Tipps Pachuca Atletico San Luis Liga MX 17/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Pachuca wins the match.

1. The home win percentage of Pachuca is twice as high as San Luis’s away win percentage, making Pachuca more likely to win the match.
2. Pachuca has a stronger defense at home, with a defensive potential of 29% compared to San Luis’s 71% away, meaning Pachuca is less likely to concede goals.
3. The success probabilities also support the prediction of Pachuca’s victory, with a 53.89% probability that Pachuca will win the match, compared to only 21.11% for San Luis.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive potential of both teams is quite high, with 50% for Pachuca and 64% for Atlético San Luis. This indicates a strong likelihood of many goals being scored during the match.
2. Atlético San Luis has conceded an average of 2 goals per match in their last 5 away games. If this pattern continues and Pachuca manages to exploit the opponent’s defensive weaknesses, it could lead to a match with over 2.5 goals.
3. Considering the given probabilities, the bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 58.89%, which is higher than its counterpart. Furthermore, Atlético San Luis’s recent away matches have shown a trend towards high scores.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent statistics from both teams show they are capable of scoring in a match: Pachuca has scored 6 goals in 5 home matches while Atlético San Luis has scored 8 goals in 5 away matches.

2. Examining the offensive and defensive potential of both teams, it is observed that Pachuca and Atlético San Luis have relatively weak defensive performances with 29% and 71% respectively. This could suggest a high probability for both teams to concede goals, thus opening up the possibility of both teams scoring.

3. Indeed, there is a 54.44% probability that both teams will score according to the betting odds. This high probability is supported by the recent match history, where Pachuca has scored in three of their last five home matches and Atlético San Luis has also scored in four of their last five away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Pachuca wins the match – 1.20

Bet on the exact result

Pachuca 2-1 Atlético San Luis

1. Pachuca shows a respectable home record, especially in terms of matches won, and also has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 29%, which could allow them to score more compared to Atlético San Luis.

2. Atlético San Luis tends to concede more goals away from home, with an average of 2 goals conceded per match and an unfavorable defensive probability of 71%, increasing the likelihood of Pachuca scoring at least 2 goals.

3. The probabilities of both teams scoring are respectively 54.44%, making a 2-1 score in favor of Pachuca even more likely given the match history of each team and the offensive and defensive statistics presented.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Pachuca has a home advantage, with 40% of wins and 20% of draws. They show a balance between goals scored and conceded (6).

On the other hand, Atlético San Luis struggles away from home with only 20% of wins and 20% of draws. They have scored more (8), but also conceded more goals (11).

In terms of individual statistics, Pachuca averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded at home. Atlético San Luis has 1.8 goals scored and 2 conceded away.

The probability of Pachuca winning the match is estimated at 53.89%, compared to 21.11% for Atlético San Luis. The probability of a draw is 25%.

Regarding goals, there is an 81.11% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match (odds 1.17). Less than 3.5 goals has a probability of 77.78% (odds 1.57).

The probability of both teams scoring is 54.44%. The probability of both teams not scoring is 45.56%.

Based on these statistics, it is highly likely that Pachuca will win or the match will end in a draw. Bettors should also consider that there will likely be more than 1.5 goals scored in the match.

The potential number of goals

Pachuca, in its last 5 home matches, has won 40% of its games with a total of 6 goals. However, its defense has also allowed 6 goals. On the other hand, Atlético San Luis has only a 20% victory rate away from home, with 8 goals scored and 11 conceded.

Pachuca has an offensive strength of 50% with 1.4 goals per match, while showing a defensive weakness of 29%. Atlético San Luis has a 64% offensive rate with 1.8 goals scored, but struggles in defense with 71%.

The probabilities favor Pachuca, with a 53.89% chance of winning and 25% for a draw. Atlético San Luis’s victory is unlikely at only 21.11%. When combined, a result of Pachuca or a draw gives 78.89%.

Regarding the number of goals, there is an 81.11% probability of over 1.5 goals. The same trend is seen with 77.78% for under 3.5 goals, and 96.67% for under 4.5 goals. Both teams have a 54.44% chance of scoring.

In summary, a match dominated by Pachuca is predicted, likely with between 1.5 and 3.5 total goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, according to the statistical analysis, the most likely prediction for this match between Pachuca and Atlético San Luis is a victory for Pachuca. The main reasons for this forecast are Pachuca’s strong performance at home, a solid local defense, and a weaker defense from Atlético San Luis in away games. Additionally, due to the offensive performances of both teams, it is expected that the total goals in the match will exceed 2.5.

Another aspect not to be overlooked is the likelihood of both teams scoring. Furthermore, a bet offering interesting value would be “Draw or Pachuca to win the match,” with odds of 1.20. Finally, regarding the exact score, the data suggests a possible result of 2-1 in favor of Pachuca. It is important to highlight that, although these data are based on detailed analysis, sports betting always involves a certain level of risk.