Tipps Oviedo FC Cartagena LaLiga 2 15/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Oviedo wins the match

1. Probability of victory: According to the data provided, Oviedo has a higher chance of success, with a win probability of 56.22% compared to Cartagena’s 14.59%.
2. Home vs Away performance: Oviedo has shown some strength at home, with a 40% win rate in their last five matches, compared to Cartagena’s 60% away win rate in their last five matches. However, Cartagena has conceded more goals (10) compared to Oviedo (5), indicating a defensive weakness away from home that Oviedo could exploit.
3. Offensive and defensive potential: While their offensive potential is slightly lower (29%) compared to Cartagena’s (36%), Oviedo has a stronger defensive potential at home (57%) than Cartagena does away (50%). This means that Oviedo is capable of withstanding Cartagena’s offensive assault and using their own offensive abilities to score goals and win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics show that both teams have a low goal-scoring rate. On average, Oviedo has only scored 0.8 goals per match and FC Cartagena 1 goal per match in their last 5 matches.

2. Oviedo has a strong defense at home, conceding an average of only 1.6 goals per match, suggesting they are capable of containing FC Cartagena’s attack.

3. Previous home matches for Oviedo and away matches for FC Cartagena have also tended to be low-scoring affairs, further supporting the likelihood of there being fewer than 2.5 goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The goal statistics: Both teams have shown an ability to score goals in their recent matches. At home, Oviedo has scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches, while FC Cartagena has scored 7 goals in their last 5 away matches. Additionally, Oviedo concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match at home, and FC Cartagena concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match when playing away, indicating a strong potential for both teams to score.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Oviedo has a home offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 57%. On the other hand, FC Cartagena has an away offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 50%. The balance between the offensive and defensive potential of these two teams suggests that both teams have chances to score.

3. Probability rate: According to the odds, the probability of both teams scoring is 50.27%, which is relatively high. This probability indicates that bettors believe there is a fair chance for both teams to score, reflecting the statistical analysis and recent performances of these two teams.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

FC Cartagena wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Oviedo 1-1 FC Cartagena

1. Match History: Oviedo tends to draw games when playing at home, with 40% of draws in their last 5 home matches. FC Cartagena, on the other hand, does not draw when playing away. However, the likelihood of a draw is high (29.19% success probability) when considering both team’s statistics.

2. Goal Averages: The offensive and defensive performances of both teams suggest a 1-1 scoreline. At home, Oviedo averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match, while FC Cartagena averages 1 goal scored and 1.4 goals conceded per away match.

3. Goal Statistics: It is more likely (69.19% success rate) for the match to have over 1.5 goals. However, it is more likely for the match to have under 3.5 goals (86.49% success rate). A 1-1 scoreline fits well within these trends.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Oviedo has shown strength at home, winning and drawing in 40% of cases. 5 goals have been scored and conceded in these 5 home matches. On the other hand, FC Cartagena is more impressive on the road, winning in 60% of cases. However, they have conceded 10 goals while scoring 7 goals in these away matches.

In terms of scoring, Oviedo averages 0.8 goals per home match, while Cartagena responds with 1 goal per away match. It is noted that Cartagena has a slightly weaker defense, conceding 1.4 goals per match compared to 1.6 for Oviedo.

Looking at the probabilities, the most likely scenario emerges with a 56.22% chance of Oviedo winning compared to a low probability of 14.59% for Cartagena. A draw is estimated at 29.19%.

The bet “draw or Oviedo win” seems a safe choice with a success probability of 85.41%. In terms of total number of goals, “Under 3.5 goals” is the safest choice with a success probability of 86.49%.

Let’s examine the goals scored by each team: it’s nearly a 50/50 chance for each team to score or not, with a slight advantage for “both teams score” at 50.27%.

Analyzing recent performances, Oviedo has suffered defeats against Racing Santander but also notable victories against Al-Ettifaq and Espanyol Barcelona. Cartagena has seen success on the road, with wins against Eldense, Albacete, and Yeclano, but also defeats against Burgos and Espanyol Barcelona.

In conclusion, this match could lean in favor of Oviedo, based on their home performances and FC Cartagena’s form away.

The potential number of goals

Oviedo has won 40% of their home matches and scored an average of 0.8 goals per match. Their defense has conceded 1.6 goals. FC Cartagena has won 60% of their recent outings and scored an average of 1 goal away from home. However, they would concede an average of 1.4 goals per match.

Oviedo has a 56.22% chance of winning with odds of 1.70. The probability of a draw or Oviedo winning is 85.41%, with odds of 1.11.

FC Cartagena has a 14.59% chance of winning with odds of 5.00. The probability of a draw or FC Cartagena winning is 43.78%, with odds of 2.10.

There is a 69.19% probability of the match having over 1.5 goals, with odds of 1.42, and a 41.62% probability of over 2.5 goals, with odds of 2.30.

The likelihood of both teams scoring is assessed at 50.27% with odds of 2.20.

Based on these figures, considering the struggling defenses of both teams and their offensive potential, it would be prudent to go for the option of over 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

By analyzing all available data and performance statistics of both teams, we can create a predictive outlook of the Oviedo versus FC Cartagena match. Based on recent performances and probabilities, it appears that Oviedo has an edge, especially when playing at home. However, FC Cartagena’s notable away performance should not be underestimated.

In terms of betting, the safest bet seems to be “Under 3.5 goals” in the match, with a success probability of 86.49%. This aligns with the fact that both teams tend not to score many goals. In this regard, the “Over 1.5 goals” bet in the match could also be an appealing option considering the sometimes leaky defenses of both teams.

For the “Both Teams to Score” (BTTS) market, there seems to be real potential with a probability of 50.27%. And although the bet on FC Cartagena winning remains an outsider with only a 14.59% probability, it could be interesting as a value bet for those looking to take more risks.

Ultimately, it is recommended to bet cautiously, taking into account both statistics, recent performances, and form factors.