Tipps Parma Udinese Serie A 16/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Parme wins the match

1. Parma has a good home record, winning in 40% of cases and drawing in 20% of cases. Their home attacking potential is also strong, having scored a total of 8 goals in their last 5 matches.

2. Udinese has a less impressive away record, winning only in 40% of cases and drawing in 40% of cases. However, they have scored fewer goals than Parma, with only 5 goals in 5 away matches.

3. The forecast “Draw or Parma wins the match” has a success probability of 70.98% according to the provided odds, which is higher than the probability of “Udinese wins the match” (29.02%) or “Draw or Udinese wins the match” (52.85%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The recent home record of Parma indicates that they score an average of 1 goal per match and concede an average of 1.8 goals per match. This results in an average of 2.8 goals per match, which is just above the 2.5 goal line but shows a tendency towards low-scoring games.

2. Similarly, Udinese, when playing away, scores an average of 1.6 goals per match and only concedes 0.6. This gives an average of 2.2 goals per match, also suggesting a tendency towards low-scoring games.

3. Looking at recent results, it is clear that both Parma’s home matches and Udinese’s away matches often have fewer than 2.5 goals. In the last five home matches of Parma, four have had fewer than 2.5 goals. In the last five away matches of Udinese, three have had fewer than 2.5 goals. These past trends support the prediction of fewer than 2.5 goals for the upcoming match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Goal statistics reveal a low average of goals scored in general: the average number of goals scored per match for both teams, whether playing at home or away, is less than 2 goals per match. This indicates a good chance that one or both teams may fail to score.

2. The recent defensive performances of Parma at home and Udinese away are quite solid. On average, Parma concedes 1.8 goals per home match while Udinese only concedes 0.6 goals per away match. These numbers suggest that both teams have competent defenses that are capable of keeping a clean sheet.

3. The success probability for the “Both teams to score” option is slightly higher than that of “Both teams not to score” (50.78% against 49.22%) according to the calculated probabilities. This suggests that the statistics more strongly support the option that both teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Udinese wins the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Parma 1-1 Udinese

1. The recent results of both teams show a trend towards draws, especially for Udinese who has drawn four out of their last five matches. Parme’s home matches in this context also show a similar trend with two draws in their last five matches.

2. The statistics of each team’s offensive and defensive potential suggest a balanced match. Parma has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 64%, while Udinese has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 21%. These figures indicate that both teams have roughly equal chances of scoring as there are chances of the match ending in a draw.

3. According to the provided odds, bookmakers believe there is a high likelihood of a low-scoring match. In particular, the odds for “under 3.5 goals in the match” are 77.2%, meaning the majority of observers expect few goals in this match. A 1-1 scoreline appears likely given these factors.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Parma has a 40% home win rate with an average of 1 goal scored per match. Udinese, on the other hand, has a 40% away win rate and averages 1.6 goals per match.

Udinese has a goal difference advantage as they have only conceded 6 goals away, compared to Parma’s 8 goals.

In terms of offensive and defensive potential, Parma has 36% and 64% respectively, while Udinese has an offensive potential of 57% and a low defensive potential of 21%.

This indicates Udinese’s solid defense and Parma’s stable attack.

Statistics suggest a 47.15% chance of Parma winning the match and a 29.02% chance of Udinese winning. A draw is less likely at 23.83%.

As for the number of goals in the match, there is a 75.65% probability of over 1.5 goals and a 77.2% probability of under 3.5 goals.

This suggests a match with a moderate number of goals.

In conclusion, a tight match is expected between Parma and Udinese. The odds slightly favor Parma, but Udinese has a solid defense. It would be wise to bet on a match with under 3.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Analyzing past performances, it is clear that Parma and Udinese have fought hard. In their last 5 home matches, Parma won 40% of the time, with an equal number of goals scored and conceded, at 8 goals each. As for Udinese, in their last 5 away matches, they won 40% of the games and drew in 40%, scoring 5 goals and conceding 6.

Parma has scored, on average, 1 goal per match at home, but has also conceded 1.8 goals, showcasing a 36% attacking potential and a solid 64% defense. On the other hand, Udinese, when playing away, scores an average of 1.6 goals per match, utilizing their attacking potential more effectively at 57%, and does an excellent job in defense, conceding only 0.6 goals per match, representing a 21% defensive potential.

Based on probabilities, Parma has a slightly higher chance of winning, with a 47.15% chance compared to Udinese’s 29.02%. However, it is important to note that Udinese has shown their competency in balancing matches, with a 40% probability of a draw.

Regarding the total number of goals, the most likely score would be under 3.5 goals in the match, with a success probability of 77.2%, which is logical given the average goals scored and conceded by both teams.

In summary, these are two evenly matched teams. Parma, although strong at home, will face Udinese’s formidable defense. The match could be decided by narrow margins, with a probability of less than 3.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In short, the match between Parma and Udinese is expected to be tight and could go either way. Parma slightly favors with a good home record, but Udinese, with a solid defense, can hope for a good result on the road. The number of goals in the game should be relatively low, with the most likely prediction being under 3.5 goals scored. Statistics favoring “No” for the “Both teams to score” bet could also be an option to consider. However, despite a lower probability of success, the prediction “Udinese to win the match” stands out as a value bet, offering a better reward in case of victory. As for the exact score, a 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome. Ultimately, the outcome of the match will depend on the efficiency of the attackers against the solid opposing defenses.