Tipps Pachuca Mazatlán Liga MX 28/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Pachuca win the match.

1. Pachuca has a superior offensive potential compared to Mazatlán in their respective last five home and away matches. Pachuca scored an average of 1.6 goals per match at home while Mazatlán scored 1 goal per match away.
2. Pachuca has shown a stronger defense with an average of 0.6 goals conceded per match at home, compared to Mazatlán who conceded an average of 2.2 goals per match away.
3. The probability score also favors Pachuca with a success probability of 56.85% for their victory against 23.35% for a Mazatlán victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Goal history: In their last 5 home matches, Pachuca has scored 11 goals (an average of 2.2 goals per match) and conceded 13 goals (an average of 2.6 goals per match). Additionally, Mazatlán, while scoring fewer (6 goals in 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals per match), concedes a lot away from home (8 goals in 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals per match). The high number of goals scored and conceded by both teams may indicate a match with over 2.5 goals.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Pachuca has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 21%, indicating they regularly score and concede. With Mazatlán having a relatively low offensive rate of 36% but a very high defensive rate of 79%, there is a chance of seeing over 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Betting probabilities: The forecast of “over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 62.44%. This high probability may be linked to the number of goals scored and conceded by both teams in their recent matches, as well as their offensive and defensive potential.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The statistics from the last matches of both teams show that they have a good ability to score goals. For example, Pachuca has scored 11 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Mazatlán has scored 6 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. Considering the offensive potential, Pachuca has an offensive potential of 57% and Mazatlán of 36%. This means that both teams have shown a tendency to score goals in their previous encounters.

3. Finally, the probabilities provided for this prediction are relatively high. According to statistics, there is a 60.41% probability that both teams will score during the match. This is a fairly strong indication that it is likely to happen.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Mazatlán wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Pachuca 2-1 Mazatlán

1. The probability of Pachuca winning at home is quite high at 56.85%, confirming their dominance when playing on their own turf. Furthermore, based on Pachuca’s last five home matches, they have shown a notable offensive ability by scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game.

2. Mazatlán’s defensive potential in away matches is relatively weak at only 21%. Looking at their last five away matches, they have conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game. These data indicate a defensive vulnerability of Mazatlán away from home, giving an advantage to Pachuca.

3. The probabilities suggest a score of over 1.5 goals in the match at 87.82% and under 3.5 goals at 67.01%. This is consistent with a final score of 2-1. Additionally, there is a 60.41% probability that both teams will score, which also corresponds to a 2-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Pachuca has a home win rate of 40%, while Mazatlán has only won 20% of their away matches. This means Pachuca tends to perform well at home.

Pachuca has scored a total of 11 goals, but has conceded 13 goals at home, indicating a need to strengthen their defensive line.

On the other hand, Mazatlán, with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded away, has also shown issues with their defense.

There is a 56.85% chance of Pachuca winning the match, with odds of 1.60. The probability of a draw is 19.80% with odds of 4.20.

The average number of goals per match at home for Pachuca is 1.6, while for Mazatlán away, it is only 1.0.

There is an 87.8% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, and a 62.44% chance of at least 2.5 goals, highlighting the offensive potential of both teams.

In summary, Pachuca appears stronger at home with a 56.85% probability of winning the match. A match with more than 1.5 goals also seems likely, which could serve as an indicator for a prediction.

The potential number of goals

Pachuca has a relative defensive solidity at home, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per match. However, their offense is not lacking, scoring an average of 1.6 goals. Furthermore, 40% of home matches end in a victory.

Mazatlán, away from home, shows weaknesses, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match on the road. Their less efficient attack still manages to score one goal per match.

Pachuca has a 56.85% probability of winning the match, a fairly plausible outcome given their home performance. However, with an offensive potential of 57%, one can expect more than 1.5 goals during this match (87.82% probability).

Both teams have a chance of scoring in this encounter (60.41% probability). Considering their recent performances, it is likely that the match will end with less than 3.5 goals (67.01% probability).

In conclusion, Pachuca seems to be the favorite for this match with a home advantage and a superior defensive performance.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account all these variables, statistical analysis indicates that Pachuca is the favorite to win the match, benefiting from superior offensive and defensive potential, especially when playing at home. However, the high number of goals conceded by both teams could indicate a high-scoring match, hence the prediction of over 2.5 goals scored.

Both teams have shown an ability to score, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match. Furthermore, despite Mazatlán’s low away win rate, statistics show that they have the ability to score when playing away, which could offer an interesting betting opportunity on their victory.

The prediction of the exact score of 2-1 for Pachuca seems realistic based on past performances and calculated probabilities.

In conclusion, although Pachuca is favored for this match, the dynamics of football always hold surprises, and it is important to consider all possible scenarios before betting. It is recommended to bet responsibly and only wager what one is prepared to lose. Good luck to all!