Tipps Peru Paraguay Matchs amicaux 08/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Peru wins the match

1. Peru has a better home record with a 40% win rate and 40% draw rate in their last 5 matches compared to Paraguay, who hasn’t won any of their last 5 away matches. This demonstrates Peru’s better performance at home.

2. Peru’s offensive potential is much higher at home, averaging 1.4 goals per match compared to Paraguay’s 0.2 goal average away from home. Additionally, Peru’s defensive potential is also superior to that of Paraguay.

3. The probability of Peru winning is higher at 35.05% compared to Paraguay at 31.44%. This statistical data favors Peru for a victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The offensive performances of the Paraguay team away from home are very modest, scoring only 0.2 goals on average in their last 5 matches. This indicates a low number of goals expected in this match.

2. Looking at the defensive performances of both teams, Peru has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match at home, and Paraguay has conceded an average of 0.6 goals in their away matches. Both teams have a relatively solid defensive performance.

3. Looking at the probability of less than 2.5 goals in the match, it is 1.66, which is significantly higher than that of more than 2.5 goals in the match. This suggests that bookmakers and experts also expect a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Peru shows a decent offensive potential at home with an average of 1.4 goals per match, while Paraguay underperforms in attack away from home with only an average of 0.2 goals per match. These figures suggest that Peru is likely to score, but Paraguay may struggle to find the back of the net.

2. In terms of defensive performances, Peru concedes an average of 1.2 goals per match at home, whereas Paraguay only concedes 0.6 goals per match away. Although these numbers are not outstanding for Peru, Paraguay’s lack of offensive efficiency may hinder their ability to score against this defense.

3. The history of encounters between the two teams also suggests that both teams may have difficulty scoring. In the last five away matches for Paraguay, they have only managed to score once. Additionally, in the last five home matches for Peru, they have kept a clean sheet twice. Based on these past results, it is reasonable to expect that this match may not see both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Peru to win the match – 1.40

Bet on the exact result

Peru 1-0 Paraguay

1. Teams’ Performance History: Recent performances show Peru performing better at home with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, while Paraguay has not won any away matches. Moreover, Peru has shown a stronger attack at home with 7 goals scored compared to only 2 for Paraguay.

2. Goal Statistics: Peru has averaged 1.4 goals per match at home and has shown a solid defense by conceding only an average of 1.2 goals per match. On the other hand, Paraguay struggles to score away from home with an average of only 0.2 goals per match, and also concedes fewer goals (0.6 on average), which could lead to a low-scoring game.

3. Probability of Success: The chances of Peru winning are higher (35.05% compared to 31.44% for Paraguay) according to forecasts, and the probability of less than 1.5 goals being scored in the match is also high at 2.95. In this context, a correct score of 1-0 in favor of Peru is quite plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Peru has shown a strong performance at home, with wins or draws in 80% of their last 5 matches. They have averaged 7 goals scored, indicating a good offensive ability.

Paraguay has struggled away from home, with no wins in their previous 5 away matches. They have also only scored 2 goals, highlighting a lackluster offensive output.

The probability of Peru winning is 35.05%, slightly higher than Paraguay’s 31.44%. However, the likelihood of a draw is significant at 33.51%.

Based on statistics, the most probable scenario is a match with fewer than 3.5 goals, with an 87.63% success probability. This suggests a low-scoring game, with a 68.04% chance of more than 1.5 goals in the match.

Nevertheless, the odds suggest a close match. The chances of both teams scoring are nearly equal, with a slight edge towards both teams not scoring at 51.55%.

Peru and Paraguay have both faced tough opponents in their recent matches. Peru has notably played against Argentina and Brazil, while Paraguay has faced Argentina and Chile. Hence, it is important to consider the level of their previous opponents when evaluating their performance.

Considering these data, the match appears to be evenly poised, but the statistics seem to favor Peru.

The potential number of goals

Peru has shown a strong performance at home, with wins or draws in 80% of recent matches. They score an average of 1.4 goals and concede 1.2 goals. Their offensive capability is solid, at 50%.

Paraguay, on the other hand, has struggled away from home. No wins and only one draw in 5 matches. They have a low average of 0.2 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded, with an offensive potential of 7%.

Both teams have a similar chance of winning, with Peru slightly ahead at 35.05% probability of victory. A draw is also likely at 33.51%.

The probability of the result being either a draw or a Peru win is quite high at 68.56%. It is also probable to see less than 3.5 goals during the match with an 87.63% probability.

In terms of goals, the score is expected to be moderate, with a 68.04% chance of seeing more than 1.5 goals but only 35.57% for more than 2.5 goals.

Based on the recent performances and the data provided, I would predict a low-scoring game and a slight win for Peru or a draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis and statistics point towards a scenario where Peru, playing at home, could have a slight advantage over Paraguay. Peru’s recent performances and efficiency in attack at home, unlike Paraguay’s inefficiency away from home, give Peru a major offensive edge which could make the difference.

Regarding the number of goals, the data suggests a low-scoring match, with a high probability of fewer than 3.5 goals. Furthermore, the chances of both teams scoring are quite low, due to Paraguay’s weak offensive performance away from home.

That being said, the highest probability is a draw or a Peru win – this bet offers an interesting value bet at odds of 1.40. As for the exact score, Peru would win with a score of 1-0 according to the analysis, which seems to be in line with the rest of the analyses.

However, even with all these analyses and predictions, let’s remember that football remains unpredictable and nothing is certain until the final whistle is blown.