Tipps PEC Zwolle Almere City FC Eredivisie 29/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or FC Zwolle wins the match.

1. FC Zwolle has a much better home performance compared to Almere City FC away. In their last 5 matches, FC Zwolle won 40% of their games and drew in 60% of cases, while Almere City FC only won 40% of their away matches and drew in only 20% of cases.

2. FC Zwolle’s offensive potential at home is significantly higher than that of Almere City FC away. FC Zwolle scores an average of 1.2 goals per home match compared to 0.6 goals for Almere City FC away. Additionally, FC Zwolle’s defensive potential at home is also better, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match compared to 3 goals for Almere City FC away.

3. Finally, the probabilities of different scenarios reinforce this idea: the probability of FC Zwolle winning the match or the match ending in a draw is 71.43%, which is much higher than the probability of Almere City FC winning the match or the match ending in a draw (59.69%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. By analyzing the average goals scored and conceded, it can be seen that FC Zwolle scores an average of 1.2 goals per match and Almere City FC 0.6 goals per match. The sum of these averages is less than 2.5, implying that the total number of goals in the match could be less than 2.5.

2. In terms of defense, Almere City FC concedes an average of 3 goals per match, while FC Zwolle concedes an average of 1.8 goals per match. Nevertheless, Almere City FC has managed to achieve two draws and one match with only one goal conceded in their last five away games, suggesting that they could limit the number of goals in this match.

3. Recent match statistics indicate that FC Zwolle has a low probability of winning (40.31%) and a low average of goals per match at home (1.2), whereas Almere City FC has a low average of goals scored away (0.6). This suggests a potentially low-scoring game, with a total of goals likely to be below 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. FC Zwolle has an average of 1.2 goals scored per match at home, while Almere City FC has an average of 0.6 goals scored away. These numbers indicate offensive potential for both teams, with FC Zwolle being particularly strong offensively at home.
2. FC Zwolle has a weak defense at home, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Almere City FC has a very weak defense away, conceding an average of 3 goals per match. This suggests that both teams are likely to concede goals during the match.
3. Probability statistics reveal that bets on “Both teams to score” have a success rate of 59.18%, which is significantly higher compared to bets on “Both teams to not score” with a success rate of 40.82%.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or FC Zwolle wins the match – 1.30

Bet on the exact result

FC Zwolle 2-1 Almere City FC

1. FC Zwolle has a better home performance with an average of 1.2 goals per game and an offensive potential of 43%, compared to Almere City FC who scores an average of 0.6 goals per game with an offensive potential of 21% in their away matches.
2. The forecast is supported by the fact that FC Zwolle has been able to win or draw in 100% of their recent home matches, while Almere City FC has a poorer away performance with victories in only 40% of cases.
3. Statistics show that FC Zwolle’s home matches have recently produced high scores (more than 2.5 goals in two of the last five matches). Combined with Almere City FC’s weak defense (conceding an average of 3 goals per away match), it is reasonable to expect that FC Zwolle will score at least two goals. Additionally, although FC Zwolle’s defense is not impenetrable (conceding an average of 1.8 goals per home match), the low offensive potential of Almere City FC suggests that they are unlikely to score more than one goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

FC Zwolle at home has a win rate of 50%, with a frequency of scoring more than 1 goal per match. Their defense is average and also concedes more than one goal per game. Additionally, Zwolle tends to equalize.

Almere away is proving weaker. They win less than half of their matches, have a weak offensive power, scoring less than one goal per game. On the other hand, they concede many goals.

For the upcoming match, bookmakers estimate that Zwolle has a higher chance of winning, with a probability of 40.31%. A draw is also plausible. A total over 1.5 goals is more likely than the inverse.

Previous encounters show that Zwolle has struggled against teams like AZ Alkmaar and Feyenoord. Almere has performed well against Borussia Dortmund II and Samsunspor, but struggles against others.

Taking these factors into account, a likely outcome could be a draw or a win for Zwolle, with more than 1.5 goals scored.

The potential number of goals

FC Zwolle has shown good form by scoring 11 goals in their last 5 home matches. However, they have also conceded 11 goals, indicating a vulnerable defense. On the other hand, Almere City FC has scored 5 goals away and also conceded the same amount, highlighting a solid defense but limited attack.

Zwolle has an offensive potential of 43% and a defense at 64%. Almere has an offensive potential of 21% and a strong defense at 107%. There is a slight advantage for Zwolle here.

In terms of probabilities, Zwolle has a 40.31% chance of winning and Almere 28.57%. A draw also seems likely at 31.12%. The probability of having over 1.5 goals in the match is 73.98%. There is a 59.18% chance that both teams will score.

Looking at their recent matches, Zwolle has had mixed results. Almere also remains inconsistent away from home.

In conclusion, a close match is expected. The statistics suggest a slight edge for Zwolle and a possibility of over 1.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the detailed analysis of this prediction, it is highly recommended to opt for the bet “Draw or FC Zwolle wins the match”, offering a significantly higher probability of success. Furthermore, statistics suggest that the match will potentially be low-scoring, with a total number of goals likely to be under 2.5. However, both teams have a possibility of scoring, so the bet “Both teams to score” should be considered.

The betting proposition offers an interesting value bet and also favors FC Zwolle due to their better performance at home and superior offensive and defensive potential. The exact score of 2-1 for FC Zwolle could also be an option to consider.

However, it is important to remember that while sports predictions can provide a good insight and help inform your betting decisions, the outcome of sporting events can be unpredictable and always subject to the inherent randomness in any sport. Therefore, it is always important to bet responsibly.