Tipps PAS Giannina Asteras Tripolis Super League 1 13/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Asteras Tripolis wins the match

1. The recent form of PAS Giannina at home is not very good. In their last 5 home matches, they have not won any and have drawn in 20% of cases. Furthermore, they have a goal deficit, having scored 5 goals and conceded 9.

2. The recent performances of Asteras Tripolis away from home are also not brilliant, but facing an opponent that does not win at home, there is real potential for Asteras Tripolis to win or draw. This is supported by a cumulative probability of 68.11% for these two outcomes.

3. The defensive performance of PAS Giannina, who has conceded an average of 2.6 goals per match at home, and the offensive performance of Asteras Tripolis, who has scored an average of 1 goal per match away, suggests that Tripolis has a good chance of scoring in this match, which could lead to a draw or a win for Asteras Tripolis.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The recent home performances of PAS Giannina and away performances of Asteras Tripolis demonstrate a low offensive potential, with an average of only 1.2 and 1 goals per match respectively. These numbers suggest a low-scoring match.

2. Both teams have strong defensive performances, with PAS Giannina conceding an average of 2.6 goals per home match and Asteras Tripolis conceding 2.2 goals away, further limiting the likelihood of more than 2.5 goals being scored.

3. Statistical analysis predicts “Under 2.5 goals in the match” with a high probability of success. Additionally, key players may be absent or coaches’ tactics may favor a defensive approach, further supporting this prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from the last matches played show that both teams tend to score and concede goals regularly. In these home matches, PAS Giannina has scored an average of 1.2 goals per game and conceded 2.6 goals, while Asteras Tripolis has scored an average of 1 goal per game and conceded 2.2 goals away from home.
2. The team performance trends suggest an open match scenario. In particular, PAS Giannina’s defensive potential at home is quite high (93%), indicating a tendency to concede goals. Similarly, Asteras Tripolis has a defensive potential of 79% in away matches, also indicating a tendency to concede goals.
3. By examining the recent home matches of PAS Giannina and away matches of Asteras Tripolis, it is evident that both teams have scored goals in most of these encounters. For instance, in the last 5 home matches of PAS Giannina, both teams scored in 3 matches. Similarly, in the last 5 away matches of Asteras Tripolis, both teams also scored in 3 matches. This shows a consistent trend of both teams scoring goals.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

PAS Giannina 1-1 Asteras Tripolis

1. The statistics of both teams appear relatively close in terms of home performance for PAS Giannina and away performance for Asteras Tripolis. Their ability to score and concede goals is comparable, suggesting a potential for a balanced match; hence the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

2. Based on both teams’ recent matches, PAS Giannina has often achieved draws at home, while Asteras Tripolis has frequently lost away games by just one goal. Therefore, forecasting a draw is plausible.

3. The probabilities of the various match outcomes suggest a very small margin between the scenarios of each team winning and a draw. This indicates that the match could easily swing in favor of either team, making a draw a plausible result.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

PAS Giannina and Asteras Tripolis have had disappointing performances recently. Both teams have not won any of their last 5 matches. Giannina, in particular, is concerning at home, where they have conceded 9 goals and only managed one draw.
Asteras Tripolis also struggles away from home. They haven’t won or drawn any of their last 5 away matches. They have scored 5 goals but conceded 9.
Both teams are struggling defensively. Giannina concedes an average of 2.6 goals per home match, with a defensive potential of 93%. Tripolis, on the road, concedes an average of 2.2 goals, with a defensive potential of 79%.
It is more interesting to bet on the number of goals rather than on the winning team. It is likely that there will be over 1.5 goals in the match (68.11% success rate, odds at 1.44). However, a match with over 3.5 goals is unlikely (4.50).
Note that it is possible that both teams will not score (54.59% success rate, odds at 1.83).
In conclusion, this match looks to be tight and not very defensive. Bets on the number of goals seem to be the safest option.

The potential number of goals

PAS Giannina, at home, have shown poor performances recently. No wins in the last 5 games with an average of 1.2 goals scored. It’s not convincing. The defense is fragile, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Asteras Tripolis, away, hasn’t performed any better. No wins, same goal ratio as PAS Giannina. Their defense is slightly better, conceding 2.2 goals per game on average.

The probabilities lean towards a draw (35.14%) or an Asteras Tripolis win (32.97%). The choice to predict a draw or PAS Giannina to win (67.03% probability) also seems tempting.

The offensive potential of both teams is low (<50%). There is a high chance of seeing fewer than 3.5 goals in the match (94.05%, odds at 1.22). It is more likely that both teams will not score (54.59%, odds at 1.83), considering their recent low offensive potential. Statistics and recent performances point towards a low-scoring match, potentially a draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistical analysis of the match between PAS Giannina and Asteras Tripolis predicts balanced performances and relatively similar probabilities for both teams to win. However, the recent overall performance levels of both teams are not particularly brilliant, with weak defenses and few victories to their name. Therefore, it is safer to bet on the number of goals in this match, with a total number of goals likely to be less than 2.5 or 3.5. It is also possible that both teams will score considering their current tendency to score and concede goals. Nevertheless, the safest bet seems to be predicting a draw or a win for Asteras Tripolis. The probabilities point to a close game and a low score with possibly a 1-1 draw result. This type of match offers interesting opportunities for bettors looking for ‘value bet’ bets and can prove to be a real challenge to predict the exact outcome.