Tipps Petrocub Pafos UEFA Europa Conference League 03/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Pafos wins the match”

1. The probability of success for Pafos is higher: Statistics indicate that Pafos has a 52.36% probability of winning the match against Petrocub. This statistical indication predicts greater success for Pafos in this match.

2. Pafos’ defensive performance is superior: Previous results show that Pafos has an excellent defensive performance with a defensive potential of 21%. In contrast, Petrocub has a defensive potential of 50%. Therefore, it is likely that Pafos will concede fewer goals, thereby increasing its chances of winning.

3. Pafos’ offensive performance away from home is better: Although Pafos has not won in its last 5 away matches, it is important to note that Pafos averages 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per match. This high offensive potential of 79% away from home could be an advantage for Pafos in this match against Petrocub, which has a lower offensive potential of 21% at home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Pafos has shown relatively weak offensive performances away from home, averaging just 2 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Additionally, Petrocub’s home defense is quite solid, conceding only 1.4 goals per game on average, suggesting that a low-scoring affair is likely.

2. Based on their recent performances, the likelihood of both teams scoring is rather low (39.79%). In their recent home matches, Petrocub only conceded 9 goals, while Pafos scored just 2 goals in their previous away games.

3. Betting statistics indicate a higher probability of success for under 2.5 goals compared to over 2.5 goals (58.12% vs. 41.88%). Moreover, the probability of under 3.5 goals is very high (82.20%), further supporting the argument for a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Over the last 5 away matches, Pafos has shown a weak offensive potential, scoring only 2 goals. Their inability to score regularly strengthens the prediction “Both teams to score: No.”

2. Despite a slight improvement in their recent home matches, Petrocub tends to concede more goals than they score (average of 1.4 goals conceded against 0.6 goals scored), suggesting they may struggle to score against Pafos.

3. The generated prediction statistics show a higher probability (60.21%) of both teams not scoring, supporting the idea that this match could be low-scoring or one-sided.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Petrocub 1-2 Pafos

1. Considering the last 5 home matches of Petrocub and away matches of Pafos, it is noted that Petrocub scores an average of 0.6 goals per match while Pafos scores 2.2 goals on the road. Therefore, the Pafos team seems to have a higher offensive potential (79%) than Petrocub (21%).

2. Statistics also show a significant difference in the defensive potential of the two teams. Petrocub, at home, concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match (defensive potential of 50%), while Pafos, away, concedes fewer (0.6 goals per match on average, defensive potential of 21%). This suggests an offensive appeal for Pafos and a slightly weaker defense for Petrocub.

3. In terms of overall probabilities, Pafos is favored with a 52.36% chance of winning the match against Petrocub’s 26.18%. With a 68.59% probability for “Over 1.5 goals in the match,” the statistics suggest at least 2 goals during the match. Taking into account previous performances, a score of 1-2 in favor of Pafos seems like a plausible forecast.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Petrocub, at home, shows average strength with a 60% win rate. However, their goal record is not brilliant with 8 goals scored against 9 goals conceded. On the other side, Pafos struggles to perform away from home, with no wins and only 2 goals scored for 2 conceded.

Petrocub faces defensive difficulties, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match, while their offensive strength is limited with 0.6 goals scored per match. Conversely, Pafos is solid in defense with 0.6 goals conceded per match, while their firepower allows them to score an average of 2.2 goals per match.

The probabilities favor Pafos with a 52.36% chance of winning the match, while Petrocub’s chances are only 26.18%. There is a higher probability (68.59%) that the match will have over 1.5 goals. However, it is more likely (82.2%) to see the match end with less than 3.5 goals.

Looking at their recent matches, Petrocub has been quite effective at home, securing wins against Dacia-Buiucani, Floreşti, and The New Saints. However, Pafos struggles away from home, having lost to CFR 1907 Cluj, CSKA 1948, FK Zalgiris Vilnius, and IF elfsborg.

In conclusion, despite Pafos’ poor away record, their better offensive and defensive potential may tip the scales in their favor. But remember, football can always produce surprises.

The potential number of goals

Petrocub plays at home and has won 3 out of the last 5 matches here. However, they have also conceded more goals than they have scored (9 against 8). Their offensive potential is low at 21%, while their defense is estimated at 50%.

On the other hand, Pafos has not won any of their last 5 away matches. They have scored and conceded few goals (2 in both cases), but their offensive and defensive statistics are more balanced, at 79% and 21% respectively.

In terms of predictions, Pafos has a 52.36% chance of winning the match, despite their poor performance away from home. A draw or a victory for Petrocub is evaluated at a 47.64% chance of success. However, the most likely scenario is a draw or a victory for Pafos, at 73.82%.

Looking at the goals, it appears that the matches of these two teams are rather low-scoring, as there is a 68.59% probability of more than 1.5 goals in the match, while there is an 82.2% chance of seeing less than 3.5 goals. Finally, it is more likely that both teams will not score, with a probability of 60.21%.

In summary, this match is likely to be low-scoring and slightly favors Pafos, despite their recent poor away performances.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, although Pafos has not had the best performances in their recent away matches, statistics indicate that they have a higher probability of winning against Petrocub. Their excellent offensive and defensive potential could give them an edge on the field. However, the match is likely to be low-scoring, hence the interest in the bet “under 2.5 goals in the match”. Moreover, it seems unlikely that both teams will score, favoring the bet “Both teams to score: No”.

Taking all these elements into consideration, the bet with an interesting value bet is “Under 2.5 goals in the match”. As for the exact score, the data suggests a 1-2 result in favor of Pafos. It is important to remember that these predictions are based on statistics and probabilities, and football is inherently unpredictable. Therefore, it is crucial to bet responsibly.