Tipps Orlando City SC New England Revolution Major League Soccer 15/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Orlando City wins the match

1. Orlando City has shown better performances at home, with a winning frequency of 40% in their last 5 games, compared to New England’s away winning frequency which is the same. However, Orlando has been able to score more goals (9) than New England (8).
2. Probability statistics favor Orlando City with a win probability of 60.11%, which is significantly higher than New England’s (19.15%). Additionally, Orlando City’s defensive potential is slightly better than New England’s (36% vs 43%).
3. The previous match records between these two teams seem to favor Orlando City. The two teams have met before, resulting in a draw, showing that Orlando City is capable of holding off New England at home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Offensive statistics: Orlando City at home and New England away have an average of goals scored per match over 1.5. This indicates a strong offensive potential from both teams, favoring a match with a total of over 2.5 goals.

2. Recent history: In their respective recent matches, Orlando City and New England have often been involved in games that ended with a total of goals over 2.5, reinforcing the idea of a potentially high-scoring match.

3. Betting success rate: The probability of success for the bet “over 2.5 goals in the match” is 60.64%, which is a fairly solid indication to support this prediction. Additionally, the probability of both teams scoring is also quite high (57.98%), suggesting a match where both teams could score and potentially exceed the 2.5 goals threshold.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent statistics show that both teams have relatively balanced offensive and defensive capabilities, with Orlando City and New England scoring 9 and 8 goals respectively while conceding 10 and 9 goals in their last 5 matches. This could favor a scenario where both teams score.

2. Regarding home statistics for Orlando City and away statistics for New England, both teams have shown offensive potentials of 57% and 64% respectively, indicating a strong likelihood of scoring goals. In addition, they have defensive potentials of 36% and 43%, suggesting they are also likely to concede goals.

3. The odds for the “Both teams to score” bet offer a success probability of 57.98%, making it not only possible but also probable according to bookmakers’ probabilities.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

New England wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Orlando City beat New England 2-1.

1. Recent performance analysis: Orlando City has scored an average of 1.6 goals per home game in their last 5 matches and has conceded an average of 1 goal. Additionally, Orlando City has won 60.11% of their home matches, indicating that they are performing well at home.
2. Offensive and defensive potential: Orlando City has a 57% offensive potential at home, which is lower than New England’s 64% away from home, but their defensive potential of 36% is better than New England’s 43%. This could lead to a close victory for Orlando City.
3. Goal probability: The probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored in the match is 60.64%. Combined with the probability of both teams scoring (57.98%), this makes the exact score of 2-1 for Orlando City very likely.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Orlando City has won 40% of their last 5 home matches but has not managed to draw. With 9 goals scored and 10 conceded, their defense seems weak.

New England has an identical success rate away from home; 40% of wins in their last 5 matches. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 9.

Orlando City averages 1.6 goals scored per home match, compared to New England’s 1.8 away from home. Orlando City’s offensive potential is 57%, while New England’s is 64%.

The probability of an Orlando win is 60.11%. The draw has a probability of 20.74%, while a New England win has a 19.15% chance.

The potential for fewer than 1.5 goals is low. However, there is an 84.04% probability for more than 1.5 goals, and a 60.64% probability for more than 2.5 goals, suggesting a goal-rich match can be expected.

Both teams have a 57.98% chance of scoring, reinforcing the idea of an offensive match.

By analyzing their recent matches, we see a variable performance, with significant wins and heavy defeats for each.

In conclusion, Orlando City seems to have a slight advantage at home, but New England’s offensive strength could prove decisive. A match with many goals can be expected. A prediction of either an Orlando victory or a draw with more than 2.5 goals seems sensible.

The potential number of goals

Orlando City is efficient at home with 9 goals scored in 5 matches, giving them an offensive potential of 57%. Their defensive ability stands at 36%, resulting in an average of 1 goal per match. Conversely, New England is not far behind with a score of 8 goals away from home, an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 43%, leading to 1.2 goals per match.

The win rate is equal for both teams: 40%. However, Orlando City has a winning probability of 60.11% for this match, compared to 19.15% for New England. A draw seems unlikely, with a probability of 20.74%.

In terms of goals, over 1.5 goals in the match is likely with an 84.04% chance. There is also a 60.64% chance of more than 2.5 goals scored, supported by the recent matches of both teams.

For this match, the statistics suggest a higher probability of both teams scoring: 57.98% compared to 42.02% that they do not score.

Therefore, a lean towards Orlando City is more likely, with a potential score of over 1.5 goals and a possibility of both teams scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of statistics and recent performances of both teams indicates a slight favor towards Orlando City to win this match, mainly due to their better home record. However, New England’s offensive strength should not be underestimated, and they are likely to score goals as well.

Bettors may find value in betting on the exact score of 2-1 for Orlando City, based on the teams’ success rates and the number of goals scored and conceded in their recent encounters. Betting on a total of over 2.5 goals scored in the match also seems reasonable, given the strong offensive performances of both teams.

In terms of a Value Bet, the significant difference in odds in favor of New England offers a potentially higher return on investment, despite a lower likelihood of success.

To make the best possible bet, it is crucial to combine these analyses with monitoring news and pre-match team performances. Last-minute injuries, suspensions, or tactical changes can have a significant impact on the final outcome of the match.