Tipps Pachuca Cruz Azul Liga MX 29/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Cruz Azul wins the match”

1. Recent statistics favor Cruz Azul: In their last five matches, Cruz Azul has won 40% of the games, while Pachuca has only won 20%. Additionally, when Cruz Azul plays away, they manage to maintain an average of 2 goals per match, compared to Pachuca’s 1.2 goals at home.

2. Cruz Azul has a better defensive performance: In away matches, Cruz Azul concedes an average of one goal per game compared to Pachuca’s two goals at home. This indicates that Cruz Azul likely has a stronger defense.

3. Success probabilities favor Cruz Azul: Based on the provided data, Cruz Azul has a success probability of 38.25%, with odds of 2.30, which is higher than Pachuca’s probability of 33.88% and odds of 3.00. Furthermore, the bet “Draw or Cruz Azul wins the match” has an even higher success probability of 66.12%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The statistics show an average of goals scored per match for Pachuca at home and Cruz Azul away, respectively of 1.2 and 2 goals per match. The sum of these two averages exceeds the 2.5 goals threshold.

2. Both teams have demonstrated promising offensive performances in their last 5 matches, with an offensive potential of 43% for Pachuca and 71% for Cruz Azul. These percentages also suggest a high likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals during the match.

3. The success probability for over 2.5 goals in the match is given as 55.74%. This indicates a strong chance of it happening, well above random chance.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. In their last 5 home matches, Pachuca has scored in every game with an average of 1.2 goals per match, and has allowed their opponents to score in each match as well, conceding an average of 2 goals per match.
2. In their last 5 away matches, Cruz Azul has shown a strong offensive presence with an average of 2 goals scored per match, and has also allowed their opponents to score in every game with an average of 1 goal conceded per match.
3. The statistics indicate a high likelihood of both teams scoring, with a success probability of 55.19%. There is also a high average of goals scored in previous matches between the two teams, increasing the possibility of both teams scoring in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Pachuca 1-2 Cruz Azul

1. Recent statistics show that Pachuca has average home performance, with only a 20% win rate. Cruz Azul, on the other hand, has a slightly better away performance with a 40% win rate.

2. Cruz Azul’s offensive potential away from home is higher (71%) than Pachuca’s offensive potential at home (43%). Additionally, Cruz Azul’s defensive potential away from home (36%) is superior to Pachuca’s at home (71%).

3. The probabilities indicate that Cruz Azul is more likely to win the match (38.25%) compared to Pachuca (33.88%). Furthermore, statistics also show that both teams tend to score in their encounters, supporting the prediction of 2 goals for Cruz Azul and 1 goal for Pachuca.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Pachuca has struggled at home recently, with only a 20% win rate. They have shown stability in scoring with an average of 1.2 goals per match but a defensive fragility with an average of 2 goals conceded.
Cruz Azul has had a more convincing run away from home, with a 40% win rate. They boast an impressive average of 2 goals scored per match and only 1 goal conceded, a sign of good form both offensively and defensively.
There is a 38.25% chance of Cruz Azul winning this match, slightly higher than the 33.88% for Pachuca.
The match seems quite balanced, with a 61.75% chance of Pachuca winning or a draw, and a 66.12% chance of Cruz Azul winning or a draw.
In terms of goals, there is a 75.96% probability of there being more than one goal in the match and a 55.74% probability of there being more than two.
The match offers a 55.19% chance of both teams scoring.
In conclusion, this match presents a challenge for Pachuca at home but Cruz Azul has shown good performance away. A tight match with goals expected from both sides seems likely.

The potential number of goals

According to the statistics, Pachuca has an average home record with 7 goals scored and conceded in 5 matches. An offensive efficiency of 43% suggests a lack of power at home. Cruz Azul performs well away, averaging 2 goals per match and presenting a strong 71% offensive potential.

Pachuca has a 33.88% probability of winning. The draw is highly likely at 27.87%. Cruz Azul has a slightly higher chance of winning at 38.25%.

The probabilities also suggest goals. Over 1.5 goals have a probability of 75.96%. Both teams are likely to score with a probability of 55.19%.

Based on this data, Cruz Azul seems to have a slight advantage. However, the match could be very balanced with a good number of goals expected.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, considering the statistics, recent performances, and success rates of both teams, Cruz Azul appears to be the favorite to win the match against Pachuca. However, there are also positive signs for Pachuca, including a high likelihood of a draw and the possibility of both teams scoring. Moreover, although Cruz Azul has a good average of goals scored away from home, Pachuca is also strong in terms of offensive performances at home. Hence, the interest in betting on the exact score of Pachuca 1-2 Cruz Azul. Ultimately, all indications point to this being an exciting match. Bettors should take these factors into account while also being aware of the unpredictability of a football match, where anything can happen. A ‘value bet’ leaning towards a draw could also be an attractive option for those looking to maximize their returns.