Tipps Palestino Everton de Vina Primera Division 21/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Palestino wins the match

1. Historical performance: At home, Palestino has a higher probability of winning or drawing, with a victory in 60% of cases and a draw in 20% of cases over the last 5 matches. Everton de Vina, away, shows no draws and only 40% of wins in their last 5 matches.

2. Defensive/Offensive potential: Palestino has shown better defensive performance when playing at home, with a defensive potential of 57% compared to Everton de Vina’s 50% defensive potential away. Additionally, Palestino scores an average of 0.8 goals per match at home against Everton de Vina’s 1.4 average goals away, which could limit Everton de Vina’s potential to score.

3. Probabilities: Based on probability calculations, the scenario “Draw or Palestino wins the match” has a success probability of 73.06% – the highest among all listed possibilities. This suggests that it is more likely for Palestino to win or for the match to end in a draw, compared to a win for Everton de Vina.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams: Palestino scores an average of 0.8 goals and concedes 1.6 goals per match at home, while Everton de Vina scores and concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match in their away games. This indicates a tendency towards higher scores in their respective matches.

2. The probability of more than 2.5 goals in the match is 53.89%, which is higher than the probability of less than 2.5 goals in the match. Therefore, there is a better chance that the match could have more than 2.5 goals.

3. The recent matches of both teams show a trend of high scores. For example, in Palestino’s last five home matches, they scored 9 goals, while Everton de Vina scored 6 times in their last five away matches. Taking into account the goals conceded as well, the trend towards a total of over 2.5 goals is clearly evident.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent statistics show that Palestino and Everton de Vina have had a strong offensive performance: at home, Palestino has scored 9 goals in 5 matches, while Everton de Vina has scored 6 goals in 5 away matches. This offensive trend indicates a high probability that both teams will score during the match.
2. Furthermore, the defenses of both teams have shown weaknesses: Palestino has conceded 11 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Everton de Vina has conceded 10 goals in their last 5 away matches. These defensive weaknesses increase the chances of both teams scoring.
3. Lastly, information on the offensive and defensive potential also supports this proposition. The 50% away offensive potential of Everton de Vina and 29% home offensive potential of Palestino, combined with defensive potentials of 50% and 57% respectively, suggest that goals from both sides are expected in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 1.90

Bet on the exact result

Palestino 1-1 Everton de Vina

1. The statistics show that Palestino has a strong home defense with a defensive potential of 57% and an average of 1.6 goals conceded per match, while Everton de Vina has an average of 1.4 goals scored away from home, which could indicate a close score.

2. Current form of both teams: Palestino has won 60% of their home matches and Everton 40% away, however Everton has not had a draw in their last 5 away matches, which could indicate some instability, making a draw plausible.

3. The probabilities suggest that the match could have less than 3.5 goals with a probability of 75.65%. Taking into account the average goals scored and conceded by both teams, a 1-1 scoreline seems plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Palestino has the advantage of home field where they win 60% of the time, but they need to work on their defense with 11 goals conceded in their last 5 matches. Everton de Vina is capable of scoring even away from home, with an average of 1.4 goals per game. However, their win rate is only 40%.

In terms of probabilities, Palestino has a 49.22% chance of winning, while Everton de Vina has 26.94%. Draws are less likely, at 23.83%.

As for goals, there is a high probability of 76.17% for over 1.5 goals and 53.89% for over 2.5 goals in the match. The numbers also show a 59.07% chance of both teams scoring.

Looking at recent matches, Palestino has shown impressive performances against Flamengo, Deportes Copiapo, and Millonarios Bogota. For Everton de Vina, despite the losses, they have managed to score against Union La Calera, Cobreloa, and Union Espanola.

In conclusion, Palestino seems to have a slight edge. However, in sports anything can happen.

The potential number of goals

Palestino has been strong at home with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. However, they have a leaky defense, having conceded 11 goals.

Everton de Vina is less efficient away from home with a 40% win rate. They are also not solid defensively, having conceded 10 goals.

Palestino’s home offense is struggling, scoring only 0.8 goals per match, while their defense concedes an average of 1.6 goals.

Everton de Vina is more balanced on the road, scoring and conceding 1.4 goals per match.

The probability of Palestino winning the match is 49.22%. A draw is likely in 23.83% of cases, and an Everton de Vina victory in 26.94%.

There is a 76.17% chance of the match having over 1.5 goals and 53.89% for over 2.5 goals. Over 3.5 goals are expected in 75.65% of cases.

Both teams could score in this match, with a probability of 59.07%.

In conclusion, we can expect a high-scoring match with an uncertain outcome.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, this match between Palestino and Everton de Vina is unpredictable with Palestino showing strength at home, while Everton de Vina does not neglect their attacks on the road. Analysis of past performances and statistics presents several interesting betting options.

The prediction “Draw or Palestino wins” seems to be the safest bet given Palestino’s home form and the challenges Everton de Vina faces when playing away. In terms of the number of goals, there is a high probability that the match will end with over 2.5 goals, as both teams have shown a tendency to score high in their recent matchups.

The proposition “Both teams score” is also appealing considering their recent offensive performances. However, the odds offered for “under 2.5 goals in the match” at 1.90 seem to be the most interesting value bet, given both teams’ recent trend of low-scoring games.

For betting on the exact score, a 1-1 draw seems plausible considering the current form of the teams and Palestino’s defensive statistics at home.

Overall, regardless of the match outcome, bettors have several options to place strategic bets based on the teams’ forms and past performances. However, it is essential to note that despite all these analyses and predictions, football remains an unpredictable sport, and anything can happen during the match.