Tipps Pachuca Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX 20/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Pachuca wins the match

1. Performance history: Pachuca has a better probability of success, with a 39.38% chance of winning the match compared to Guadalajara’s 25.91%.
2. Home vs Away Performance: Pachuca has drawn 40% of their last 5 home matches, while Guadalajara has only a 20% win rate in their last 5 away matches.
3. Defense and Offense: Pachuca has a higher offensive potential than Guadalajara, with 57% compared to 36%. Additionally, even though Pachuca has a weak defensive performance, Guadalajara has a poor success rate away, which may minimize the impact of Pachuca’s low defensive yield.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5” is the translation of “ Over 2.5 ” in English.

1. Offensive and defensive potential: Pachuca averages 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 goals conceded per match at home, while Guadalajara averages 1 goal scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match away. These averages suggest that there could be over 2.5 goals scored in this match.

2. Match history: Previous results from Pachuca’s home matches and Guadalajara’s away matches often show a combined score of over 2.5 goals. For example, Pachuca’s home scores are typically high like Pachuca 2 – 4 Cruz Azul, Pachuca 2 – 2 Toluca, and Guadalajara’s away scores like Tijuana 4 – 2 Guadalajara.

3. Betting probabilities: Although the probability of “over 2.5 goals in the match” is only 47.67%, it is still reasonably high. Additionally, comparing this to “under 2.5 goals in the match” which offers odds of 1.87 versus the odds of 1.90 for over 2.5 goals, you can see that bettors also believe there is a significant chance of seeing over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. Recent statistics show that Pachuca has scored and conceded goals in a majority of their recent home matches, demonstrating a weakness in their defense but a strong offensive potential.

2. Similarly, Guadalajara has also shown an ability to score and concede goals in their recent away matches.

3. The calculated probabilities indicate a success rate of 60.1% for the scenario where both teams score, surpassing the success rate of 39.9% for the scenario where both teams do not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

“Pachuca 1-1 Guadalajara”

1. Draw Trend: Pachuca has drawn in 40% of its last home matches and Guadalajara has drawn in 20% of its last away matches, highlighting a draw trend for these two teams. Additionally, the probability of a draw is estimated at 34.72%, which is quite high.

2. Score History: When examining the history of both teams, it is common to see matches ending in a 1-1 draw. For example, in the last five home matches of Pachuca, two ended in a 1-1 draw. Similarly, Guadalajara also had a 1-1 draw in its recent away matches.

3. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Pachuca scores an average of 1.6 goals per home match, while Guadalajara scores an average of 1 goal per away match. On the other hand, Pachuca concedes an average of 2.4 goals per home match and Guadalajara concedes 1.2 away. This combination of low offensive potential and relatively high defensive potential indicates a potentially low score, such as 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Pachuca has had a disappointing home record with no wins in the last 5 matches. Draws are common (40%). They have scored 7 goals and conceded 8. Their average goals scored per match are 1.6 with a weak defense allowing 2.4 goals.

Guadalajara, when playing away, has won once (20%) and drawn once (20%). They have a limited offensive capability with an average of 1 goal per match, and a slightly better defense conceding 1.2 goals.

According to the probabilities, Pachuca has a 39.38% chance of winning the match, compared to Guadalajara’s 25.91%. The draw is at 34.72%.

Supported by statistics, one can focus on the number of goals. More than 1.5 goals in the match are likely at 75.65%, compared to 47.67% for more than 2.5 goals.

Looking at past scores: Pachuca has conceded at least 2 goals in their last 5 home matches. On the other hand, Guadalajara has scored at least once in 3 out of their last 5 away matches.

Final analysis: the trend of a match with over 1.5 goals seems to favor Pachuca, although neither team is in great form. The sound choice would be “Draw or Pachuca wins the match” with a probability of 74.09%.

The potential number of goals

Pachuca, at home, has not shined. No victories in 5 matches. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 8.

Guadalajara, away, also unconvincing. Only one victory, 5 goals scored, 9 conceded.

Pachuca averages 1.6 goals scored per match and concedes 2.4. Guadalajara scores one goal per match and concedes 1.2.

Pachuca’s victory is likely at 39.38%, and the draw at 34.72%.

Both teams score in 60.1% of cases. Over 1.5 goals are expected in the match in 75.65% of cases.

In conclusion, the match is uncertain. Both teams have had mixed performances. However, we can expect to see at least 1.5 goals in this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the most reliable bet appears to be “Draw or Pachuca to win the match,” considering Pachuca’s historical performance at home and Guadalajara’s away record. Additionally, given Pachuca’s offensive potential and Guadalajara’s weak defense, the bet on “over 2.5 goals in the match” offers an interesting value bet. Moreover, based on recent trends and statistics, it is likely that both teams will score. Ultimately, while both teams’ performances are mixed, this match promises to be high-scoring. However, it must be remembered that in sports betting, nothing is ever 100% certain; every bet carries a risk. Statistics and analysis provide clues, but the final outcome of a sports match remains unpredictable. Therefore, it is essential to bet responsibly.