Tipps Penarol Atletico-MG Copa Libertadores 15/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Atletico MG wins the match”

1. Atletico MG’s performance in away matches is superior to Penarol’s at home. Atletico MG has earned points in 100% of their last away matches (60% wins, 40% draws) while Penarol has only earned points in 80% of their last home matches (60% wins, 20% draws).

2. Atletico MG has a stronger defense than Penarol. In their last 5 matches, Atletico MG has only conceded 0.8 goals on average per away match, while Penarol has conceded 1.2 goals on average per home match.

3. Atletico MG has won several significant away matches recently, including against competitive teams such as Rosario Central and Cruzeiro MG, indicating that they are in good form and capable of winning away from home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5” means that in a sports betting context, the total number of goals, points, or other scoring units in a game is expected to be more than 2.5.

1. Both teams have shown strong offensive performances in their previous matches. Penarol has scored an average of 2.2 goals per home match, and Atletico MG has also scored an average of 2.2 goals per away match, increasing the likelihood of a total goals in the match exceeding 2.5.

2. In addition to their strong offensive potential, Penarol has also shown some defensive weaknesses. They have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per home match. Moreover, Atletico MG has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per away match. This trend could continue in this match.

3. By analyzing Penarol’s recent home matches and Atletico MG’s away matches, it can be observed that the majority of these games have resulted in a total of goals exceeding 2.5, demonstrating a tendency for both teams to play high-scoring matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have shown strong offensive capabilities in their recent matches. Penarol has averaged 2.2 goals per game at home, while Atletico MG has averaged 2.2 goals per game away. The high scoring rates indicate a high likelihood of both teams scoring in the upcoming match.

2. Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses in their recent matches. Penarol has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game at home, while Atletico MG has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game away. This suggests that both teams could be vulnerable to conceding goals in the upcoming match.

3. Looking at the recent match history of both teams, it is clear that they have been able to score in most of their games. This trend indicates that both teams are likely to score when they face each other.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 4.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Penarol 2-2 Atletico MG.

1. Recent performances of Penarol at home and Atletico MG away: Penarol has an average of scoring 2.2 goals at home while Atletico MG also has an average of scoring 2.2 away. This suggests that both teams could score 2 goals in the match.

2. Defensive records of both teams: Penarol concedes an average of 1.2 goals at home, while Atletico MG concedes an average of 0.8 away. This also suggests the possibility of each team conceding 2 goals.

3. Draw statistics: Atletico MG has drawn in 40% of its away matches, while Penarol has only drawn in 20% of its home matches. This indicates an additional possibility of a draw, reinforcing the predicted final score of 2-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Penarol at home has a strong performance with 60% wins and 20% draws in the last 5 matches. They scored 11 goals and conceded 11. Atletico MG, on the other hand, has shown strong away form with 60% wins and 40% draws, scoring 9 goals and conceding 10.

As we can see, Penarol has an average of 2.2 goals scored per home match and only concedes 1.2 goals, with a good offensive potential at 79% but a slightly weaker defense at 43%. Atletico MG, in their away games, also average 2.2 goals scored per match and concede only 0.8 goals, with a higher defensive potential at 29%.

Based on the statistics, the match seems to be evenly poised. However, considering the recent performances, there seems to be a strong likelihood of fewer than 3.5 goals in this match. Additionally, both teams have shown a tendency to score, so there is a higher probability of both teams not scoring in the match.

Given the recent strong performances of both teams, I predict non-draw results and well under 3.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Penarol has a strong performance at home, with a 60% win rate and only a 20% draw rate. They have scored 11 goals but have also conceded 11 goals, leaving their goal difference at zero.

Atlético MG performs well away from home, winning 60% of their matches with no draws in 40% of cases. Their 9 goals have provided a good attacking return, although they have conceded 10 goals.

In terms of average statistics, Penarol scores 2.2 goals per home match and concedes 1.2, showing an offensive potential of 79% and a defensive potential of 43%. Atlético MG, on the other hand, also scores an average of 2.2 goals away from home and concedes only 0.8 goals, with offensive and defensive potentials of 79% and 29% respectively.

However, the probabilities for this match are not in favor of either team, with a 0% probability for a Penarol win, a draw, or an Atlético MG win. In terms of goals, it is more likely that there will be fewer than 3.5 goals in the match.

In summary, although both teams have a strong offensive performance, their defenses are vulnerable. It could be interesting to watch a closely contested match with few goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, this prediction is based on a detailed analysis of the recent performances of both teams, Penarol and Atletico MG, in their respective environments: at home for Penarol and away for Atletico MG. Taking into account their effectiveness both offensively and defensively, Atletico MG seems to have a slight advantage to win the match. However, considering their strong offensive performance and somewhat flexible defense, it is likely that there will be a total of over 2.5 goals in the match. Furthermore, it is possible that both teams will score in the match, potentially leading to a final score of 2-2. To maximize the value of your bet, a wager on under 4.5 goals in the match seems like an interesting choice.

It is important to emphasize that while these analyses are based on statistics and recent trends, the outcome of a football match can be influenced by many unpredictable factors. Therefore, it is advisable to bet responsibly.