Tipps Orlando City SC Toronto FC Major League Soccer 28/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Orlando City wins the match

1. Home Performance: Orlando City has a stronger home record than Toronto on the road. In their last 5 home matches, Orlando City has won 40% of their games, compared to only 20% for Toronto on the road.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Orlando City has shown more impressive offensive and defensive capabilities. They average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per home match, demonstrating an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 50%. Contrasting this with Toronto’s away performances, who average 1.2 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match, equating to an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 71%; this puts Orlando City in a better position to win the match.

3. Probability of Winning: The betting statistics themselves favor a win for Orlando City. With a 57.69% probability of success, this gives Orlando City a much higher advantage over Toronto who only has a 21.98% probability of success. The most likely outcome according to the betting statistics is a victory for Orlando City.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams, which reinforces the idea of a match with goals. According to the provided figures, Orlando City has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 50%, while Toronto has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 71%. These statistics indicate that it is likely for both teams to score and concede goals.

2. The teams’ past performances in their respective matches. In their last 5 home matches, Orlando City scored 8 goals, averaging 1.6 goals per match. On the other hand, in their last 5 away matches, Toronto scored 4 goals, averaging 1.2 goals per match. This confirms the goal-scoring potential of both teams.

3. The probability of sports betting given provides a third strong argument. With a success probability of 60.44% for the bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match,” it is actually more likely to see three goals or more in this match according to the bookmakers.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that Orlando City has some offensive efficiency at home, averaging 1.6 goals scored per match and a 57% offensive potential. Therefore, it is likely that they will score in this match.
2. Despite a lower win rate, Toronto has demonstrated an ability to score away from home, with an average of 1.2 goals per match and a 43% offensive potential. Additionally, they have managed to score in several of their recent away matches.
3. The defensive potential of each team is relatively low (50% for Orlando City at home, 71% for Toronto away), suggesting that there is a good chance that each team will concede at least one goal.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Toronto wins the match – 42.31% success rate: 2.35

Bet on the exact result

Orlando City 2-1 Toronto

1. Orlando City’s home performance statistics show an average of 1.6 goals scored per match, which is higher than Toronto’s away goals scored average (1.2 goals per match). Additionally, Orlando City has an offensive potential of 57%, higher than Toronto’s (43%). These factors suggest that Orlando City has a better offensive performance at home compared to Toronto’s defense in away matches.

2. Orlando City has the highest probability of winning the match at 57.69%, compared to Toronto’s 21.98% chance of victory. Furthermore, when combining the draw and Orlando City’s win, the success probability reaches 78.02%, indicating a strong outlook for Orlando City.

3. By analyzing the average number of goals conceded in the last 5 matches, Toronto concedes an average of 2 goals per match when playing away, while Orlando City concedes around 1.4 goals per home match. The number of goals conceded by Toronto, combined with Orlando City’s offensive strength, indicates a higher probability that Toronto will concede more than one goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Orlando City has shown a consistent home performance, with 40% wins and 20% draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 9, indicating a satisfactory offensive trend but defensively unstable.

Toronto has not performed as well away, with only 20% wins and 20% draws in their last 5 matches. They have a limited scoring ability with a total of 4 goals, however, their defense is stronger with the same number of goals conceded.

In terms of offensive and defensive potential, Orlando City has an advantage with 57% and 50% respectively, compared to Toronto with 43% and 71% respectively.

The match probabilities point towards a win for Orlando City at 57.69%, while a draw is less likely at 20.33% and a Toronto win at 21.98%. The most probable scenario is a match with over 1.5 goals (84.07% probability) and less than 4.5 goals (96.7% probability).

Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 54.4%. However, both teams not scoring is also possible with a probability of 45.6%.

Based on recent performances, Orlando City seems to have an edge, especially at home. Toronto might have a chance to draw, but a win seems unlikely.

In conclusion, the safest choice appears to be an Orlando City win, with a probability of under 4.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Orlando City stands out at home with a 40% win rate and 20% draws. Their attack has produced 8 goals, but their defense has conceded 9 goals. The offensive potential is at 57%, while the defensive potential is at 50%. Toronto struggles away from home with only a 20% win rate and 20% draws. They have scored 4 goals, while conceding the same. They have a 43% offensive potential and 71% defensive potential.

The odds for Orlando City to win are high at 57.69%, offering odds of 1.65. A draw would offer odds of 4.33, with a 20.33% chance of success. Toronto has lower chances of winning, only 21.98%, but with odds of 5. The match clearly leans in favor of Orlando City or a draw, with a 78.02% probability.

The number of goals is expected to be above 1.5 with an 84.07% probability. Less likely, but still possible with a 60.44% chance, the match could see over 2.5 goals. The odds drop for over 4.5 goals, down to 96.7%.

Both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 54.4%. It’s less likely for both teams not to score, with a 45.6% chance.

Given these statistics, Orlando City seems to have a significant advantage for this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistics of the match between Orlando City and Toronto indicate a favorable trend for Orlando City. The offensive and defensive potential of Orlando City, combined with their performance at home, lead us to predict a victory for this team. However, Toronto could defy these predictions, given their resilient defense and ability to score goals away from home.

The probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored during the match is quite high, as well as the chances of both teams scoring at least once. The most likely scenario would be a match with less than 4.5 total goals, favoring a victory for Orlando City.

In summary, for a safe bet, prioritize a victory for Orlando City with less than 5 goals scored in the match. However, for bettors seeking risk and higher potential return on investment, a bet on a victory or a draw in favor of Toronto could prove interesting.