Tipps Oxford United Swansea Championship 02/11/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Swansea City wins the match

1. The defensive potential of Swansea City is significantly higher (79%) compared to that of Oxford United (50%), which means better resistance to opponent attacks.
2. Even though Swansea City’s offensive potential is low, the team has a higher probability of winning the match (37.04%) compared to Oxford United (31.22%).
3. Swansea City’s recent away performances show a solid defense with only 3 goals conceded in the last 5 matches, indicating they have the ability to limit opponent goals, thereby increasing their chances of victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The low number of goals scored by both teams in their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goal per match for Oxford United and 0 goals for Swansea City, reflects a weak offensive efficiency on their part.
2. Both teams have a relatively solid defense, with an average of 1.4 goals conceded per match for Oxford United and 0.6 for Swansea City, indicating that they are more likely to prioritize a defensive approach, thereby limiting the number of goals.
3. Taking into account the statistics from the recent matches played by Oxford United at home and Swansea City away, many games have seen fewer than 2.5 goals, in line with our prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Swansea City’s offensive potential away from home is 0%, meaning they do not score on average in their away matches, further supporting the likelihood of both teams not scoring in this match.
2. Oxford United, despite playing at home, also has a defensive potential of 50%, indicating they have a fifty-fifty chance of not conceding in their home matches. This, combined with Swansea’s low offensive potential, increases the probability of only one goal being scored, or even none.
3. The recent match statistics of both teams also show a trend towards low scores, with many matches ending with just one goal or in a draw with few or no goals scored. This suggests a recent trend that could continue in the encounter between the two teams.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Less than 2.5 goals in the match: 1.72

Bet on the exact result

“Oxford United 1-1 Swansea City”

1. The recent performances of Oxford United at home and Swansea City away show that both teams score rather few goals. Oxford United has an average of 1 goal per match and Swansea City an average of 0.4 goals per match. These low averages support the prediction of a low-scoring match such as 1-1.

2. The statistics of these two teams also show a fairly balanced distribution of results, with a slight dominance for Swansea City. This provides a strong argument for a draw prediction, just like our 1-1 prediction.

3. Looking at the results of the recent matches, Oxford United has conceded at least one goal in 80% of their last 5 home matches and Swansea City has scored in 40% of their last 5 away matches. Therefore, we can expect both teams to score, justifying a score prediction of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Oxford United has an average of 1 goal per home match and has won 40% of its last 5 matches. However, Oxford has conceded 7 goals, more than one per match.

Swansea City shows a weaker performance away, with an average score of 0 goals per match and has only won 20% of its last 5 matches. The team has conceded fewer goals than Oxford, with only 3 goals in 5 matches.

Despite the lower win rate, Swansea City has a 37.04% chance of winning, compared to 31.22% for Oxford United. The probability of a draw is slightly higher at 31.75%.

The most likely outcome would either be a draw or a Swansea win with a combined probability of 68.78%.

The number of goals scored per match may not be very high, with less than 1.5 goals at 3.10, and a 70.37% probability for over 1.5 goals.

Each team has an approximate chance of scoring, with a 54.5% probability that both teams will score; the opposite having a slightly lower probability of just under 45.5%.

In conclusion, this match seems very evenly balanced. The odds slightly favor Swansea, but a draw or an Oxford win cannot be ruled out. This encounter may not contain many goals, given the defensive records of both teams.

The potential number of goals

In their last 5 home matches, Oxford United has won in 40% of cases. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7. The offensive potential is 36% and defensive potential is 50%.

On the other hand, Swansea City in 5 away matches, has only won in 20% of cases. They have scored 2 goals and conceded 3. The offensive potential is low at 0% while the defensive potential is 21%.

Oxford United has a 31.22% chance of winning the match according to predictions. As for Swansea City, the probability is higher at 37.04%.

This indicates that the match could be tight. A draw at a 31.75% probability is plausible.

The probabilities also suggest that it’s likely that fewer than 3.5 goals will be scored in total (78.84% chance). This is consistent with the fact that both teams have shown limited goal-scoring performances recently.

There is a 54.5% chance that both teams will score. This could be an indicator of a competitive match.

Taking into account Oxford United’s recent home form and Swansea City’s away form, it is likely that the match will be closely contested with a higher probability of a limited number of goals being scored.

Prediction: Tight match with fewer than 3.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Oxford United and Swansea City promises to be a very tight encounter, with Swansea City slightly favored due to their stronger defense. Statistics indicate a higher likelihood of low scores, with the most probable outcomes being a draw or a narrow victory for either team. Considering these factors, the best betting option could be to place a bet on Under 2.5 goals, indicating fewer than three goals scored during the match. For riskier bettors, an exact score wager may be attempted with a prediction of 1-1. Remember that sports betting always involves a certain degree of uncertainty, so bet responsibly by considering available statistics while not solely relying on them.