orlando City has drawn in 40% of their home games while Cincinnati has managed to draw in 20% of their away games.

2. The offensive potential of Orlando City at home and Cincinnati away is similar, at 64% and 50% respectively. This means they have been able to score goals regularly. Additionally, they have a fairly similar average goals scored per match (1.8 for Orlando City and 1.4 for Cincinnati), suggesting a score of one goal each is plausible.

3. The defensive statistics of both teams also suggest that each team is likely to concede a goal. Orlando City has a relatively low defensive potential at 50% at home and has conceded six goals in their last 5 matches. Similarly, Cincinnati also has a defensive potential of 50% away. These factors indicate that it is probable that each team may concede at least one goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Orlando City, at home, has had mixed results recently. They have only won 20% of their last 5 matches, with a draw rate of 40%. An offensive rate of 64% and a defensive rate of 50% show average form.

Cincinnati, away, has better statistics with a 40% win rate and a 20% draw rate. Their offensive and defensive rates both at 50% also suggest average form.

Betting on a draw or Orlando City’s win seems logical with a 69.9% chance of success. However, there is also a 62.24% probability for a draw or Cincinnati’s win.

Both teams have an average of around 1.4 goals per match. Therefore, betting on over 1.5 goals in the match with a 76.53% chance of success may be a reasonable option.

The “both teams to score” option with a 59.18% probability also seems appealing to bettors.

Overall, this match between Orlando City and Cincinnati could be very balanced, likely with a score of over 1.5 goals. However, surprises should be taken into consideration.

The potential number of goals

Orlando City has only won 20% of their last home games, with an average of 1.8 goals per match. However, their defense at home is solid, conceding only 1.4 goals on average.

Cincinnati has slightly more success away from home, with a 40% win rate and an average of 1.4 goals per match. However, their defense is less solid, conceding 1.4 goals per match as well.

The probabilities indicate a slight edge for Orlando City, with a success rate odds of 37.76%, compared to 30.1% for Cincinnati. The lowest risk would be to bet on a draw or an Orlando City win, with a success probability of 69.9%.

In the last five home games of Orlando City, the total goals often exceed 1.5 goals. Moreover, there is a 76.53% probability that more than 1.5 goals will be scored during the match.

The trend suggests that both teams will score, with a 59.18% probability. The last five away games of Cincinnati often confirm this trend.

In summary, with Orlando City strong in defense at home and Cincinnati promising in attack away, it would be wise to bet on over 1.5 goals and both teams to score, with a slight edge towards Orlando City or a draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Orlando City and Cincinnati appears promising with teams featuring substantial offensive potential and mixed forms. Considering the statistics and probabilities associated with each team, it seems that the most likely scenario would be a draw or a victory for Orlando City, with a success rate probability of 69.9%. Furthermore, betting on a total of over 2.5 goals in the match and/or on both teams scoring could prove fruitful, given the presented numbers. However, like any sports prediction, these are just forecasts based on statistics and probabilities, and it is always crucial to bet responsibly by taking into account unpredictable factors that can influence the outcome of a football match.