Tipps Petrolul Ploiesti Universitatea Cluj Liga I 12/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Universitatea Cluj wins the match.

1. Universitatea Cluj has a higher probability of winning the match, with 38.25% compared to 31.15% for Petrolul Ploiesti, indicating their potential to win.

2. In the last 5 matches, Universitatea Cluj has shown a remarkable performance with 80% of the matches ending in a draw, and, most importantly, they have a 50% offensive potential away, significantly higher than Petrolul Ploiesti’s 21% home match offensive potential.

3. In terms of recent performances, Universitatea Cluj has scored at least one goal in each of their recent away matches, demonstrating their ability to establish an offensive presence on the road.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Petrolul Ploiesti has a relatively weak offensive potential at home, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 home games. Additionally, Universitatea Cluj has shown some defensive resilience in their away matches, conceding only 1.2 goals per match on average.

2. Both teams have a tendency towards low-scoring matches. In Petrolul’s last 5 home games, there has been an average of 1.8 goals in total (scored by both the team and their opponents), compared to Cluj’s 2.6 goals. Both are indeed below 2.5 goals per match.

3. Based on the presented probabilities, a total of fewer than 2.5 goals in the match has been predicted with a higher probability (not specified but inferred by a lower odds of 1.52) compared to a total of more than 2.5 goals (42.62% probability).

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Both teams have a recent history of matches with goals scored and conceded. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Universitatea Cluj has scored 6 goals and conceded 7 goals in their last 5 away matches. This shows that both teams have the ability to attack and score goals, but also have defenses that can be breached.

2. The goal statistics of both teams also show that they have medium to high offensive and defensive potentials. Petrolul Ploiesti has an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 43%, while Universitatea Cluj has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 43%. These figures represent the average goals scored and conceded per match, respectively, suggesting that both teams are likely to score in this encounter.

3. The success probability for the “Both teams to score: Yes” outcome is evaluated at 49.18%, which is relatively high in the context of sports betting. This probability indicates that there is nearly a fifty-fifty chance that both teams will score in this match, supporting the hypothesis that this prediction is logical.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Petrolul Ploiesti 1-1 Universitatea Cluj

1. Previous match statistics show that Universitatea Cluj has a strong tendency to draw in away games (80% of cases in the last 5 matches). Additionally, recent away games indicate that scores tend to be quite close (many draws and relatively low scores).

2. Petrolul Ploiesti’s defensive capabilities are quite good, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per home match (defensive potential of 43%), which could counter Universitatea Cluj’s high attacking potential away from home.

3. The numbers provided suggest that the match has a high probability of having less than 2.5 goals (probability exceeding 50%). This is in line with the exact predicted score of 1-1. Furthermore, the prediction takes into account the likelihood of a draw (30.6%), which is almost the same as the probability of a Petrolul Ploiesti win (31.15%). This points to a very close match, and a 1-1 scoreline is entirely plausible in this context.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Petrolul Ploiesti has had a mediocre home performance, with only 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Their attack has struggled to score, averaging 0.6 goals per game at home. Despite a solid defense, the team has conceded more goals than they have scored.

On the other hand, Universitatea Cluj is in better form away from home. They have scored more goals than their opponents, averaging 1.4 goals per game, but have only won one of their last 5 matches, opting for more draws.

According to the odds, Universitatea Cluj seems slightly favored with a 38.25% chance of winning compared to 31.15% for their opponents. However, the match is likely to be close, with a 30.6% chance of a draw.

In most cases, the total score is expected to be under 3.5 goals, given the offensive forms of both teams and their history. Less than 3.5 goals in the match has a success probability of 87.98%.

The safest prediction would be to bet on less than 4.5 goals in the match, with an almost certain 97.81% probability.

Considering these factors, I would cautiously recommend betting on a win for Universitatea or a draw, with a total of goals under 3.5.

The potential number of goals

In the last 5 home matches, Petrolul Ploiesti has been struggling to secure victories, with only one win out of two. They have a moderately effective attack with 0.6 goals per match, and a defense that needs improvement with 1.2 goals conceded. This results in a defensive potential of 43%.

As an away team, Universitatea Cluj has shown a tendency to struggle to win, with only a 20% victory rate. However, they impress in terms of drawing matches, with 80% of games ending without a defeat. They have an offensive strength of 1.4 goals per match and a defensive solidity similar to Petrolul, conceding 1.2 goals per match.

Based on this statistical summary, a draw seems like an interesting possibility with odds of 3.10, considering the recent performances of both teams.

Additionally, the odds indicate a 70.49% probability that the match will have more than 1.5 goals. This information could be valuable for bettors who might find this prediction reliable, with odds of 1.47.

Moreover, a bet on under 3.5 goals seems very likely to succeed, with a success probability of 87.98%, although the odds are low at 1.16.

Finally, the probabilities are almost balanced regarding whether both teams will score or not, with respective odds of 2.05 and 1.72.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Petrolul Ploiesti and Universitatea Cluj appears to be potentially balanced. Both teams have shown an ability to score but have also exposed some defensive weaknesses. The statistics and betting odds suggest that a win or a draw for Universitatea Cluj are the most likely outcomes, with the total number of goals likely to be less than 3.5.

However, a bet on a “draw” could offer interesting value, given Universitatea Cluj’s recent history of draws. Additionally, a 1-1 exact score provides an attractive odd, aligning with several key statistics.

It is worth noting that despite their recent mixed performance, there is a significant likelihood that both teams will score in the match. When it comes to sports betting, caution should always be exercised, and a thorough analysis of available statistics is essential to make the best decisions. It is recommended to monitor the situation closely, especially injuries or suspensions of key players, which could have a significant impact on the final outcome.