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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Penafiel Maritimo
Tipps Penafiel Maritimo Segunda Liga 05/05/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Maritimo wins the match
1. Best Away Performance: Maritimo has a much better away performance compared to Penafiel at home. Maritimo has won 60% of their away matches and drawn in 40% of the others, with a total of 7 goals scored against 8 conceded. Additionally, Maritimo’s recent away matches show a strong ability to secure victories.
2. Maritimo’s Defensive Potential: Although they score on average fewer goals per match than Penafiel, Maritimo concedes on average half a goal less per match than Penafiel, indicating a stronger defensive potential. A 14% defensive potential away from home is quite solid.
3. Higher Probabilities: The odds assigned by bookmakers show a greater likelihood of Maritimo winning the match – 48.19% compared to only 18.65% for Penafiel’s victory. This suggests that external factors to the game itself (such as player information or more detailed statistical analysis) favor Maritimo.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match
1. The recent match statistics show that Penafiel, in their last five home matches, scored a total of 5 goals, averaging 1 goal per match, while Maritimo, in their last five away matches, scored 7 goals in total, averaging 1.4 goals per match. The tendency of both teams to score few goals increases the probability of a match with less than 2.5 goals.
2. Maritimo’s defensive performances in away matches have been quite solid, conceding an average of only 0.4 goals per match. Additionally, Penafiel has also shown that they can maintain a strong defense at home, conceding an average of only 0.8 goals per match. This defensive factor strengthens the argument for a match with less than 2.5 goals.
3. The probability percentage for the prediction of “Under 2.5 goals in the match” is higher than the prediction of “Over 2.5 goals in the match,” indicating that based on calculations, there is a greater chance that the match will total less than 2.5 goals.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. The statistics show that Penafiel and Maritimo have scored an average of 1.6 and 1 goal per match respectively in their last 5 matches. This means that both teams have demonstrated some offensive capability, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match.
2. Both teams have relatively weak defenses. Penafiel has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match at home, while Maritimo has conceded 0.4 goals per match away. Therefore, there is a probability that each team will concede at least one goal during the game.
3. Based on the provided probabilities, “Both teams to score” has a success probability of 53.37%, which is slightly higher than the opposite probability (46.63%). This is therefore a statistic favorable to our prediction.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match
1. Penafiel’s home performance statistics show that they have a relatively weak offensive and defensive potential, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 0.8 goals per match. These numbers suggest that their matches tend to be low-scoring.
2. Studying Maritimo’s away performances, we see that they score an average of 1 goal per match and concede 0.4 goals, also indicating generally low-scoring matches. Their defensive abilities seem stronger than their offensive performances, suggesting they might limit the number of goals scored in this match.
3. The results of previous matches for Penafiel at home and Maritimo away also show a general trend towards low-scoring matches, with a majority of matches having less than 2.5 goals. This trend has continued in recent encounters.
Bet on the exact result
Penafiel 1-2 Maritimo
1. Statistics show that Maritimo has a stronger performance away, with a 60% win rate and no losses, compared to Penafiel who has a weaker home performance with only a 20% win rate.
2. Maritimo has a better offensive and defensive performance away, scoring an average of 1 goal per match and conceding an average of 0.4 goals per match, while Penafiel has scored 1.6 goals and conceded 0.8 goals per match on average at home.
3. The success rate of the “Maritimo wins the match” option is the highest at 48.19% compared to the “Penafiel wins the match” option (18.65%) and “draw” (33.16%), making a Maritimo victory likely.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Penafiel has mixed results at home with one win and three draws out of five matches. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 7 with an average of 1.6 goals per game. Maritimo, on the other hand, performs well away from home with three wins and two draws. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 8, with an offensive potential of 36%.
The trend favors a victory for Maritimo with a probability of 48.19%. They have an advantage in case of a draw or win, with a probability of 81.35%. Predictions suggest a low-scoring match: over 1.5 goals (67.88%) or under 3.5 goals (76.68%).
Recent match analysis confirms this hypothesis. Penafiel: 1-1 draw against Pacos de Ferreira, 3-0 win against CF Os Belenenses, 0-1 loss against Benfica B. Maritimo: 2-0 wins against Vilaverdense, 3-0 against Tondela, and a 0-0 draw against Torreense.
In conclusion, a victory for Maritimo seems more probable in a low-scoring match.
The potential number of goals
Penafiel, in 5 home matches, has won once and drawn 3 times. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 7. Their offensive potential is at 57%, but defensively, they struggle with only 29%.
In the last 5 away matches, Maritimo has secured 3 wins and 2 draws. They have scored 7 goals, but have conceded 8, justifying an offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 14%.
The prediction favors Maritimo with a win probability of 48.19% at odds of 2.00. A draw is also possible at 33.16% with odds of 3.40. The game could also lean towards under 3.5 goals (probability of 76.68% at odds of 1.25).
Both teams to score is possible, with a probability of 53.37% at odds of 1.87. However, it is also likely that both teams will not score, with a 46.63% chance at odds of 1.87.
Overall, Maritimo is in the lead, with Penafiel’s offense being somewhat limited.
In summary, the match is expected to be intense and tight with fewer than 3.5 goals anticipated. Maritimo is considered the favorite, but the competition is not a foregone conclusion.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, the statistical analysis, recent form of the teams, and the probability based on the bookmaker’s odds suggest that Maritimo has a significant chance of winning this match. However, given the defensive performance of both teams and their tendency to score goals at a relatively low rate, it is likely that the total number of goals in this match will be under 2.5. For those looking to bet on the exact score, in light of all the data examined, a forecast of 1-2 in favor of Maritimo could be a valid option. Nonetheless, sports betting is subject to high variability, so it is advisable to manage one’s budget responsibly.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Penafiel against Maritimo on 05/05/2024
1. Best Away Performance: Maritimo has a much better away performance compared to Penafiel at home. Maritimo has won 60% of their away matches and drawn in 40% of the others, with a total of 7 goals scored against 8 conceded. Additionally, Maritimo’s recent away matches show a strong ability to secure victories.
2. Maritimo’s Defensive Potential: Although they score on average fewer goals per match than Penafiel, Maritimo concedes on average half a goal less per match than Penafiel, indicating a stronger defensive potential. A 14% defensive potential away from home is quite solid.
3. Higher Probabilities: The odds assigned by bookmakers show a greater likelihood of Maritimo winning the match – 48.19% compared to only 18.65% for Penafiel’s victory. This suggests that external factors to the game itself (such as player information or more detailed statistical analysis) favor Maritimo.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Penafiel vs Maritimo match!
To not miss anything from the Penafiel vs Maritimo match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 05/05/2024 in the Segunda Liga live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Penafiel vs Maritimo
Lineups Penafiel
Lineups Maritimo
Match Highlights Penafiel vs Maritimo on 05/05/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Penafiel vs Maritimo match on 05/05/2024 at Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Penafiel and Maritimo
All statistics for the match between Penafiel and Maritimo will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Penafiel against Maritimo!
Form state of Penafiel in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Penafiel has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Penafiel has a form rating of %.
Form state of Maritimo in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Maritimo has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Maritimo has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Penafiel against Maritimo!
Average goals scored by Penafiel in the current season.
Goals scored by Penafiel in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Penafiel
Penafiel has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Penafiel in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Penafiel
Penafiel has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Maritimo in the current season
Goals scored by Maritimo in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Maritimo
Maritimo has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Maritimo in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Maritimo
Maritimo has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Penafiel and Maritimo, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Penafiel vs Maritimo: Probabilities for the outcome
1. The recent match statistics show that Penafiel, in their last five home matches, scored a total of 5 goals, averaging 1 goal per match, while Maritimo, in their last five away matches, scored 7 goals in total, averaging 1.4 goals per match. The tendency of both teams to score few goals increases the probability of a match with less than 2.5 goals.
2. Maritimo’s defensive performances in away matches have been quite solid, conceding an average of only 0.4 goals per match. Additionally, Penafiel has also shown that they can maintain a strong defense at home, conceding an average of only 0.8 goals per match. This defensive factor strengthens the argument for a match with less than 2.5 goals.
3. The probability percentage for the prediction of “Under 2.5 goals in the match” is higher than the prediction of “Over 2.5 goals in the match,” indicating that based on calculations, there is a greater chance that the match will total less than 2.5 goals.
Forecast results from winflix for Penafiel and Maritimo!
The last 5 winning predictions für Penafiel
The last 5 winning predictions für Maritimo
How do I find the best forecast for Penafiel Maritimo?
Finding a forecast for the Penafiel Maritimo match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Penafiel Maritimo on 05/05/2024 in Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril are the team's past performance in the Segunda Liga, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Penafiel at home and Maritimo away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 05/05/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Penafiel and Maritimo on 05/05/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Segunda Liga, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Penafiel and Maritimo, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Penafiel and the away win rate of Maritimo, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 05/05/2024!
The individual performances of players from Penafiel and Maritimo can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 05/05/2024 at Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Penafiel and Maritimo, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Penafiel or Maritimo on 05/05/2024.
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