Tipps Panathinaikos Lens UEFA Europa Conference League 29/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Lens wins the match”

1. RC Lens has a higher probability of winning: According to the provided data, Lens has a 43.85% probability of winning the match, compared to Panathinaikos’ 31.55% win probability. This means Lens has a greater chance of winning the match.

2. Lens’ offensive and defensive potential is superior: Lens has an offensive potential of 79% and a defensive potential of 14%, while Panathinaikos has an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 29%. These statistics show that Lens is more capable of scoring goals and defending their own goal, thus increasing their chances of winning the match.

3. Lens’ away match history: Lens has won in 60% of their last 5 away matches. Furthermore, Lens has scored 7 goals and conceded 8. Compared to Panathinaikos, who scored 4 goals and conceded the same, Lens seems to have a better performance away from home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The statistics show that Panathinaikos has a relatively low average of goals per match (0.6 goals per match) at home, indicating a weak offensive potential. Even considering Lens’s 79% offensive potential, Panathinaikos could be able to contain their attack.

2. Analyzing Lens’s last 5 away matches, despite winning 60% of the matches, they only scored a total of 7 goals, averaging 1.4 goals per match. Additionally, the total number of goals in these matches (15) is below the average of 2.5 goals per match.

3. Examining the odds, it is observed that the probability of a match with less than 2.5 goals is quite high (compared to that of a match with more than 2.5 goals). This indicates that bookmakers, based on their statistical and probabilistic analysis, also predict a match with a low number of goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The scores of the latest matches indicate that both teams have significant offensive capabilities. Panathinaikos has scored at least one goal in 3 out of their last 5 home matches, while Lens has done the same in 4 out of their last 5 away matches.

2. Statistics show that Lens has an 79% offensive potential away from home, which is very high and indicative of their ability to score against their opponents, even when playing away.

3. The probability percentages suggest that the likelihood of “Both teams to score: Yes” has a success rate of 54.55%, which is higher than “Both teams to score: No” at 45.45%. This implies that based on the data, it is more likely that both teams will score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Lens wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Panathinaikos 1-2 Lens

1. Lens away performance: With a 60% win rate in their last 5 away matches and an average of 2.2 goals scored per game, Lens shows a strong attacking performance away from home. They also have an offensive potential of 79%, indicating they are more likely to score than Panathinaikos.

2. Panathinaikos weak defense at home: Panathinaikos has a relatively weak defense at home, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match and having a defensive potential of only 29%. This gives Lens an additional opportunity to score.

3. Goals conceded/scored history: Analyzing the recent matches played by both teams, it is observed that Lens has a higher tendency to score 2 or more goals away from home, while Panathinaikos tends to only score one goal at home. This is in line with the 1-2 prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Panathinaikos is showing strong form at home, with a 60% win rate and 40% draws in their last 5 matches. However, they have scored and conceded 4 goals, indicating a balanced defensive-offensive setup.

Lens, on the other hand, has a 60% win rate away from home, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. Their offensive power is superior to Panathinaikos.

Panathinaikos’ offensive potential at home is at 21%, with a defensive potential of 29%. Lens’ offensive potential away from home rises to 79%, with a defensive potential of 14%.

The probability of Panathinaikos winning the match is 31.55%. For a draw, it is 24.6%. Lens is the favorite with a probability of 43.85%.

The probability of a draw or a Panathinaikos win is 56.15%, while a draw or Lens win is at 68.45%.

There is a 77.1% chance of over 1.5 goals in the match. Both teams have a 54.55% chance of scoring.

Looking at recent results, Panathinaikos has defeated Levadiakos and Maccabi Netanya at home and won against Botev Plovdiv. Lens, on the other hand, has secured victories against Angers, Versailles, and OH Leuven.

In conclusion, Lens, with their strong attacking prowess away from home, seems to be in a better position for this match. However, football is unpredictable, and Panathinaikos could surprise. Betting on over 1.5 goals seems like a safe bet.

The potential number of goals

Panathinaikos, at home, has a balanced record with 60% wins and 40% draws, but has only scored 4 goals and conceded the same number. On average, their offensive rate is quite low at 21%, with a defensive potential of 29%.

On the other hand, Lens is more expressive away from home. With 60% wins and 20% draws, the team has scored a total of 7 goals and conceded 8. Offensively, Lens shows an impressive potential of 79% and a defensive potential of 14%.

Regarding the probability of the outcomes of this match, Lens seems to slightly have the advantage with a win probability of 43.85% against 31.55% for Panathinaikos. The draw is a likely scenario at 24.6%.

In terms of goals, the probability is higher for a match with +1.5 goals (77.01%). In terms of goals, both teams are more likely to score (54.55%) than to keep a clean sheet (45.45%).

It is worth considering the recent performance of each team. The last 5 home matches of Panathinaikos have been characterized by low scores. For Lens, away from home, the team has scored in each of their last 5 matches.

Based on these factors, a more offensive game from Lens seems more probable, potentially leading to more than one goal.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the data and statistics analyzed point towards a potential win for RC Lens in this match against Panathinaikos. However, as always in football, the game is not won in advance, and Panathinaikos could surprise. Lens’s offensive form, combined with Panathinaikos’s home record, suggests a scenario where Lens could score more than one goal. Regarding the Over/Under bet, statistics indicate that less than 2.5 goals will be scored during the match. For BTTS, the data suggests that it is likely that both teams will score. Finally, in terms of value bet, betting on a Lens victory seems like an interesting option. However, it’s important to consider that these are just predictions based on statistics, and a lot can change on the field. Always bet responsibly.