Tipps Palestino Millonarios Copa Libertadores 26/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Millonarios Bogota wins the match.

1. Millonarios Bogota has a higher performance in their away matches compared to Palestino at home. They have managed to win 60% of their games, while Palestino has only won 20% of their home matches.

2. Millonarios Bogota has shown superior offensive potential to Palestino, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match against 1.2 for Palestino. This indicates that they are capable of scoring more goals and potentially winning the match.

3. Although the success probability for Millonarios Bogota is slightly lower than that of Palestino (32.07% versus 34.24%), their overall recent performance, including their ability to score goals and win away matches, suggests that they have solid chances of winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Recently, Palestino’s home performance indicates an average of less than 2.5 goals per match, showing a trend towards low-scoring games.
2. Millonarios Bogota, despite having a higher goal average away from home, has faced teams with potentially weaker defense than Palestino – who have a solid defensive potential of 57%.
3. The odds suggest a high probability (90.76%) for under 3.5 goals in the match, which strongly indicates that this match could also end with under 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. The offensive statistics of both teams show an average of over 1 goal per match for both Palestino at home (1.2 goals) and Millonarios Bogota away (2.2 goals). This suggests that both teams have the ability to score in a particular match.
2. Both teams have fairly vulnerable defenses, as shown by the statistics, where Palestino concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match at home and Millonarios Bogota concedes an average of 1.8 goals away. These numbers highlight the possibility of each team conceding goals.
3. The recent away matches of Millonarios Bogota show a trend where both teams score in the majority of cases (4 out of 5 last matches). Similarly, in 3 out of 5 home matches for Palestino, both teams have scored. These recent trends reinforce the prediction that both teams could score in the upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

“Palestino 1-2 Millonarios Bogota”

1. Team Form: Based on recent matches, Millonarios Bogota has a better away performance with a 60% win rate, while Palestino has only won 20% of their home matches. Additionally, Millonarios Bogota shows a higher offensive potential (79%) compared to Palestino (43%).

2. Goal Statistics: Millonarios Bogota tends to score more goals away from home with an average of 2.2 goals per match compared to Palestino’s 1.2 at home. On the other hand, both teams have a similar average of goals conceded (1.6 for Palestino and 1.8 for Millonarios Bogota), suggesting both teams could score during the match.

3. Probabilities: The probability of Millonarios Bogota winning the match is slightly lower than that of Palestino or a draw, but still significant at 32.07%. Furthermore, the probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored in the match is 33.7%, which is consistent with the predicted score of 1-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Palestino has won 20% of their recent home matches. They have scored 5 goals while conceding 8 goals. Their offensive potential is at 43% and their defensive potential is at 57%.

Millonarios Bogota, on the away side, has a 60% win performance. They have scored 10 goals while conceding 11 goals. They show an offensive potential of 79% and a defensive potential of 64%.

The probability of Palestino winning this match is 34.24% with odds of 2.65. There is a probability of 32.07% with odds of 2.70 for Millonarios Bogota to win.

A draw has a probability of 33.7% with odds of 3.20. The probability of there being less than 1.5 total goals in the match is 2.82. There is a probability of 65.76%, with odds of 1.41, of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match.

When it comes to scoring, both teams have a probability of 45.11% to score with odds of 1.90. Both teams not to score have a probability of 54.89% with odds of 1.83.

Looking at recent performances, Palestino has had close matches at home, notably against Huachipato and Universidad de Chile. On the other hand, Millonarios Bogota has shown solid offensive form away, scoring at least 2 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches.

In conclusion, we can expect a competitive match. Millonarios Bogota might have a slight edge due to their superior away form. However, a draw or a match with less than 1.5 goals would not be a surprise. Therefore, for those who like to take calculated risks, a bet on Millonarios Bogota to win or on a match with less than 1.5 goals could be an interesting option.

The potential number of goals

Palestino has shown a mixed performance at home, with only 20% of wins and 40% of draws. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 8 goals. Their offensive potential is at 43% while defensive is at 57%.

Millonarios Bogota, playing away, has a stronger performance with 60% of wins and 20% of draws. They have scored a total of 10 goals but have conceded slightly more with 11 goals. Their offensive potential is at 79% and defensive potential is at 64%.

The probabilities for this match are quite balanced. Palestino has a 34.24% chance of winning, while Millonarios Bogota has a 32.07% chance of winning. A draw is likely at 33.7%. The probabilities also suggest a match with less than 3.5 goals at 90.76%.

Analyzing the recent matches, Palestino tends to both score and concede in each match. For Millonarios Bogota, they manage to score in each match as well, but concede slightly more goals.

Despite Millonarios Bogota having a better offensive potential, the home performance of Palestino and the balanced probabilities could make this match unpredictable. It might be prudent to consider a bet on a match with less than 3.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Conclusion

Taking into account all the statistics, predictions, and performance analyses, here is a conclusion of this article on the prediction of the match between Palestino and Millonarios Bogota in CONMEBOL Libertadores. Both teams show strong statistics in terms of performance and offensive potential, however, Millonarios Bogota appears to have the advantage with greater success in away matches and superior offensive potential.

Regarding the possibility of both teams scoring, recent statistics and offensive performances favor this hypothesis. However, despite Millonarios Bogota’s high offensive potential, the odds indicate a strong inclination towards a match with less than 3.5 goals, suggesting the match could be tight and defensive.

For a value bet, despite the inclination for a low-scoring match, a bet on a total of over 2.5 goals could be an interesting choice given the recent performances of both teams, knowing it is a riskier option.

The suggested exact score is 1-2 in favor of Millonarios Bogota, which aligns with the idea of both teams scoring and Millonarios Bogota’s superior offense making the difference.

In summary, this match promises to be competitive and unpredictable, with a slight advantage in favor of Millonarios Bogota. For cautious bettors, a bet on a match concluding with fewer than 3.5 goals could be wise, while bolder bettors might aim for a Millonarios Bogota win or a total of over 2.5 goals.